Today, U.S. Bancorp (the “Company”) disclosed a summary of its
Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test (“DFAST”) results. The disclosure
includes the Company’s projected stressed minimum and end-of-period
capital ratios for the period from the first quarter of 2016
through the first quarter of 2018. The projections assume annual
common stock dividends equal to the quarterly average dollar amount
of common stock dividends that the Company paid in the previous
year and no redemption or repurchase of any capital instrument, in
addition to estimates of losses, revenues, net income before taxes
and loan losses by type of loan over the same time period. The
projections were made under the “supervisory severely adverse
scenario” defined by the Federal Reserve. This hypothetical
stressed economic scenario is designed to assess the overall
strength and resilience of the banking industry and does not
necessarily represent future economic conditions expected by the
Company.
A summary of the Company’s DFAST results are included in the
table below. The Company’s DFAST results may differ from those
calculated and published by the Federal Reserve due to differences
in models, methodologies and tax rate, among other things. A
document summarizing the risks and methodologies used to calculate
the results, as well as an analysis of the significant reasons for
the changes in capital ratios under the hypothetical stressed
economic scenario is available on the Company’s website. The
results can be found at:
http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=117565&p=irol-doddfrank
CCAR 2016U.S. Bancorp
Disclosure
DoddFrank Act Stress Test Results
2016Projected stressed capital ratios, riskweighted assets,
losses, revenues, net income before taxes, and loan losses
Supervisory-defined severely adverse
scenarioU.S. Bancorp
Capital ratios, actual 2015:Q4 and projected
2016:Q1-2018:Q1 Percent Projected
stressed
capital ratios 1
Actual
Regulatory ratio 2015: Q4
Ending
Minimum
Common equity tier 1 capital ratio 9.6% 8.3% 8.3% Tier 1 capital
ratio 11.3% 10.0% 10.0% Total capital ratio 13.3% 12.0% 12.0% Tier
1 leverage ratio 9.5% 8.5% 8.5%
1
The capital ratios are calculated using capital action
assumptions provided within the Dodd-Frank Act stress testing rule.
See 12 CFR 252-56(b). These projections represent hypothetical
estimates that involve an economic outcome that is more adverse
than expected. The minimum capital ratio presented is for the
period 2016:Q1 to 2018:Q1.
Projected loan losses, by type
of loan, 2016:Q1-2018:Q1
Portfolio Billions of loss rates Loan type dollars
(percent) 1
Loan Losses 12.0 4.6% First-lien mortgages, domestic 1.3 2.2%
Junior liens and HELOCs, domestic 0.5 2.9% Commercial and
industrial 2 2.5 3.6% Commercial real estate, domestic 2.2 5.9%
Credit cards 3.7 15.1% Other consumer 3 1.0 3.1% Other loans 4 0.9
3.8%
1
Average loan balances used to calculate
portfolio loss rates exclude loans held for sale and loans held for
investment under the fair-value option, and are calculated over
nine quarters.
2
Commercial and industrial loans include
small- and medium-enterprise loans and corporate cards.
3
Other consumer loans include student loans
and automobile loans.
4
Other loans include international real
estate loans.
Note: Estimates may not sum precisely due
to rounding.
Risk-weighted assets, actual 2015:Q4 and projected
2018:Q1 Billions of dollars Actual
Projected Item 2015:Q4 2018:Q1 Risk-weighted assets 1
341.4 330.5
1
For each quarter, risk-weighted assets are
calculated under the Board’s standardized capital risk-based
approach in 12 CFR part 217, subpart D.
Projected losses, revenue, and net
income before taxes through 2018:Q1
Percent of Billions of average Item dollars
assets 1
Pre-provision net revenue 2 15.7 3.8% Other revenue 3 (0.0) less
Provisions 15.2 Realized losses/gains on securities (AFS/HTM) 0.1
Trading and counterparty losses 4 -- Other losses/gains 5 0.2
equals Net income before taxes 0.2 0.1%
Memo items Other
comprehensive income 6 (0.3) Other effects on capital
Actual
2015:Q4 2018:Q1 AOCI included in capital (billions of
dollars) 7 (0.4) (1.3)
1
Average assets is the nine-quarter average
of total assets.
2
Pre-provision net revenue includes losses
from operational-risk events, mortgage repurchase expenses, and
other real estate owned (OREO) costs.
3
Other revenue includes one-time income and
(expense) items not included in pre-provision net revenue.
4
Trading and counterparty losses include
mark-to-market and credit valuation adjustments (CVA) losses and
losses arising from the counterparty default scenario component
applied to derivatives, securities lending, and repurchase
agreement activities.
5
Other losses/gains includes projected
change in fair value of loans held for sale and loans held for
investment measured under the fair-value option, and goodwill
impairment losses.
6
Other comprehensive income (OCI) is only
calculated for advanced approaches Bank Holding Companies (BHCs),
and other BHCs that opt into advanced approaches treatment of
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (AOCI).
7
Certain aspects of AOCI are subject to
transition arrangements for inclusion in projected regulatory
capital. The transition arrangements are 40 percent included in
projected regulatory capital for 2015, 60 percent included in
projected regulatory capital for 2016, 80 percent included in
projected regulatory capital for 2017, and 100 percent included in
projected regulatory capital for 2018. See CFR 217.300(b)(3).
U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB), with $429 billion in assets as of
March 31, 2016, is the parent company of U.S. Bank National
Association, the fifth largest commercial bank in the United
States. The Company operates 3,129 banking offices in 25 states and
4,954 ATMs and provides a comprehensive line of banking,
investment, mortgage, trust and payment services products to
consumers, businesses and institutions. Visit U.S. Bancorp on the
web at www.usbank.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
The following information appears in accordance with the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:
This press release contains forward-looking statements about
U.S. Bancorp. Statements that are not historical or current facts,
including statements about beliefs and expectations, are
forward-looking statements and are based on the information
available to, and assumptions and estimates made by, management as
of the date hereof. The forward looking statements contained in
this press release include, among other things, projected future
capital ratios, risk-weighted assets, revenue, net income before
taxes, and loan losses of U.S. Bancorp based on a hypothetical
scenario containing assumptions that may not come to pass in the
future. There can be no assurance that U.S. Bancorp’s actual
results would match the results disclosed herein if the assumed
scenario was to occur.
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and
uncertainties, and important factors could cause actual results to
differ materially from those anticipated. A reversal or slowing of
the current economic recovery or another severe contraction could
adversely affect U.S. Bancorp’s revenues and the values of its
assets and liabilities. Global financial markets could experience a
recurrence of significant turbulence, which could reduce the
availability of funding to certain financial institutions and lead
to a tightening of credit, a reduction of business activity, and
increased market volatility. Stress in the commercial real estate
markets, as well as a downturn in the residential real estate
markets, could cause credit losses and deterioration in asset
values. In addition, U.S. Bancorp’s business and financial
performance is likely to be negatively impacted by recently enacted
and future legislation and regulation. U.S. Bancorp’s results could
also be adversely affected by deterioration in general business and
economic conditions; changes in interest rates; deterioration in
the credit quality of its loan portfolios or in the value of the
collateral securing those loans; deterioration in the value of
securities held in its investment securities portfolio; legal and
regulatory developments; litigation; increased competition from
both banks and non-banks; changes in customer behavior and
preferences; breaches in data security; effects of mergers and
acquisitions and related integration; effects of critical
accounting policies and judgments; and management’s ability to
effectively manage credit risk, market risk, operational risk,
compliance risk, strategic risk, interest rate risk, liquidity risk
and reputational risk.
For discussion of these and other risks that may cause actual
results to differ from expectations, refer to U.S. Bancorp’s Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, on file
with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the sections
entitled “Risk Factors” and “Corporate Risk Profile” contained in
Exhibit 13, and all subsequent filings with the Securities and
Exchange Commission under Sections 13(a), 13(c), 14 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934. However, factors other than these
also could adversely affect U.S. Bancorp’s results, and the reader
should not consider these factors to be a complete set of all
potential risks or uncertainties. Forward-looking statements speak
only as of the date hereof, and U.S. Bancorp undertakes no
obligation to update them in light of new information or future
events
View source
version on businesswire.com: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20160623006365/en/
Jen Thompson, 612-303-0778U.S. Bank Investor
Relationsjen.thompson@usbank.comorDana Ripley, 612-303-3167U.S.
Bank Corporate Communicationsdana.ripley@usbank.comTwitter
@usbank_news
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