China Oil Companies' Push Into U.S. Faces Uncertainty With Trump Victory
November 13 2016 - 2:41AM
Dow Jones News
By Brian Spegele
BEIJING--China's beleaguered oil sector could face fresh
challenges following Donald Trump's election as president, with
some in the industry warning that a harder U.S. line toward China
could stymie potential investment in the U.S. energy patch.
State-owned giants such as PetroChina Co. and China Petroleum
& Chemical Corp. long viewed the U.S. as the golden egg of
their global deal making ambitions, with its huge oil-and-gas
reserves and a stable regulatory and political climate.
Now Mr. Trump's election is brewing new uncertainty in the
energy patch as experts see an inherent contradiction between Mr.
Trump's pledge to promote oil-and-gas drilling and his campaign
rhetoric decrying globalization.
"Nobody knows what he'll do," said a person with ties to China's
top oil executives who has promoted the idea of more Chinese energy
investment in the U.S.
An attorney who works with Chinese energy clients and others
across Asia said he began fielding questions soon after Mr. Trump
was declared victor.
It has been "a constant barrage of questions about what does
this really mean," said David Wochner, who leads the policy and
regulatory practice at law firm K&L Gates.
On one hand, Mr. Trump and his team could likely be convinced of
the value to the U.S. economy of exporting more energy, he
said.
"But as you start to think about Asian investment--Chinese or
otherwise--into U.S. energy infrastructure, and taking a stronger
role perhaps in the U.S. energy market, and then having the ability
to export the commodity to their home country, I think it becomes a
bit of a guessing game at this point," he said.
As a candidate, Mr. Trump pledged to slap a 45% tariff on
Chinese imports and to brand China a currency manipulator. Either
one would likely trigger retaliation by China's government, and
sour bilateral ties between the countries.
In many ways, the U.S. and China are natural partners when it
comes to oil and gas. The U.S. has significant export
ambitions--particularly of liquefied natural gas that increasingly
is made from abundant shale reserves. At the same time, China is
already a huge importer, and continues to grow each year.
As a result, its companies have been scoping out potential
investment in everything from stakes in U.S. oil and natural gas
fields to energy infrastructure such as pipelines and export
terminals on the Gulf of Mexico coast. That includes big
state-owned energy giants and a host of smaller companies that are
eager to cement their footprints abroad, say people who advise the
companies.
No doubt, getting a foot in the door in the U.S. has never been
particularly easy for China's energy companies. Most notably is the
failed takeover attempt of U.S. oil producer Unocal Corp. by
China's state-owned Cnooc Ltd. in 2005. Cnooc's bid at the time
suffered from a wave of anti-China sentiment on a wide range of
issues including China's trade practices--closely mirroring what
Mr. Trump says today.
Under the Obama administration, Chinese companies found greater
footing. They successfully completed a number of deals, including
with U.S. shale pioneer Chesapeake Energy Corp. and others.
Today Mr. Wochner advises China's energy companies to engage
early with the new administration to form a better sense of how
regulations may change. Political analysts say the uncertainty will
spur much consternation in Beijing.
Mr. Trump's victory likely increases the "level of political
risk associated with investing in the United States in the eyes of
many Chinese energy executives," said Erica Downs, a China energy
expert at the consultancy Eurasia Group. "This will be a
disappointment because of the good investment opportunities
here."
Write to Brian Spegele at brian.spegele@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 13, 2016 02:26 ET (07:26 GMT)
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