By Ellie Ismailidou and Sara Sjolin, MarketWatch

Pound touches 2016 high as the Brits head to vote

U.S. stocks rose on Thursday as investors wager that the U.K. will vote to remain in the European Union in a closely watched referendum.

A fall in U.S. jobless claims (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/jobless-claims-tumble-to-8-week-low-of-259000-as-labor-market-stays-strong-2016-06-23)to an eight-week low, indicating strength in the labor market, also boosted sentiment.

The S&P 500 index rose 15 points, or 0.7%, regaining the psychologically important 2,100 level, with nine of its 10 sectors in positive territory. Financial and materials stocks were leading the gains, up 1.4% and 1.2% respectively. Utilities were in negative territory, down 0.2%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 128 points, or 0.7%, to 17,909. Goldman Sachs Group Inc..(GS) up 1.9%, led gainers in the blue-chip gauge.

The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 36 points, or 0.8%, to 4,869.

Among stock movers, Macy's Inc. (M) gained 4.2% after announcing that Jeffrey Gennette will succeed Terry Lundgren as chief executive officer (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/macys-announces-ceo-succession-plan-2016-06-23) in the first quarter of 2017.

The rebound for stocks comes after all three benchmarks ended lower Wednesday (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-futures-in-holding-pattern-with-one-day-to-go-before-brexit-vote-2016-06-22)following the release of a poll that gave those favoring an exit from the EU, dubbed Brexit, gaining a statistically insignificant advantage.

More recently, a pair of polls released after the U.S. market's closed, as well as an Ipsos Mori phone poll released Thursday morning showed support for "remain" (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ipsos-mori-brexit-poll-puts-remain-4-points-ahead-2016-06-23) slightly ahead. A Populus online survey also put the "stay" camp ahead at 55%.

Global market moves on Thursday showed that "the 'remain' vote is largely priced in," said Joe Higgins, managing director at TIAA Global Asset Management, pointing to global stocks rallying, while Treasury yields rose to a three-week high, gold tumbled and the British pound jumped (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pound-touches-6-month-high-with-brexit-vote-in-focus-2016-06-23)to its strongest level in six months.

In that sense, if Britain votes to stay it could "feel anticlimactic" in global markets whereas if the Brexit vote wins, volatility should spike, Higgins said.

Polls have shown a tight race between the "leave" camp and the "stay" side. Bookmakers, however, having been showing a 76% probability of a vote to remain in the EU.

Read:Wall Street's 'fear gauge' rears up as Brexit vote approaches (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-rears-up-as-brexit-vote-approaches-2016-06-22)

Broadcasters won't be conducting exit polls, so investors will likely have to wait for the actual results to trickle out overnight and during the morning London time. The final result is expected around breakfast time in the U.K., or some time around 2-3 a.m. Eastern Time.

Read:When will we know the result of the Brexit vote? (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/when-will-we-know-the-result-of-the-brexit-vote-2016-06-21)

"Polls tell us it's too close to call, but the hot money is most definitely on the status quo and another rally to end the week," said Lee Wild, head of equity strategy at stockbroker Interactive Investor, in a note.

"However, even if 'remain' wins, the party may not last. It's only a matter of time before investors remember lackluster global economic growth, the slowdown in China and threat of Donald Trump making it to the White House," Wild said.

Meanwhile, financial stocks were buoyed (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-financial-shares-rally-as-expecations-mount-for-uk-to-stay-in-eu-2016-06-23)by the climb in Treasury yields, as rising yields are traditionally viewed as boosting bank profitability. Analysts thought that if the U.K. decides in favor of continued EU membership, it will help to eliminate global uncertainties which will lead to higher bond yields.

Still, there could be "some bargain hunting" in the increased appetite for financials, said Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors.

The sector is trading at a significant discount to the broader market, as expectations for interest-rate hikes have recently declined, Arone added.

Meanwhile, on Thursday after the close, the Federal Reserve is set to reveal how banks performed in annual stress tests.

Stocks in Europe rallied as voters headed to the polls, while Asia closed mixed (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asia-markets-remain-quiet-ahead-of-brexit-vote-2016-06-22). The pound jumped to a six-month high (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pound-touches-6-month-high-with-brexit-vote-in-focus-2016-06-23)after the Ipsos-Mori poll pointed to a "stay" win.

The dollar was lower against most other major currencies, with the ICE dollar index down 0.4%, while oil prices moved higher (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-prices-move-higher-on-optimism-over-brexit-vote-2016-06-23).

Other economic news: A reading of manufacturing sentiment (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/june-markit-flash-manufacturing-pmi-rebounds-from-weak-may-reading-2016-06-23)rebounded in June from the weakest reading in six-and-a-half years in May, according to data from Markit released Thursday.

Meanwhile, new-home sales declined (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/new-home-sales-decline-6-to-551000-annual-pace-in-may-2016-06-23)in May, an expected pullback after an outsize jump in April.

After the markets close, Dallas Federal Reserve President Rob Kaplan will give a speech in New York at 7 p.m. Eastern.

Movers and shakers: Shares of Red Hat Inc.(RHT) dropped 4.6% after the software company late Wednesday gave a downbeat guidance for the year (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/red-hat-offers-downbeat-guidance-for-the-year-2016-06-22-174854711).

Shares of Bank of America Corp.(BAC) rose 2.14% after sources said the bank is moving closer to settle a case with U.S. regulators (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-america-said-to-be-near-sec-settlement-for-up-to-450-million-2016-06-22).

Barnes & Noble Inc.(BKS) jumped 6.3% after the bookstore late Wednesday said its loss widened during the final quarter (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/barnes-noble-widens-losses-but-outlook-improves-2016-06-22) of its fiscal year.

Accenture PLC(ACN) lost 1.6% despite the fact that the business consulting company beat fiscal third-quarter revenue expectations (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/accentures-stock-gains-after-revenue-beats-expectations-2016-06-23), while matching profit forecasts.

Tesla Motors Inc.(TSLA) lost 0.8% as investors continued to react to its explanation (http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2016/06/22/elon-musk-explains-teslas-solarcity-offer-live-blog/) for its surprise SolarCity Corp. (SCTY) bid.

BlackBerry Ltd.(BB.T) rose 2%, shaking off weak earnings results, (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/blackberry-loss-widens-as-revenue-tumbles-2016-06-23) while cloud communications company Twilio(TWLO)priced its IPO above the expected range (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/twilio-prices-ipo-at-15-a-share-2016-06-22).

Sonic Corp.'s(SONC) results are expected after the close.

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 23, 2016 10:58 ET (14:58 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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