from TheRegister:
3G is coming (ready or not)
By Drew Cullen
Posted: 17/12/2002 at 15:01 GMT
3G is coming, ready or not, says the wireless research team at Instat/MDR.
Most of us aren't ready - the EU reckons that the market in Europe for 3G services will start booming only in 2008. But InStat notes:
"While UMTS (WCDMA) has borne the brunt of the recent gloom and doom scenarios, it is actually being deployed, and generating manufacturing revenue, at a reasonable rate. It will continue to be deployed at an increasing rate as handsets become available and coverage deadlines advance."
But what about the killer app? Maybe there doesn't need to be one, certainly so far as densely populated Europe is concerned. Here, the driving factor will "quite probably will be the need for more voice capacity to supplement the strained GSM
urban networks. While UMTS is often portrayed as
'expensive,' the reality of the situation is that the
hardware cost-per-voice channel is less than one-half the cost of GSM."
OK, that's Europe. There is also the matter of the Qualcomm 2G networks, mostly to be found in America and Asia. Here, the transformation of many cdmaOne networks to CDMA2000 1x is proceeding rapidly, In-
Stat says. Noting the relative simplicity of the swapover from cdmaOne to CDMA 1x networks (because very few new elements are required), Ray Jodoin, an Instat/MDR director, is required, for the purposes of a press release to spout this unfortunate piece of gobbledegeek:
"The primary hardware addition is the PDSN, which is the CDMA 2000 equivalent to the UMTS GGSN. Existing BTSs, BSCs, and MSCs require modification rather than replacement."