azalea,
Nice thought, but I doubt the Ukranians will be allowed to starve Europe of gas for long, one way or another there is no way that will happen IMHO.
I see either EU pressure for a solution, or maybe even Russian military action,as possibilities, with EU pressure the more likely early scenario.
We have arrived in 2006, and we are hopefully within three months of the comencement of Chinguetti production, maybe less, so i am looking at that to drive the SP of SEY northwards personally.
Also, the normalisation of production in the GOM must be nearer, which would provide additional momentum at the current proce levels there.