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Fat Prophets
Fat Prophets's columns :
11/10/2005Royal Dutch Shell
10/27/2005Dana Petroleum
10/20/2005Peter Hambro Mining
09/08/2005Golden Prospect
09/01/2005Randgold Resources
08/25/2005Scottish Power
08/17/2005Royal Dutch Shell
08/09/2005Statoil Asa
08/03/2005Peter Hambro Mining
07/28/2005JKX Oil & Gas
07/19/2005Dana Petroleum
07/13/2005BP British Petroleum
07/06/2005JP Morgan Fleming Indian Investment Trust
06/23/2005Carclo
06/16/2005Invesco Japan Discovery Trust >>
06/09/2005Dragon Oil
06/02/2005Friends Provident
05/31/2005JKX Oil & Gas
05/24/2005WH Smith
05/18/2005Baillie Gifford Japan Trust
05/11/2005Glaxo Smith Kline (GSK)
05/04/2005British Petroleum (BP)
04/25/2005Peter Hambro Mining (POG)
04/19/2005Avocet Mining (AVM)
04/04/2005Dana Petroleum
03/31/2005Carclo (CAR)
03/22/2005Golden Prospect
03/14/2005Swallowfield (SWL)
03/01/2005Statoil ASA (STO)
02/22/2005JP Morgan Fleming Indian Investment Trust
02/16/2005Shell
02/08/2005Friends Provident
01/24/2005Castings CGS

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Fat Prophets – Dog of the Week

Dog Of The Week - a weekly column from Fat Prophets, the providers of independent, unbiased research. Each stock is rated as either a Labrador, Poodle, Greyhound or Border Collie. All of the dogs have their own unique characteristics and qualities. Check out the 'Pound' on the left for an explanation of each dog.


Invesco Japan Discovery Trust

06/16/2005

We continue to be encouraged by what we believe to be the true beginnings of an economic revival in Japan. With the signs of a turnaround in Japan gaining steam we believe Invesco Japan Discovery Trust (IJD) offers significant leverage to the recovering economy and equity markets.

Unemployment in Japan is low and after falling for three years wages are beginning to rise. We believe the strengthening job market and recovery in salary growth will help underpin consumer spending. An upturn in spending is critical as it will reduce Japan's dependency on export-led growth.

An increase in private investing would also drive a recovery. Last year, for the first time in 25 years, Japanese households took more money out of their savings accounts than they put in. We believe this is significant as it indicates the Japanese are becoming more confident in the country's recovery and the direction of asset prices. A sustained increase in private spending and investing would be a welcome shot in the arm for the economy in our opinion.

Another important source of growth is business investment. Once again the news is good as Japan reported machinery orders in April rising 2.5 percent, far exceeding expectations. The increase points to optimism as companies seek to replace old equipment that has held back productivity as priority was previously given to paying down debts. This suggests to us that Japanese companies are now more prepared to invest in future growth.

We are encouraged by the sectors favoured by the Trust's Manager. IJD's heaviest weighting is in Services at 24.0 percent followed by the Financial (16.8 percent), Retail (14.3 percent), Real Estate (14.0 percent) and Industrial (11.6 percent) sectors. We believe these industries in particular will benefit from Japan's improving economic picture.

As at June 8, IJD traded at an 11 percent discount to net asset value which was 112.5p per share. We believe the discount will narrow in the months ahead as the Trust's stock and sector selection outperform in the recovering economy. We remain confident on the medium to longer-term outlook for the Nikkei, and believe that this should also provide a positive environment for IJD.


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