Sugar Futures: "How Sweet it is"

QUOTES... screen dump:

Sugar #11 (World)
Symbol Month. ..Date.. ..Time*. Open High Low. Last. .Chg Volume OpenInt DTE
SBF03 Jan '03 12/27/02 12:26:47 7.45 7.45 7.35 7.40s -0.01 2 119 367
SBH03 Mar '03 12/27/02 12:26:48 7.48 7.48 7.41 7.43s -0.04 2307 123133 61
SBK03 May '03 12/27/02 12:26:48 6.86 6.87 6.84 6.85s -0.04 526 29677 122
SBN03 Jul '03 12/27/02 12:26:48 6.27 6.28 6.25 6.25s -0.04 466 23786 183
SBV03 Oct '03 12/27/02 12:26:48 6.11 6.11 6.07 6.07s -0.03 375 24365 275
SBF04 Jan '04 12/27/02 12:26:48 6.10 6.10 6.10s -0.20 6 397
SBH04 Mar '04 12/27/02 12:26:49 6.10 6.10 6.05 6.05s -0.02 426 10152 458
SBK04 May '04 12/27/02 12:26:49 5.88 5.88 5.88 5.88s -0.02 16 2769 519
SBN04 Jul '04 12/27/02 12:26:49 5.64 5.66 5.64 5.65s 0.00 144 4170 579
SBV04 Oct '04 12/27/02 12:26:49 5.65 5.65 5.65s 0.00 81 2620 670
:SOURCE:

- - -
IS it very RISKY to
BUY: May'04 Sugar at 5.88 cents?
with:
1. Dollar under pressure
2. Commodity prices looking stronger
3. The possibility of a strong cyclical upswing sometime in next 18 months
4. An apparent "floor" at 5cents
5. May being the seasonally "best month" to own