Tax Break Spurs China Car Sales, but Inventories Balloon -- WSJ
July 12 2016 - 3:05AM
Dow Jones News
SHANGHAI -- China's car market grew at its fastest pace in six
months in June, driven by a tax break, though dealer-inventory data
paints a gloomy picture.
Foreign and domestic auto makers shipped 1.78 million cars --
sedans, sport-utility-vehicles and minivans -- to dealers last
month, 18% more than a year earlier, the China Association of
Automobile Manufacturers said on Monday.
The increase reflected weak year-earlier results, a benefit that
will continue for another two months, analysts said. Sales in the
world's biggest auto market fell three months in a row last summer
as a plunge in stock prices ate into household wealth. Sales
rebounded in the fourth quarter last year after Beijing halved the
purchase tax on small-engine vehicles to 5%.
In the first half of this year, car sales from manufacturers to
dealers rose 9.2% from a year earlier to 11 million vehicles, the
government-backed group said. Combined sales of passenger and
commercial vehicles increased 8.1%, to 12.8 million units.
Sales grew despite continued signs of a slowing economy.
Economists expect second-quarter economic growth to come in no
better than the first quarter's 6.7% gain, which was the slowest
pace since the global financial crisis.
And behind the headline sales figures are dealer inventories
that tell a different story. An index measuring inventory levels
rose to 60% from 51% in May, according to the China Automobile
Dealers Association, a government-backed trade group comprising
20,000 dealers. A reading above 50% indicates inventories at high
levels.
Higher inventories pushed dealers to offer bigger discounts --
10.3% on average in June, compared with 10% in May, according to
Ways Consulting Co., a Chinese consulting firm focused on the
automotive industry.
Another looming concern is the expiration of the tax break at
the end of the year. Analysts have cautioned that the tax break
could be pulling demand forward, meaning growth could once again
stall when it ends.
SUVs and crossovers continued to lead the market. In June, over
630,000 were sold in China, 41% more than a year earlier, while
sales of sedans grew 8.9% to 925,000.
Among major auto makers, which report sales to consumers rather
than deliveries to dealers, General Motors Co. sold about 273,500
vehicles in June, up 11% from a year earlier; it cited strong
demand for its SUVs and the luxury Cadillac brand. Ford Motor Co.
sales rose 3%, to 85,100 vehicles. Nissan Motor Co.'s sales grew
17%, to 109,100 vehicles.
Toyota Motor Corp., however, reported its first monthly decline
since December. Sales fell 3.5% to 97,100 cars because of declining
sales of its best-selling Corolla sedans.
Backed by generous government subsidies, about 126,000 plug-in
vehicles -- hybrid and pure electric -- were sold in the first five
months of 2016, 134% more than a year earlier, said the
auto-manufacturers' group.
Market researcher Nielsen Holdings PLC said its latest survey
shows stronger consumer interest in alternative-energy cars than a
year earlier, though nearly 50% of respondents said government
subsidies still matter in the buying decision.
--Rose Yu
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 12, 2016 02:50 ET (06:50 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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