-- Fourth quarter net income of $61 million, or $0.27 per diluted share; Full year net income of $308 million or $1.37 per diluted share –

-- Fourth quarter adjusted diluted net operating income per share of $0.41; full year of $1.56 –

-- $50.5 billion in new MI business for 2016; sets all-time company record for flow MI –

-- Book value per share increases 11% year-over-year to $13.39 –

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, of $61.1 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, which included a net loss on investments and other financial instruments of $38.8 million. Net income for the full year 2016 was $308.3 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, which included net gains on investments and other financial instruments of $30.8 million. This compares to net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, of $74.5 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, which included a net loss on investments and other financial instruments of $13.4 million. Net income for the full year 2015 was $286.9 million, or $1.22 per diluted share, which included net gains on investments and other financial instruments of $35.7 million.

Book value per share at December 31, 2016, was $13.39, compared to $13.47 at September 30, 2016, and an increase of 11 percent from $12.07 at December 31, 2015.

Key Financial Highlights (dollars in millions, except per share data)

               

Year EndedDecember 31, 2016

 

Year EndedDecember 31, 2015

 

PercentChange

Net income *   $308.3   $286.9   7% Diluted net income per share   $1.37   $1.22   12% Pretax income from continuing operations   $483.7   $437.8   10% Adjusted pretax operating income   $541.8   $510.9   6% Adjusted diluted net operating income per share **   $1.56   $1.40   11% Net premiums earned - insurance   $921.8   $915.9   1% New Mortgage Insurance Written (NIW)  

$50,530

 

$41,411

 

22%

Book value per share   $13.39   $12.07   11%                  

Quarter EndedDecember 31, 2016

 

Quarter EndedDecember 31, 2015

 

PercentChange

Net income   $61.1   $74.5   (18%) Diluted net income per share   $0.27   $0.32   (16%) Pretax income   $97.8   $104.7   (7%) Adjusted pretax operating income   $140.2   $124.1   13% Adjusted diluted net operating income per share **   $0.41   $0.34   21% Net premiums earned - insurance   $233.6   $226.4   3% New Mortgage Insurance Written (NIW)  

$13,882

 

$9,099

 

53%

  *

Includes the significant negative impact of the loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment for both year-end periods

**

Adjusted diluted net operating income per share is calculated using the company’s statutory tax rate of 35 percent.

 

Adjusted pretax operating income for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, was $140.2 million, compared to $124.1 million for the same period of 2015. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, was $0.41, compared to $0.34 for the same period of 2015, an increase of 21 percent. Adjusted pretax operating income for the year ended December 31, 2016, was $541.8 million, compared to $510.9 million for the same period of 2015. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share for the twelve months ended December 31, 2016, was $1.56, compared to $1.40 for the same period of 2015, an increase of 11 percent. See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below as well as Exhibits F and G for additional details regarding these adjusted measures.

“Our strong fourth quarter performance contributed to a solid 2016 for Radian,” said Radian’s Chief Executive Officer S.A. Ibrahim. “In 2016, we successfully grew book value by 11%, improved our capital structure and achieved our targeted expense goals, while setting new records for writing our highest volume of high-quality and profitable flow MI business in Radian’s history.”

FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR HIGHLIGHTS

Mortgage Insurance

  • New mortgage insurance written (NIW) grew to $50.5 billion for the full year 2016, compared to $41.4 billion for the prior year. NIW was $13.9 billion for the quarter, compared to $15.7 billion in the third quarter of 2016 and $9.1 billion in the prior-year quarter.
    • NIW for the full year 2016 represented record volume written on a flow basis for the company, and an increase of 22 percent compared to the NIW written for the full year 2015.
    • For the fourth quarter of 2016, NIW grew 53 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2015.
    • Of the $13.9 billion in new business written in the fourth quarter of 2016, 27 percent was written with single premiums. Net single premiums written, after consideration of the 35 percent ceded under the company’s Single Premium Quota Share Reinsurance Agreement, was 17 percent in the fourth quarter of 2016.
    • Refinances accounted for 27 percent of total NIW in the fourth quarter of 2016, compared to 22 percent in the third quarter of 2016, and 17 percent a year ago.
    • NIW continued to consist of loans with excellent risk characteristics.
  • Total primary mortgage insurance in force as of December 31, 2016 grew to $183.5 billion, compared to $181.2 billion as of September 30, 2016, and $175.6 billion as of December 31, 2015.
    • The composition of Radian’s mortgage insurance portfolio has significantly improved over the past several years:
      • 88 percent of primary mortgage insurance risk in force at December 31, 2016 consisted of new business written after 2008, including those loans that successfully completed the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP).
      • 58 percent of primary mortgage insurance risk in force at December 31, 2016 consisted of loans with FICO scores greater than or equal to 740, compared to 26 percent of loans at December 31, 2007.
      • 7 percent of primary mortgage insurance risk in force at December 31, 2016 consisted of loans with a loan-to-value (LTV) greater than 95 percent, compared to 24 percent of loans at December 31, 2007.
    • Persistency, which is the percentage of mortgage insurance in force that remains on the company’s books after a twelve-month period, was 76.7 percent as of December 31, 2016, compared to 78.4 percent as of September 30, 2016, and 78.8 percent as of December 31, 2015.
    • Annualized persistency for the three-months ended December 31, 2016 was 76.8 percent, compared to 75.3 percent for the three-months ended September 30, 2016, and 81.8 percent for the three-months ended December 31, 2015.
  • Total net premiums earned were $233.6 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, compared to $238.1 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2016, and $226.4 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015. Notable variable items impacting net premiums earned include:
    • Acceleration of premiums related to Single Premium Policy cancellations, which are net of reinsurance, were $15.7 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $18.4 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $13.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2015.
    • Ceded premiums of $18.2 million, $19.9 million and $13.0 million for the quarters ended December 31, 2016, September 30, 2016, and December 31, 2015, respectively, are net of accrued profit commission on reinsurance transactions of $8.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, compared to $8.9 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $1.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2015.
    • Additional details may be found in Exhibit D.
  • The mortgage insurance provision for losses was $54.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, compared to $56.2 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $56.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2015.
    • The loss ratio in the fourth quarter of 2016 was 23.4 percent, compared to 23.6 percent in the third quarter of 2016 and 25.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015.
    • Mortgage insurance loss reserves were $760.3 million as of December 31, 2016, compared to $821.9 million as of September 30, 2016, and $976.4 million as of December 31, 2015.
    • Primary reserve per primary default (excluding IBNR and other reserves) was $22,503 as of December 31, 2016. This compares to primary reserve per primary default of $24,049 as of September 30, 2016, and $24,019 as of December 31, 2015.
  • The total number of primary delinquent loans decreased by 1 percent in the fourth quarter from the third quarter of 2016, and by 18 percent from the fourth quarter of 2015. The primary mortgage insurance delinquency rate decreased to 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2016, compared to 3.3 percent in the third quarter of 2016, and 4.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015.
  • Total mortgage insurance net claims paid were $116.5 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $82.7 million in the third quarter, and $176.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. For the full-year 2016, total net claims paid were $417.6 million, compared to $764.7 million for the full-year 2015.
    • Claims paid in the fourth quarter of 2016 were elevated due to increased efficiencies in the company’s claims processing, which resulted in an acceleration of paid claims and contributed to a 38 percent decline in the pending claim inventory from the third quarter of 2016.
    • Claims paid in 2015 included claims related to the September 2014 BofA Settlement Agreement.

Mortgage and Real Estate Services

  • The Services segment provides outsourced services, information-based analytics, residential loan due diligence, valuations, surveillance and specialty consulting for buyers and sellers of, and investors in, mortgage- and real estate-related loans and securities. These services and solutions are provided primarily through Clayton and its subsidiaries, including Green River Capital, Red Bell Real Estate and ValuAmerica.
  • Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $52.6 million, an increase of 10 percent compared to $48.0 million for the third quarter of 2016, and an increase of 33 percent compared to $39.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2015. Total revenues for the full year 2016 were $177.2 million, compared to $163.1 million for the same period of 2015.
  • The adjusted pretax operating loss for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, was $2.6 million, compared to $1.9 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2016, and $1.2 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015. The adjusted pretax operating loss for the full year 2016 was $20.2 million, compared to $0.2 million for the prior year.
  • Services adjusted earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (Services adjusted EBITDA) for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, was $4.4 million, compared to $5.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2016, and $4.8 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015. Additional details regarding the non-GAAP measure Services adjusted EBITDA may be found in Exhibits F and G.
  • Revenue and expenses for contract underwriting performed on behalf of third parties, formerly reflected in our Mortgage Insurance segment, is now reflected in the Services segment for all periods, based on changes to the company’s personnel reporting lines and management oversight of this function. As a result of this change, for all periods presented, Services revenue, direct cost of services and other operating expenses have increased, with offsetting reductions in Mortgage Insurance other income and other operating expenses. In the fourth quarter, this change increased the Services segment’s revenue, direct cost of services and other operating expenses by $3.8 million, $2.3 million and $1.0 million, respectively.

Consolidated Expenses

Other operating expenses were $62.4 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $62.1 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $58.6 million in the fourth quarter of last year.

  • Notable variable items impacting other operating expenses include:
    • The company’s investment to significantly upgrade its technology systems, which represented $3.6 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $2.4 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $1.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2015.
    • Severance charges of $0.9 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $1.1 million in the third quarter, and $0.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. A significant portion of the severance charges in the fourth quarter of 2016 was related to the Services segment.
    • Total incentive compensation expense of $9.1 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $12.7 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $4.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. The expense in the fourth and third quarters of 2016 was impacted by an increase in accrued short-term incentive compensation based on year-to-date performance. The expense in the fourth quarter of 2015 was impacted by a decrease in accrued short-term incentive compensation based on performance in 2015.
    • Additional details may be found in Exhibit D.
  • Other operating expenses before corporate allocations for the fourth quarter of 2016 were comprised of $37.8 million for the Mortgage Insurance segment, compared to $35.9 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $37.2 million in the fourth quarter of last year.
  • Other operating expenses before corporate allocations for the fourth quarter of 2016 were comprised of $14.8 million for the Services segment, compared to $13.6 million in the third quarter of 2016, and $11.5 million in the fourth quarter of last year.

CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY UPDATE

Radian Group maintained approximately $460 million of available liquidity as of December 31, 2016. The company successfully completed several capital actions in 2016, utilizing a portion of its liquidity to strengthen its financial position and improve its debt maturity profile, with the objective of better positioning Radian Group for a return to investment grade ratings in the future. This series of actions in 2016 included:

  • Completion of a $100 million share repurchase program of the company’s common stock, at an average price of $10.62 per share, and the approval of an additional share repurchase of up to $125 million
  • Entry into the Radian Guaranty Single Premium QSR transaction, improving the company’s expected return on required capital and effectively managing its PMIERs position in a cost-efficient manner
  • Radian Guaranty’s redemption of its $325 million surplus note due to Radian Group, which immediately resulted in a $325 million increase to Radian Group’s available liquidity
  • Early redemption of the remaining $196 million face value of its 9.00% Senior Notes due 2017
  • Negotiated purchases of aggregate principal amounts of approximately $30 million of the company’s outstanding 3.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2017 and $322 million of the company’s outstanding 2.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2019
  • Issuance of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 7.00% Senior Notes due 2021

The combination of these capital actions decreased the company’s total number of diluted shares by 23.3 million in 2016 and improved Radian Group’s debt maturity profile.

RECENT EVENTS

In the fourth quarter of 2016, Radian Group issued a notice of redemption of its remaining 2.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, with settlement scheduled for January 27, 2017. The company has elected to settle in cash any conversions by the holders. When completed, this redemption will further reduce the company’s total number of diluted shares by approximately 6.4 million shares and will reduce holding company liquidity by $110 million.

“We both simplified and strengthened our capital structure in 2016, improving the maturity profile of our debt and significantly reducing our number of diluted shares outstanding,” said Radian’s Chief Financial Officer Frank Hall. “We believe the success of our capital activities is an indication of the improved outlook for Radian and for our industry.”

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss fourth quarter and year-end 2016 results in a conference call today, Thursday, January 26, 2017, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time.

The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet at http://www.radian.biz/page?name=Webcasts or at www.radian.biz. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800.230.1092 inside the U.S., or 612.234.9960 for international callers, using passcode 415619 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available approximately two and a half hours after the call ends for a period of two weeks, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800.475.6701 inside the U.S., or 320.365.3844 for international callers, passcode 415619.

In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's website under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking on http://www.radian.biz/page?name=QuarterlyResults.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

Radian believes that adjusted pretax operating income and adjusted diluted net operating income per share (non-GAAP measures) facilitate evaluation of the company’s fundamental financial performance and provide relevant and meaningful information to investors about the ongoing operating results of the company. On a consolidated basis, these measures are not recognized in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. The measures described below have been established in order to increase transparency for the purpose of evaluating the company’s core operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with Radian’s competitors.

Adjusted pretax operating income is defined as earnings excluding the impact of certain items that are not viewed as part of the operating performance of the company’s primary activities, or not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss). Adjusted pretax operating income adjusts GAAP pretax income to remove the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments; (ii) loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment; (iii) acquisition-related expenses; (iv) amortization and impairment of intangible assets; and (v) net impairment losses recognized in earnings. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share represents a diluted net income per share calculation using as its basis adjusted pretax operating income, net of taxes at the company’s statutory tax rate for the period.

In addition to the above non-GAAP measures for the consolidated company, the company also presents as supplemental information a non-GAAP measure for the Services segment, representing earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Services adjusted EBITDA is calculated by using the Services segment’s adjusted pretax operating income as described above, further adjusted to remove the impact of depreciation and corporate allocations for interest and operating expenses. Services adjusted EBITDA is presented to facilitate comparisons with other services companies, since it is a widely accepted measure of performance in the services industry.

See Exhibit F or Radian’s website for a description of these items, as well as Exhibit G for reconciliations to the most comparable consolidated GAAP measures.

ABOUT RADIAN

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance, risk management products and real estate services to financial institutions. Radian offers products and services through two business segments:

  • Mortgage Insurance, through its principal mortgage insurance subsidiary Radian Guaranty Inc. This private mortgage insurance protects lenders from default-related losses, facilitates the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market and enables homebuyers to purchase homes more quickly with downpayments less than 20%.
  • Mortgage and Real Estate Services, through its principal services subsidiary Clayton, as well as Green River Capital, Red Bell Real Estate and ValuAmerica. These solutions include information and services that financial institutions, investors and government entities use to evaluate, acquire, securitize, service and monitor loans and asset-backed securities.

Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.

FINANCIAL RESULTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CONTENTS (Unaudited)

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/page?name=FinancialReportsCorporate.

 

Exhibit A:

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations Trend Schedule

Exhibit B:

Net Income Per Share Trend Schedule

Exhibit C:

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit D:

Net Premiums Earned – Insurance and Other Operating Expenses

Exhibit E:

Segment Information

Exhibit F:

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Exhibit G:

Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations

Exhibit H:

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

New Insurance Written

Exhibit I:

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit J:

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

Claims and Reserves

Exhibit K:

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

Default Statistics

Exhibit L:

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

Captives, QSR and Persistency

      Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations Trend Schedule (1) Exhibit A (page 1 of 2)   2016 2015

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4   Revenues: Net premiums earned - insurance $ 233,585 $ 238,149 $ 229,085 $ 220,950 $ 226,443 Services revenue 49,905 45,877 40,263 32,849 38,338 Net investment income 28,996 28,430 28,839 27,201 22,833 Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (38,773 ) 7,711 30,527 31,286 (13,402 ) Other income 736   716   1,454   666   670   Total revenues 274,449   320,883   330,168   312,952   274,882     Expenses: Provision for losses 54,287 55,785 49,725 42,991 56,805 Policy acquisition costs 5,579 6,119 5,393 6,389 4,831 Direct cost of services 33,812 29,447 27,365 23,550 23,187 Other operating expenses 62,416 62,119 63,173 57,188 58,624 Interest expense 17,269 19,783 22,546 21,534 20,996 Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment 17,397 2,108 55,570 2,320 Amortization and impairment of intangible assets 3,290   3,292   3,311   3,328   3,409   Total expenses 176,653   193,942   173,621   210,550   170,172     Pretax income 97,796 126,941 156,547 102,402 104,710 Income tax provision 36,707   44,138   58,435   36,153   30,182   Net income $ 61,089   $ 82,803   $ 98,112   $ 66,249   $ 74,528     Diluted net income per share: $ 0.27 $ 0.37 $ 0.44 $ 0.29 $ 0.32   Selected Mortgage Insurance Key Ratios Loss ratio (2) 23.4 % 23.6 % 21.9 % 19.6 % 25.1 % Expense ratio (2) 22.7 % 22.7 % 23.6 % 21.8 % 22.6 %  

(1)

 

For all periods presented, incorporates organizational changes to align our segment reporting structure with recent changes in personnel reporting lines and management oversight related to contract underwriting performed on behalf of third parties. Revenue and expenses for this business is now reflected in the Services segment. As a result, for all periods presented, Services revenue and direct cost of services have increased, with offsetting reductions in Mortgage Insurance other income and other operating expenses.

(2)

Calculated on a GAAP basis using net premiums earned.

  Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (1) Exhibit A (page 2 of 2)   Year EndedDecember 31,

(In thousands, except per-share data)

2016   2015   Revenues: Net premiums earned - insurance $ 921,769 $ 915,908 Services revenue 168,894 157,216 Net investment income 113,466 81,537 Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments 30,751 35,693 Other income 3,572   2,899   Total revenues 1,238,452   1,193,253     Expenses: Provision for losses 202,788 198,585 Policy acquisition costs 23,480 22,424 Direct cost of services 114,174 93,715 Other operating expenses 244,896 242,405 Interest expense 81,132 91,102 Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment 75,075 94,207 Amortization and impairment of intangible assets 13,221   12,986   Total expenses 754,766   755,424     Pretax income from continuing operations 483,686 437,829 Income tax provision 175,433   156,290   Net income from continuing operations 308,253 281,539 Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   5,385   Net income $ 308,253   $ 286,924     Diluted net income per share: Net income from continuing operations $ 1.37 $ 1.20 Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   0.02   Net income $ 1.37   $ 1.22     Selected Mortgage Insurance Key Ratios Loss ratio (2) 22.2 % 21.7 % Expense ratio (2) 22.7 % 23.7 %  

(1)

For all periods presented, incorporates organizational changes to align our segment reporting structure with recent changes in personnel reporting lines and management oversight related to contract underwriting performed on behalf of third parties. Revenue and expenses for this business is now reflected in the Services segment. As a result, for all periods presented, Services revenue and direct cost of services have increased, with offsetting reductions in Mortgage Insurance other income and other operating expenses.

(2)

Calculated on a GAAP basis using net premiums earned.

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Net Income Per Share Trend Schedule Exhibit B (page 1 of 2)  

The calculation of basic and diluted net income per share was as follows:

  2016 2015

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4   Net income: Net income—basic $ 61,089 $ 82,803 $ 98,112 $ 66,249 $ 74,528 Adjustment for dilutive Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, net of tax (1) 665   848   913   3,390   3,664 Net income—diluted $ 61,754   $ 83,651   $ 99,025   $ 69,639   $ 78,192   Average common shares outstanding—basic 214,481 214,387 214,274 203,706 206,872 Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2017 (2) 421 178 12 — 1,057 Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2019 6,417 8,274 8,928 33,583 37,736 Dilutive effect of stock-based compensation arrangements (2) 3,457   3,129   2,989   2,418   2,316 Adjusted average common shares outstanding—diluted 224,776   225,968   226,203   239,707   247,981   Basic net income per share: $ 0.28   $ 0.39   $ 0.46   $ 0.33   $ 0.36   Diluted net income per share: $ 0.27   $ 0.37   $ 0.44   $ 0.29   $ 0.32  

(1)

As applicable, includes coupon interest, amortization of discount and fees, and other changes in income or loss that would result from the assumed conversion.

(2)

The following number of shares of our common stock equivalents issued under our stock-based compensation arrangements and convertible debt were not included in the calculation of diluted net income per share because they were anti-dilutive:

        2016 2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Shares of Convertible Senior Notes due 2017 — — 1,902 — Shares of common stock equivalents 1,042 1,045 1,042 709 728   Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Net Income Per Share Exhibit B (page 2 of 2)   Year Ended December 31,

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

2016   2015 Net income from continuing operations: Net income from continuing operations - basic $ 308,253 $ 281,539 Adjustment for dilutive Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, net of tax (1) 5,816   14,758 Net income from continuing operations - diluted $ 314,069   $ 296,297   Net income: Net income from continuing operations - basic $ 308,253 $ 281,539 Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   5,385 Net income - basic 308,253 286,924 Adjustment for dilutive Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, net of tax (1) 5,816   14,758 Net income - diluted $ 314,069   $ 301,682   Average common shares outstanding—basic 211,789 199,910 Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2017 (2) 207 6,293 Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2019 14,263 37,736 Dilutive effect of stock-based compensation arrangements (2) 2,999   2,393 Adjusted average common shares outstanding—diluted 229,258   246,332  

Net income (loss) per share:

  Basic: Net income from continuing operations $ 1.46 $ 1.41 Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   0.03 Net income $ 1.46   $ 1.44   Diluted: Net income from continuing operations $ 1.37 $ 1.20 Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   0.02 Net income $ 1.37   $ 1.22  

(1)

As applicable, includes coupon interest, amortization of discount and fees, and other changes in income or loss that would result from the assumed conversion.

(2)

The following number of shares of our common stock equivalents issued under our stock-based compensation arrangements were not included in the calculation of diluted net income per share because they were anti-dilutive:

      Year Ended December 31,

(In thousands)

2016   2015 Shares of common stock equivalents 1,042 728   Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets Exhibit C             December 31, September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31,

(In thousands, except per share data)

2016 2016 2016 2016 2015   Assets: Investments $ 4,462,430 $ 4,565,748 $ 4,636,914 $ 4,470,172 $ 4,298,686 Cash 52,149 46,356 55,062 64,844 46,898 Restricted cash 9,665 10,312 9,298 10,060 13,000 Accounts and notes receivable 77,631 94,692 77,170 66,340 61,734 Deferred income taxes, net 411,798 401,442 444,513 518,059 577,945 Goodwill and other intangible assets, net 276,228 279,400 282,703 286,069 289,417 Prepaid reinsurance premium 229,438 229,754 229,231 228,718 40,491 Other assets 343,835   422,123   332,372   325,129   313,929   Total assets $ 5,863,174   $ 6,049,827   $ 6,067,263   $ 5,969,391   $ 5,642,100     Liabilities and stockholders’ equity: Unearned premiums $ 681,222 $ 680,973 $ 677,599 $ 673,887 $ 680,300 Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expense 760,269 821,934 848,379 891,348 976,399 Long-term debt 1,069,537 1,067,666 1,278,051 1,286,466 1,219,454 Reinsurance funds withheld 158,001 177,147 163,360 151,104 — Other liabilities 321,859   413,401   294,507   306,188   269,016   Total liabilities 2,990,888   3,161,121   3,261,896   3,308,993   3,145,169     Common stock 232 232 232 232 224 Treasury stock (893,332 ) (893,197 ) (893,176 ) (893,176 ) (893,176 ) Additional paid-in capital 2,779,891 2,778,860 2,781,136 2,773,349 2,716,618 Retained earnings 997,890 937,338 855,070 757,202 691,742 Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (12,395 ) 65,473   62,105   22,791   (18,477 ) Total stockholders’ equity 2,872,286   2,888,706   2,805,367   2,660,398   2,496,931   Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity $ 5,863,174   $ 6,049,827   $ 6,067,263   $ 5,969,391   $ 5,642,100     Shares outstanding 214,521 214,405 214,284 214,265 206,872   Book value per share $ 13.39 $ 13.47 $ 13.09 $ 12.42 $ 12.07   Statutory Capital Ratios Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only 13.5 :1

(1)

13.7 :1 14.0 :1 12.5 :1 14.3 :1 Risk to capital ratio-Mortgage Insurance combined 13.6 :1 (1) 13.9 :1 14.2 :1 12.9 :1 14.6 :1  

(1) Preliminary.

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Net Premiums Earned - Insurance and Other Operating Expenses Exhibit D (page 1 of 2)     2016 2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4   Premiums earned - insurance: Direct $ 251,751 $ 258,074 $ 248,938 $ 240,330 $ 239,424 Assumed 8 9 9 9 10 Ceded (18,174 ) (19,934 ) (19,862 ) (19,389 ) (12,991 ) Net premiums earned - insurance $ 233,585   $ 238,149   $ 229,085   $ 220,950   $ 226,443     Notable variable items: (1) Single Premium Policy cancellations, net of reinsurance $ 15,702 $ 18,448 $ 14,841 $ 9,783 $ 13,520 Profit commission - reinsurance (2) 8,458   8,922   7,891   6,134   1,559   Total $ 24,160   $ 27,370   $ 22,732   $ 15,917   $ 15,079    

Other operating expenses (3)

$ 62,416   $ 62,119   $ 63,173   $ 57,188   $ 58,624     Notable variable items: (4) Technology upgrade project (5) $ 3,648 $ 2,440 $ 2,443 $ 2,271 $ 1,558 Severance costs 888 1,137 277 3,040 116 Incentive compensation (6) (7) 9,072 12,652 14,183 6,235 4,013 Ceding commissions (8) (5,105 ) (5,460 ) (5,006 ) (4,413 ) (1,229 ) Total $ 8,503   $ 10,769   $ 11,897   $ 7,133   $ 4,458    

(1)

Affecting net premiums earned-insurance.

(2)

For 2016, the amounts represent the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Transaction. For 2015, the amount represents an accrual for the profit commission on the Second QSR Transaction.

(3)

For all periods presented, incorporates organizational changes to align our segment reporting structure with recent changes in personnel reporting lines and management oversight related to contract underwriting performed on behalf of third parties. Revenue and expenses for this business is now reflected in the Services segment. As a result, for all periods presented, Services revenue and direct cost of services have increased, with offsetting reductions in Mortgage Insurance other income and other operating expenses.

(4)

Affecting other operating expenses.

(5)

Represents the expense impact of certain costs incurred in our initiative to significantly upgrade our technology systems.

(6)

The expense relates to short- and long-term incentive compensation programs. For our equity-settled long-term incentive awards the annual grants for 2016 were made in the second quarter of 2016. Therefore, expense in the second quarter of 2016 was elevated, primarily due to the required acceleration of expense recognition for retirement-eligible employees, who are considered effectively vested immediately in grants that would otherwise vest over a period of 3 or 4 years. The expense in the third and fourth quarter of 2016 remained elevated, primarily due to adjustments to accrued short-term incentives based on year-to-date performance.

(7)

Incentive compensation expense is shown net of deferred policy acquisition costs.

(8)

Ceding commissions are shown net of deferred policy acquisition costs.

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Net Premiums Earned - Insurance and Other Operating Expenses Exhibit D (page 2 of 2)   Year Ended December 31,

(In thousands)

2016   2015   Premiums earned - insurance: Direct $ 999,093 $ 973,645 Assumed 35 43 Ceded (77,359 ) (57,780 )

Net premiums earned - insurance

$ 921,769   $ 915,908     Notable variable items: (1) Single Premium Policy cancellations, net of reinsurance $ 58,774 $ 68,267 Profit commission - reinsurance (2) 31,405   7,993   Total $ 90,179   $ 76,260    

Other operating expenses (3)

$ 244,896   $ 242,405     Notable variable items: (4) Technology upgrade project (5) $ 10,802 $ 7,108 Severance costs 5,342 1,517 Incentive compensation (6) (7) 42,142 40,186 Ceding commissions (8) (19,984 ) (5,482 ) Total $ 38,302   $ 43,329    

(1)

Affecting net premiums earned-insurance.

(2)

For 2016, the amounts represent the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Transaction. For 2015, the amount represents an accrual for the profit commission on the Second QSR Transaction.

(3)

For all periods presented, incorporates organizational changes to align our segment reporting structure with recent changes in personnel reporting lines and management oversight related to contract underwriting performed on behalf of third parties. Revenue and expenses for this business is now reflected in the Services segment. As a result, for all periods presented, Services revenue and direct cost of services have increased, with offsetting reductions in Mortgage Insurance other income and other operating expenses.

(4)

Affecting other operating expenses.

(5)

Represents the expense impact of certain costs incurred in our initiative to significantly upgrade our technology systems.

(6)

The expense relates to short- and long-term incentive compensation programs.

(7)

Incentive compensation expense is shown net of deferred policy acquisition costs.

(8)

Ceding commissions are shown net of deferred policy acquisition costs.

   

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 1 of 3)

  Summarized financial information concerning our operating segments as of and for the periods indicated is as follows. For a definition of adjusted pretax operating income and Services adjusted EBITDA, along with reconciliations to consolidated GAAP measures, see Exhibits F and G.       Mortgage Insurance (1) 2016   2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 4     Qtr 3     Qtr 2     Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Net premiums written - insurance $ 234,172 $ 240,999 $ 232,353 $ 26,310

(2)

$ 233,347 Decrease (increase) in unearned premiums   (587 )   (2,850 )   (3,268 )   194,640     (6,904 ) Net premiums earned - insurance 233,585 238,149 229,085 220,950 226,443 Net investment income 28,996 28,430 28,839 27,201 22,833 Other income   736     716     1,454     666     670   Total   263,317     267,295     259,378     248,817     249,946     Provision for losses 54,675 56,151 50,074 43,275 56,817 Policy acquisition costs 5,579 6,119 5,393 6,389 4,831 Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   37,773     35,940     34,365     32,546     37,156   Total (3)   98,027     98,210     89,832     82,210     98,804   Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations 165,290 169,085 169,546 166,607 151,142 Allocation of corporate operating expenses 9,652 11,911 14,286 9,329 9,251 Allocation of interest expense   12,843     15,360     18,124     17,112     16,582   Adjusted pretax operating income $ 142,795   $ 141,814   $ 137,136   $ 140,166   $ 125,309       Services (1) 2016 2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 4 Qtr 3 Qtr 2 Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Services revenue (3) $ 52,558   $ 48,033   $ 42,210   $ 34,448   $ 39,498     Direct cost of services 34,130 29,655 27,730 23,854 23,826 Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   14,842     13,575     13,030     14,368     11,492   Total   48,972     43,230     40,760     38,222     35,318   Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) before corporate allocations (4) 3,586 4,803 1,450 (3,774 ) 4,180 Allocation of corporate operating expenses 1,738 2,265 2,779 1,751 968 Allocation of interest expense   4,426     4,423     4,422     4,422     4,414   Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) $ (2,578 ) $ (1,885 ) $ (5,751 ) $ (9,947 ) $ (1,202 )  

(1)

 

For all periods presented, incorporates organizational changes to align our segment reporting structure with recent changes in personnel reporting lines and management oversight related to contract underwriting performed on behalf of third parties. Revenue and expenses for this business is now reflected in the Services segment. As a result, for all periods presented, Services revenue, direct cost of services and other operating expenses have increased, with offsetting reductions in Mortgage Insurance other income and other operating expenses.

(2)

Net of ceded premiums written under the Single Premium QSR transaction of $197.6 million.

(3)

Inter-segment information:

          2016 2015 Qtr 4     Qtr 3     Qtr 2     Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Inter-segment expense included in Mortgage Insurance segment $ 2,653 $ 2,156 $ 1,947 $ 1,599 $ 1,160 Inter-segment revenue included in Services segment 2,653 2,156 1,947 1,599 1,160    

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 2 of 3)

 

(4)

Supplemental information for Services adjusted EBITDA (see definition in Exhibit F):

        2016 2015 Qtr 4   Qtr 3     Qtr 2     Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations $ 3,586 $ 4,803 $ 1,450 $ (3,774 ) $ 4,180 Depreciation and amortization   829     884     749   663     612 Services EBITDA $ 4,415   $ 5,687   $ 2,199 $ (3,111 ) $ 4,792     Mortgage Insurance (1) Year EndedDecember 31,

(In thousands)

2016 2015 Net premiums written - insurance $ 733,834

(2)

$

968,505

Decrease (increase) in unearned premiums   187,935     (52,597 ) Net premiums earned - insurance 921,769 915,908 Net investment income (3) 113,466 81,537 Other income (3)   3,572     2,899   Total   1,038,807     1,000,344     Provision for losses 204,175 198,433 Policy acquisition costs 23,480 22,424 Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   140,624     148,619   Total (4)   368,279     369,476   Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations 670,528 630,868 Allocation of corporate operating expenses (3) 45,178 46,418 Allocation of interest expense (3)   63,439     73,402   Adjusted pretax operating income $ 561,911   $ 511,048       Services (1) Year EndedDecember 31,

(In thousands)

2016 2015 Services revenue (4) $ 177,249   $ 163,140     Direct cost of services 115,369 97,256 Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   55,815     43,515   Total   171,184     140,771   Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) before corporate allocations (5) 6,065 22,369 Allocation of corporate operating expenses 8,533 4,823 Allocation of interest expense   17,693     17,700   Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) $ (20,161 ) $ (154 )  

(1)

 

For all periods presented, incorporates organizational changes to align our segment reporting structure with recent changes in personnel reporting lines and management oversight related to contract underwriting performed on behalf of third parties. Revenue and expenses for this business is now reflected in the Services segment. As a result, for all periods presented, Services revenue, direct cost of services and other operating expenses have increased, with offsetting reductions in Mortgage Insurance other income and other operating expenses.

   

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 3 of 3)

 

(2)

Net of ceded premiums written under the Single Premium QSR transaction of $197.6 million.

 

(3)

For periods prior to the quarter ended June 30, 2015, includes certain corporate income and expenses that have been reallocated from our prior financial guaranty segment to the Mortgage Insurance segment and that were not reclassified to discontinued operations.

 

(4)

Inter-segment information:

      Year EndedDecember 31, 2016     2015 Inter-segment expense included in Mortgage Insurance segment $ 8,355 $ 5,924 Inter-segment revenue included in Services segment 8,355 5,924    

(5)

Supplemental information for Services adjusted EBITDA (see definition in Exhibit F)

  Year EndedDecember 31, 2016 2015 Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations $ 6,065 $ 22,369 Depreciation and amortization   3,125   2,098 Services EBITDA $ 9,190 $ 24,467                

Selected balance sheet information for our segments, as of the periods indicated, is a follows:

  At December 31, 2016

(In thousands)

MortgageInsurance

    Services     Total Total assets $ 5,506,338 $ 356,836 $ 5,863,174     At December 31, 2015

(In thousands)

MortgageInsurance

Services Total Total assets $ 5,290,422 $ 351,678 $ 5,642,100    

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Exhibit F (page 1 of 2)

   

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income” and “adjusted diluted net operating income per share,” non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the Company’s business performance is evaluated by both management and the board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis “adjusted pretax operating income” and “adjusted diluted net operating income per share” are non-GAAP financial measures, we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations. Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (the Company’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of the Company’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.   Adjusted pretax operating income is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income from continuing operations excluding the effects of net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment, acquisition-related expenses, amortization and impairment of intangible assets and net impairment losses recognized in earnings. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share is calculated by dividing (i) adjusted pretax operating income attributable to common shareholders, net of taxes computed using the company’s statutory tax rate, by (ii) the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. Interest expense on convertible debt, share dilution from convertible debt and the impact of stock-based compensation arrangements have been reflected in the per share calculations consistent with the accounting standard regarding earnings per share, whenever the impact is dilutive.   Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (1) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in consolidated pretax income (loss) from continuing operations. These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described below.

 

  (1)

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles. Unrealized investment gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in economic gains or losses.

  Trends in the profitability of our fundamental operating activities can be more clearly identified without the fluctuations of these realized and unrealized gains or losses. We do not view them to be indicative of our fundamental operating activities. Therefore, these items are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss). However, we include the change in expected economic loss or recovery associated with our consolidated VIEs, if any, in the calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).   (2)

Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment. Gains or losses on early extinguishment of debt and losses incurred to purchase our convertible debt prior to maturity are discretionary activities that are undertaken in order to take advantage of market opportunities to strengthen our financial and capital positions; therefore, we do not view these activities as part of our operating performance. Such transactions do not reflect expected future operations and do not provide meaningful insight regarding our current or past operating trends. Therefore, these items are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

  (3)

Acquisition-related expenses. Acquisition-related expenses represent the costs incurred to effect an acquisition of a business (i.e., a business combination). Because we pursue acquisitions on a strategic and selective basis and not in the ordinary course of our business, we do not view acquisition-related expenses as a consequence of a primary business activity. Therefore, we do not consider these expenses to be part of our operating performance and they are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

  (4)

Amortization and impairment of intangible assets. Amortization of intangible assets represents the periodic expense required to amortize the cost of intangible assets over their estimated useful lives. Intangible assets with an indefinite useful life are also periodically reviewed for potential impairment, and impairment adjustments are made whenever appropriate. These charges are not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities and therefore are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

   

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Exhibit F (page 2 of 2)

  (5)

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings. The recognition of net impairment losses on investments can vary significantly in both size and timing, depending on market credit cycles. We do not view these impairment losses to be indicative of our fundamental operating activities. Therefore, whenever these losses occur, we exclude them from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

  In addition to the above non-GAAP measures for the consolidated company, we also have presented as supplemental information a non-GAAP measure for our Services segment, representing a measure of earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”). We calculate Services adjusted EBITDA by using adjusted pretax operating income as described above, further adjusted to remove the impact of depreciation and corporate allocations for interest and operating expenses. We have presented Services adjusted EBITDA to facilitate comparisons with other services companies, since it is a widely accepted measure of performance in the services industry.   See Exhibit G for the reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measures, consolidated pretax income from continuing operations and diluted net income per share from continuing operations, to our non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, adjusted pretax operating income and adjusted diluted net operating income per share, respectively. Exhibit G also contains the reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measure, net income, to Services adjusted EBITDA.   Total adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and Services adjusted EBITDA are not measures of total profitability, and therefore should not be viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income, diluted net income per share or net income. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share or Services adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies.                      

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations

Exhibit G (page 1 of 4)

 

Reconciliation of Consolidated Pretax Income to Adjusted Pretax Operating Income

  2016 2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 4 Qtr 3 Qtr 2 Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Consolidated pretax income $ 97,796 $ 126,941 $ 156,547 $ 102,402 $ 104,710 Less income (expense) items: Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (38,773 ) 7,711 30,527 31,286 (13,402 ) Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (17,397 ) (2,108 ) (55,570 ) (2,320 ) Acquisition-related expenses (1) (358 ) (10 ) 54 (205 ) (266 ) Amortization and impairment of intangible assets   (3,290 )   (3,292 )   (3,311 )   (3,328 )   (3,409 ) Total adjusted pretax operating income (2) $ 140,217   $ 139,929   $ 131,385   $ 130,219   $ 124,107    

(1) Please see Exhibit F for the definition of this line item.

(2) Total adjusted pretax operating income consists of adjusted pretax operating income for each segment as follows:

  2016 2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 4 Qtr 3 Qtr 2 Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Adjusted pretax operating income (loss): Mortgage Insurance $ 142,795 $ 141,814 $ 137,136 $ 140,166 $ 125,309 Services   (2,578 )   (1,885 )   (5,751 )   (9,947 )   (1,202 ) Total adjusted pretax operating income $ 140,217   $ 139,929   $ 131,385   $ 130,219   $ 124,107       Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations Exhibit G (page 2 of 4)   Reconciliation of Diluted Net Income Per Share to Adjusted Diluted Net Operating Income Per Share     2016 2015 Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Diluted net income per share $ 0.27 $ 0.37 $ 0.44 $ 0.29 $ 0.32   Less per-share impact of debt items: Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (0.08 ) (0.01 ) (0.23 ) (0.01 ) Income tax provision (benefit) (1)   (0.03 ) —   (0.03 ) (0.04 ) Per-share impact of debt items   (0.05 ) (0.01 ) (0.20 ) 0.03     Less per-share impact of other income (expense) items: Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (0.17 ) 0.03 0.13 0.13 (0.05 ) Acquisition-related expenses — — — — Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (0.02 ) (0.01 ) (0.01 ) (0.01 ) (0.01 ) Income tax provision (benefit) on other income (expense) items (2) (0.07 ) 0.01 0.04 0.04 (0.02 ) Difference between statutory and effective tax rate (0.02 ) —   (0.01 ) 0.04   (0.01 ) Per-share impact of other income (expense) items (0.14 ) 0.01   0.07   0.12   (0.05 ) Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (2) $ 0.41   $ 0.41   $ 0.38   $ 0.37   $ 0.34    

(1)

 

A portion of the loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment is non-deductible for tax purposes. The income tax benefit is based on the tax deductible loss using the company's federal statutory tax rate.

(2)

Calculated using the company’s federal statutory tax rate. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

   

Reconciliation of Consolidated Pretax Income from Continuing Operations to Adjusted Pretax Operating Income

  Year EndedDecember 31,

(In thousands)

2016   2015 Consolidated pretax income from continuing operations $ 483,686 $ 437,829 Less income (expense) items: Net gains on investments and other financial instruments 30,751 35,693 Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (75,075 ) (94,207 ) Acquisition-related expenses (1) (519 ) (1,565 ) Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (13,221 ) (12,986 ) Total adjusted pretax operating income (2) $ 541,750   $ 510,894    

(1)

 

Please see Exhibit F for the definition of this line item.

(2)

Total adjusted pretax operating income consists of adjusted pretax operating income for each segment as follows:

  Year EndedDecember 31,

(In thousands)

2016   2015 Adjusted pretax operating income (loss): Mortgage Insurance * $ 561,911 $ 511,048 Services (20,161 ) (154 ) Total adjusted pretax operating income $ 541,750   $ 510,894  

*

 

For periods prior to the quarter ended June 30, 2015, includes certain corporate income and expenses that have been reallocated from our prior financial guaranty segment to the Mortgage Insurance segment and that were not reclassified to discontinued operations.

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations Exhibit G (page 3 of 4)  

Reconciliation of Diluted Net Income Per Share from Continuing Operations to Adjusted Diluted Net Operating Income Per Share

  Year EndedDecember 31, 2016   2015 Diluted net income per share from continuing operations $ 1.37 $ 1.20   Less per-share impact of debt items: Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (0.33 ) (0.38 ) Income tax provision (benefit) (1) (0.07 ) (0.13 ) Per-share impact of debt items (0.26 ) (0.25 )   Less per-share impact of other income (expense) items: Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments 0.14 0.14 Acquisition-related expenses (0.01 ) Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (0.06 ) (0.05 ) Income tax provision (benefit) on other income (expense) items (2) 0.03 0.03 Difference between statutory and effective tax rate 0.02   —   Per-share impact of other income (expense) items 0.07   0.05   Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (2) $ 1.56   $ 1.40    

(1)

 

A portion of the loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment is non-deductible for tax purposes. The income tax benefit is based on the tax deductible loss using the company's federal statutory tax rate.

(2)

Calculated using the company’s federal statutory tax rate. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations Exhibit G (page 4 of 4)     Reconciliation of Net Income to Services Adjusted EBITDA     2016 2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4 Net income $ 61,089 $ 82,803 $ 98,112 $ 66,249 $ 74,528 Less income (expense) items: Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (38,773 ) 7,711 30,527 31,286 (13,402 ) Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (17,397 ) (2,108 ) (55,570 ) (2,320 ) Acquisition-related expenses (358 ) (10 ) 54 (205 ) (266 ) Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (3,290 ) (3,292 ) (3,311 ) (3,328 ) (3,409 ) Income tax provision 36,707 44,138 58,435 36,153 30,182 Mortgage Insurance adjusted pretax operating income 142,795   141,814   137,136   140,166   125,309   Services adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (2,578 ) (1,885 ) (5,751 ) (9,947 ) (1,202 ) Less income (expense) items: Allocation of corporate operating expenses to Services (1,738 ) (2,265 ) (2,779 ) (1,751 ) (968 ) Allocation of corporate interest expenses to Services (4,426 ) (4,423 ) (4,422 ) (4,422 ) (4,414 ) Services depreciation and amortization (829 ) (884 ) (749 ) (663 ) (612 ) Services adjusted EBITDA $ 4,415   $ 5,687   $ 2,199   $ (3,111 ) $ 4,792     On a consolidated basis, “adjusted pretax operating income” and “adjusted diluted net operating income per share” are measures not determined in accordance with GAAP. “Services adjusted EBITDA” is also a non-GAAP measure. These measures are not representative of total profitability, and therefore should not be viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income or diluted net income per share. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share or Services adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies. See Exhibit F for additional information on our consolidated non-GAAP financial measures.      

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - New Insurance Written

Exhibit H

2016 2015

($ in millions)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4   Total primary new insurance written $ 13,882   $ 15,656   $ 12,921   $ 8,071   $ 9,099    

Percentage of primary new insurance written by FICO score

>=740 63.4 % 64.2 % 60.9 % 58.4 % 60.3 %

680-739

31.4 30.4 32.2 33.7 32.2 620-679 5.2   5.4   6.9   7.9   7.5   Total Primary 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %

100.0

% 100.0 %  

Percentage of primary new insurance written

Monthly and other premiums 73 % 73 % 74 % 71 % 71 % Single premiums 27 % 27 % 26 % 29 % 29 %   Net single premiums (1) 17 % 17 % 17 % 19 % 29 %   Refinances 27 % 22 % 18 % 19 % 17 %   LTV 95.01% and above 7.4 % 6.0 % 4.8 % 3.7 % 3.6 % 90.01% to 95.00% 43.6 % 47.1 % 50.2 % 50.5 % 49.5 % 85.01% to 90.00% 32.3 % 31.4 % 31.8 % 33.1 % 34.4 % 85.00% and below 16.7 % 15.5 % 13.2 % 12.7 % 12.5 %

(1)

 

In 2016, represents the percentage of direct single premiums written, after consideration of the 35% single premium NIW ceded under the Single Premium QSR Transaction.

         

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit I

  December 31, September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31, ($ in millions) 2016 2016 2016 2016 2015

Primary insurance in force (1)

Prime $ 174,927 $ 172,178 $ 168,259 $ 165,526 $ 165,291 Alt-A 5,064 5,363 5,627 5,907 6,176 A minus and below 3,459   3,624   3,786   3,953   4,117   Total Primary $ 183,450   $ 181,165   $ 177,672   $ 175,386   $ 175,584    

Primary risk in force (1) (2)

Prime $ 44,708 $ 44,075 $ 43,076 $ 42,312 $ 42,170 Alt-A 1,168 1,241 1,302 1,366 1,427 A minus and below 865   906   946   988   1,030   Total Primary $ 46,741   $ 46,222   $ 45,324   $ 44,666   $ 44,627    

Percentage of primary risk in force

Direct monthly and other premiums 69 % 69 % 69 % 69 % 69 % Direct single premiums 31 % 31 % 31 % 31 % 31 %   Net single premiums (3) 25 % 25 % 25 % 25 % 30 %  

Percentage of primary risk in force by FICO score

>=740 57.6 % 57.4 % 57.1 % 57.0 % 57.1 % 680-739 31.0 30.9 30.8 30.6 30.3 620-679 9.9 10.2 10.5 10.7 10.8 <=619 1.5   1.5   1.6   1.7   1.8   Total Primary 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %  

Percentage of primary risk in force by LTV

95.01% and above 7.4 % 7.2 % 7.1 % 7.2 % 7.3 % 90.01% to 95.00% 52.3 52.1 51.6 50.9 50.4 85.01% to 90.00% 32.5 32.8 33.3 33.7 34.0 85.00% and below 7.8   7.9   8.0   8.2   8.3   Total 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %  

Percentage of primary risk in force by policy year

2005 and prior 4.8 % 5.1 % 5.5 % 6.0 % 6.3 %

2006

2.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.7

2007

7.0 7.4 7.9 8.4 8.7

2008

4.8 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.3

2009

1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7

2010

0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4

2011

2.0 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.9

2012

8.0 8.8 9.7 10.6 11.2

2013

12.6 13.9 15.5 17.0 18.1

2014

12.0 13.4 14.9 16.3 17.1

2015

18.1 19.4 21.0 22.0 22.6

2016

25.9   19.3   11.5   4.6   —   Total 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %   Primary risk in force on defaulted loans (4) $ 1,363 $ 1,381 $ 1,398 $ 1,562 $ 1,625

(1)

 

Includes amounts ceded under our reinsurance agreements, as well as amounts related to the Freddie Mac Agreement.

(2)

Does not include pool risk in force or other risk in force, which combined represent less than 3.0% of our total risk in force for all periods presented.

(3)

Represents the percentage of Single Premium RIF, after giving effect to all reinsurance ceded.

(4)

Excludes risk related to loans subject to the Freddie Mac Agreement.

   

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Claims and Reserves

Exhibit J

  2016 2015

($ in thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4   Net claims paid: (1) Prime $ 70,151 $ 51,964 $ 56,036 $ 74,432 $ 56,900 Alt-A 27,558 16,334 18,349 28,929 21,343 A minus and below 13,760   9,615   12,315   13,196   11,530   Total primary claims paid 111,469 77,913 86,700 116,557 89,773 Pool 4,788 4,492 5,451 7,389 6,477 Second-lien and other (264 ) (234 ) (231 ) 345   (143 ) Subtotal 115,993 82,171 91,920 124,291 96,107 Impact of captive terminations 492 (171 ) (2,619 ) (120 ) (65 ) Impact of settlements (2)   705   1,400   3,500   80,426   Total net claims paid $ 116,485   $ 82,705   $ 90,701   $ 127,671   $ 176,468     Average net claims paid (3) Prime $ 45.5 $ 48.3 $ 48.6 $ 47.7 $ 46.9 Alt-A 65.5 65.3 63.5 63.0 61.7 A minus and below 37.7 41.3 39.9 36.8 40.6 Total average net primary claims paid 47.9 50.0 49.5 49.0 48.7 Pool 45.6 51.0 58.0 53.2 56.3 Total average net claims paid $ 47.6 $ 49.7 $ 49.6 $ 48.9 $ 48.9   Average direct primary claims paid (3) (4) $ 48.2 $ 50.3 $ 49.9 $ 49.6 $ 50.5 Average total direct claims paid (3) (4) $ 47.9 $ 50.0 $ 50.0 $ 49.5 $ 50.6  

($ in thousands, except primary reserve per

December 31, September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31,

primary default amounts)

2016 2016 2016 2016 2015   Reserve for losses by category Prime $ 379,845 $ 409,438 $ 420,281 $ 438,598 $ 480,481 Alt-A 148,006 166,349 173,284 183,189 203,706 A minus and below 101,653 106,678 112,001 116,835 129,352 IBNR and other 71,107 73,057 74,639 79,051 83,066 LAE 18,630 21,255 22,389 23,600 26,108 Reinsurance recoverable (5) 6,816   6,448   6,044   8,239   8,286   Total primary reserves 726,057   783,225   808,638   849,512   930,999   Pool insurance 31,853 36,065 36,982 38,843 42,084 IBNR and other 673 823 897 1,050 1,118 LAE 933 1,112 1,163 1,227 1,335 Reinsurance recoverable (5) 34   36   33   —   —   Total pool reserves 33,493   38,036   39,075   41,120   44,537   Total 1st lien reserves 759,550 821,261 847,713 890,632 975,536 Second-lien and other 719   673   666   716   863   Total reserves $ 760,269   $ 821,934   $ 848,379   $ 891,348   $ 976,399     1st lien reserve per default Primary reserve per primary default excluding IBNR and other $ 22,503 $ 24,049 $ 24,609 $ 24,959 $ 24,019

(1)

 

Net of reinsurance recoveries.

(2)

For 2015, includes the impact of the BofA Settlement Agreement.

(3)

Calculated without giving effect to the impact of the termination of captive transactions and settlements.

(4)

Before reinsurance recoveries.

(5)

Represents ceded losses on captive transactions and quota share reinsurance transactions.

       

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Default Statistics

Exhibit K

  December 31, September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31, 2016 2016 2016 2016 2015

Default Statistics

Primary Insurance:

Prime

Number of insured loans 849,227 840,534 826,511 817,236 816,797 Number of loans in default 19,101 19,100 19,025 19,510 22,223 Percentage of loans in default 2.25 % 2.27 % 2.30 % 2.39 % 2.72 %  

Alt-A

Number of insured loans 26,536 28,080 29,445 30,990 32,411 Number of loans in default 4,193 4,545 4,820 5,138 5,813 Percentage of loans in default 15.80 % 16.19 % 16.37 % 16.58 % 17.94 %  

A minus and below

Number of insured loans 27,115 28,313 29,450 30,681 31,902 Number of loans in default 5,811 5,885 5,982 6,221 7,267 Percentage of loans in default 21.43 % 20.79 % 20.31 % 20.28 % 22.78 %   Total Primary Number of insured loans 902,878 896,927 885,406 878,907 881,110 Number of loans in default (1) 29,105 29,530 29,827 30,869 35,303 Percentage of loans in default 3.22 % 3.29 % 3.37 % 3.51 % 4.01 %

(1)

 

Excludes the following number of loans subject to the Freddie Mac Agreement that are in default as we no longer have claims exposure on these loans:

  December 31,   September 30,   June 30,   March 31,   December 31, 2016 2016 2016 2016 2015 Number of loans in default 1,639 1,888 2,180 2,339 2,821    

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Captives, QSR and Persistency

Exhibit L

  2016 2015

($ in thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4  

Initial and Second Quota Share Reinsurance (“QSR”) Transaction

QSR ceded premiums written (1) $ 6,049 $ 6,730 $ 7,356 $ 7,962 $ 6,934 % of premiums written 2.4 % 2.6 % 2.9 % 3.4 % 2.9 % QSR ceded premiums earned (1) $ 9,421 $ 10,597 $ 11,172 $ 11,325 $ 10,523 % of premiums earned 3.8 % 4.1 % 4.5 % 4.7 % 4.4 % Ceding commissions written $ 1,728 $ 1,922 $ 2,099 $ 2,270 $ 2,553 Ceding commissions earned (2) $ 4,374 $ 3,974 $ 3,779 $ 4,446 $ 3,466 Profit commission $ $ — $ — $ — $ 1,559 Risk in force included in QSR (3) $ 1,578,300 $ 1,718,031 $ 1,872,017 $ 2,018,468 $ 2,131,030  

Single Premium QSR Transaction

QSR ceded premiums written (1) $ 11,121 $ 13,004 $ 11,488 $ 197,593 N/A % of premiums written 4.4 % 5.0 % 4.6 % 84.7 % N/A QSR ceded premiums earned (1) $ 8,060 $ 8,608 $ 7,146 $ 5,994 N/A % of premiums earned 3.2 % 3.3 % 2.9 % 2.5 % N/A Ceding commissions written $ 4,895 $ 5,482 $ 4,844 $ 50,932 N/A Ceding commissions earned (2) $ 4,130 $ 4,382 $ 3,759 $ 3,032 N/A Profit commission $ 8,458 $ 8,922 $ 7,891 $ 6,134 N/A Risk in force included in QSR (3) $ 3,761,648 $ 3,621,993 $ 3,461,464 $ 3,308,057 N/A   Total risk in force included in QSRs $ 5,339,948 $ 5,340,024 $ 5,333,481 $ 5,326,525 $ 2,131,030  

1st Lien Captives

Premiums earned ceded to captives $ 503 $ 537 $ 1,346 $ 1,869 $ 2,268 % of total premiums earned 0.2 % 0.2 % 0.5 % 0.8 % 1.0 %   Persistency Rate (twelve months ended) 76.7 % 78.4 % 79.9 % 79.4 % 78.8 % Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (4) 76.8 % 75.3 % 78.0 % 82.3 % 81.8 %

(1)

 

Net of profit commission.

(2)

Includes amounts reported in policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses.

(3)

Included in primary risk in force.

(4)

The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, and may not be indicative of full-year trends.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

All statements in this report that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Exchange Act and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In most cases, forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as "anticipate," "may," "will," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "intend," "plan," "goal," "contemplate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "project," "potential," "continue," "seek," "strategy," "future," "likely" or the negative or other variations on these words and other similar expressions. These statements, which may include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition, are made on the basis of management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statement. These statements speak only as of the date they were made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We operate in a changing environment. New risks emerge from time to time and it is not possible for us to predict all risks that may affect us. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements including:

  • changes in general economic and political conditions, including in particular but without limitation, unemployment rates, interest rates and changes in housing and mortgage credit markets, that impact the size of the insurable market and the credit performance of our insured portfolio;
  • changes in the way customers, investors, regulators or legislators perceive the performance and financial strength of private mortgage insurers;
  • Radian Guaranty’s ability to remain eligible under the PMIERs and other applicable requirements imposed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency and by the GSEs to insure loans purchased by the GSEs;
  • our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans and to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet our short- and long-term liquidity needs;
  • our ability to successfully execute and implement our business plans and strategies, including in particular but without limitation, plans and strategies that require GSE and/or regulatory approvals;
  • our ability to maintain an adequate level of capital in our insurance subsidiaries to satisfy existing and future state regulatory requirements;
  • changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or regulations imposed by or applicable to the GSEs, including the GSEs’ interpretation and application of the PMIERs to our mortgage insurance business;
  • changes in the current housing finance system in the U.S., including in particular but without limitation, the role of the FHA, the GSEs and private mortgage insurers in this system;
  • any disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies, as well as poor servicer performance;
  • a significant decrease in the persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies;
  • competition in our mortgage insurance business, including in particular but without limitation, price competition and competition from the FHA, VA and other forms of credit enhancement;
  • the effect of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act on the financial services industry in general, and on our businesses in particular;
  • the adoption of new laws and regulations, or changes in existing laws and regulations, or the way they are interpreted or applied;
  • the outcome of legal and regulatory actions, reviews, audits, inquiries and investigations that could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures or have other effects on our business;
  • the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated with federal or other tax examinations, including deficiencies assessed by the IRS resulting from its examination of our 2000 through 2007 tax years, which we are currently contesting;
  • the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance business;
  • volatility in our results of operations caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities, including a significant portion of our investment portfolio;
  • changes in GAAP or SAPP rules and guidance, or their interpretation;
  • our ability to attract and retain key employees;
  • legal and other limitations on dividends and other amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries; and
  • the possibility that we may need to impair the carrying value of goodwill established in connection with our acquisition of Clayton.

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of our 2015 Form 10-K, and in our subsequent quarterly and other reports filed from time to time with the SEC. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this report. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

Radian Group Inc.Emily Riley, 215-231-1035emily.riley@radian.biz

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