By Carla Mozee, MarketWatch

Stocks set to eke out a paltry rise for May

European stocks edged up Thursday, but trading in May was set to wrap up with auto makers under pressure as the European Union braces for U.S.-imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum.

What markets are doing

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.2% to 386.18, after turning lower earlier in the session. On Wednesday, the index ended 0.3% higher (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/italian-stocks-stage-recovery-bid-as-political-drama-rumbles-on-2018-05-30), in a partial recovery from Tuesday's slide of 1.4% (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/european-stocks-slump-as-political-rumblings-in-italy-rattle-nerves-2018-05-29) as Italian political uncertainty roiled global markets.

The pan-European benchmark is looking at a paltry rise of 0.2% for May, but that would be enough for a second straight monthly advance after April's jump of 3.9%, according to FactSet data.

Germany's DAX 30 index flipped lower Thursday, falling 0.2% to 12,764.88.

Italy's FTSE MIB index was up 1.2%, after briefly turning lower as trading got underway. In the fixed-income market, the country's 2-year bond yield fell 77 basis points to 0.92%, according to Tradeweb. Yields fall as bond prices move higher.

See:5 things investors must watch as Italy turmoil shakes global markets (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-investors-must-watch-as-italy-turmoil-shakes-global-markets-2018-05-29)

Spain's IBEX 35 was up 0.7% to 9,630.70 as the country's parliament debated a motion that could force Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy out of office.

France's CAC 40 index rose 0.3% to 5,444.68, and in London, the FTSE 100 added 0.2% to reach 7,708.49.

The euro moved up (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/euro-continues-to-rebound-as-investors-keep-eye-on-italy-2018-05-31) to $1.1713 from $1.1666 late Wednesday in New York, moving higher after the release of French inflation data.

What's driving markets

Shares of auto makers fell after reports the U.S. is ready to make good on its threat to slap tariffs on European steel and aluminum. An announcement from the White House could come as early as Thursday, sources said (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-administration-plans-to-hit-eu-with-steel-aluminum-tariffs-2018-05-30), with the tariffs scheduled to come in Friday as a one-month reprieve lapses.

Last-minute efforts by the EU to avoid the measures are seen as failing to offer the concessions the U.S. wants for it to hold off on the 25% tariff on EU steel imports and 10% on aluminum. The European bloc has threatened to bring in $3.5 billion of its own levies on U.S. agriculture, steel and industrial products.

In return, U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened to hit European cars (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-threatens-tax-on-cars-if-eu-retaliates-to-us-steel-and-aluminum-tariffs-2018-03-03) with a U.S. import tax if European leaders bring in those import tariffs. A report published Thursday in German magazine Wirtschaftswoche said Trump told French President Emmanuel Macron he wants to block luxury cars from Germany (https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-usa-trump-autos-germany/trump-wants-to-bar-german-luxury-cars-in-u-s-german-magazine-idUKKCN1IW0KH) from the U.S. market.

Political developments in Italy, Spain

Political uncertainty has been rocking global markets on worries that a rise of antiestablishment parties to power could spark a crisis for the euro. Investors on Thursday were watching for new developments in Italy after the head of the 5 Star party, Luigi Di Maio, said he was open to withdrawing Paolo Savona as a candidate for finance minister (https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/five-star-calls-for-compromise-to-avoid-poll-qfnlbh8hm).

Earlier this week, Italian President Sergio Mattarella rejected Savona as candidate for that post, effectively blocking a coalition of euroskeptic parties 5 Star and League from forming a government (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/italys-new-government-hits-wall-over-choice-of-euroskeptic-economic-minister-2018-05-27). The political maneuverings have been going on since a March election resulted in no clear outcome.

Read: Here's why markets are worried about Italian politics -- again (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-why-markets-are-worried-about-italian-politics-again-2018-05-29)

In Spain, lawmakers are expected to begin a formal debate Thursday over whether to hold a no-confidence vote Friday on Rajoy. The opposition Socialist Party is expected to win support for the vote, which could lead to the ouster of Rajoy's minority center-right government.

The center-left Socialist Party called for the vote (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/spains-rajoy-under-pressure-as-opposition-calls-for-confidence-vote-2018-05-25) after a corruption case ended in convictions for senior members of Rajoy's People's Party.

What are strategists saying?

"In simple terms, the optimism around the Italian government has brought the bulls back in the market. The FTSE MiB has been under tremendous selling pressure, and when there is such a strong steep selloff, opportunities represent themselves," said Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Think Markets, in a note.

"Investors have gone in wait-and see [mode] while bargain hunters want to jump on the bandwagon because prices are out of whack," he added.

Stock movers

Car makers lost ground. Volkswagen AG (VOW.XE) dropped 1.4%, and BMW AG (BMW.XE) and Daimler AG (DAI.XE) each gave up 0.8%. Renault SA (RNO.FR) fell 0.2%, but Ferarri NV managed to tack on 0.6%.

Economic data

French inflation jumped 2.3% (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/french-inflation-beats-views-tops-ecb-target-2018-05-31) on a harmonized basis in May, the first time since 2012 that the rate exceeded the ECB's inflation target of 2%.

For the eurozone, inflation in April rose to 1.9%, closer to that target, according to a report from Eurostat. That beat forecasts for a 1.6% reading, according to FactSet.

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

May 31, 2018 05:19 ET (09:19 GMT)

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