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CheshireMoggie - Fri, 29 Dec 06 :

I agree market forces will come into play for both input and output prices. However it might take a while (a year or two?) for this to fully work out in which time producers (might) be producing at a loss. Not good for the sp of any producer.

I dont know what the price of ethanol or corn will be next year but the profitability of the plant (and the market cap) depends on what happens.

6 months ago the GTL plant would have been a gold mine - now the economics are less clear and the future uncertain.

This is why the sp has dropped over the last few months. It aint rocket science!

I will contimnue to hold as I think that the non-market forces at play will ensure that decent profits will be made in the medium to long term.

Dont hold your breath though.

CM.


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