Time Warner Outlook Solid; Revenue Misses--3rd Update
February 10 2016 - 10:09AM
Dow Jones News
By Lisa Beilfuss
Time Warner Inc. offered an upbeat forecast for the year after
topping earnings expectations in its fourth quarter, thanks to
lower costs and continued gains in its HBO segment.
The media giant also raised its quarterly dividend 15% to $1.61
a share and said its board approved $5 billion in additional share
repurchases.
Still, shares declined 5.9% in early trading as revenue fell
short of analysts' expectations. "There is a bit of contagion as
far as the market reacting negatively on any media earnings noise,"
said Matt Harrigan, analyst at Wunderlich Securities.
Investors punished shares of Walt Disney Co. and Viacom Inc.
after those companies reported earnings on Tuesday. Their shares
declined 5.3% and 3.4%, respectively, in morning trading on
Wednesday.
Time Warner, the owner of Warner Bros. film studio and cable
channels HBO, TNT and CNN, has been grappling with cable TV
subscriber declines and the rise of online streaming. The company
has said it would invest more in digital platforms and consider
holding back more of its television shows for longer on its own
platforms before selling them to streaming services like Netflix
Inc., and it has engaged in talks to buy a stake of Hulu, another
streaming service.
In its latest quarter, Time Warner said it grew HBO subscribers,
both through traditional networks as well as through its
stand-alone streaming service HBO Now. Subscription revenue in the
segment rose 3.2% from a year earlier, but inched lower from the
third quarter. Total HBO revenue increased 5.5% to $1.41 billion as
content revenue jumped.
Mr. Harrigan said HBO needs to show that it can monetize more
nonpaying customers, adding that investors haven't had as much
patience with HBO Now profitability as they have had with
competitors like Netflix.
Strength in HBO--which includes programs like Game of Thrones
and True Detective--helped offset weakness in the Time Warner's
film segment. HBO revenue rose 5.5% to $1.41 billion, while Warner
Bros. revenue tumbled a worse-than-expected 15% amid a dearth of
blockbusters. In the Turner business, increased advertising and the
airing of Major League Baseball playoffs helped revenue edge 2.1%
higher.
Overall revenue declined 5.9% from a year earlier, due to the
effect of a stronger dollar coupled with the Warner Bros. weakness.
Lower expenses, though, countered the effect of lower revenue and
pushed earnings up 19% from the year-ago quarter.
Restructuring costs fell sharply from a year earlier and the
company managed to push overhead costs lower by 16%. In the
year-ago period, Time Warner booked charges associated with its
marketing and development of HBO Now in addition to restructuring
expenses stemming from the closure of CNN Latino and the separation
of Time Inc., among other items.
In all for the quarter, Time Warner reported profit of $857
million, or $1.06 a share, up from $718 million, or 84 cents, a
year earlier. Revenue slid 5.9% to $7.08 billion. Analysts surveyed
by Thomson Reuters had projected $1.01 in adjusted profit per share
on $7.53 billion in revenue.
Mr. Harrigan from Wunderlich attributed the company's earnings
beat to a low tax rate. In the latest quarter, Time Warner's
income-tax provision was $280 million, versus $381 million a year
earlier on operating profit that was roughly flat.
For the year, Time Warner said it expects to earn an adjusted
$5.30 to $5.40 a share this year, above the $5.26 analysts have
projected and up from its earlier prediction of $5.25 a share.
Shares in the company, down 9.4% over the past three months
through Tuesday's close, declined 4.5% in premarket trading.
Write to Lisa Beilfuss at lisa.beilfuss@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 10, 2016 09:54 ET (14:54 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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