Moody's Cuts Mozambique Ratings On Expected Defaults
July 08 2016 - 7:59PM
Dow Jones News
By Matt Wirz
Credit ratings firm Moody's Investors Service cut Mozambique's
sovereign debt rating to Caa3, one of the lowest rungs on the
junk-debt ratings ladder. The firm said it expects a continuing
loan restructuring by state-owned company Mozambique Asset
Management, or MAM, will be followed by defaults on other
government debt.
Investors believed Mozambique was poised to resolve its debt
troubles as recently as March when Credit Suisse Group AG and VTB
Group convinced holders of an $850 million bond to extend their
repayment schedule. But the government is now contending with a
growing scandal over $1.4 billion in previously undisclosed
government-guaranteed loans taken out by state-owned companies,
including MAM. The Wall Street Journal reported the existence of
the loans in April.
Credit Suisse and VTB couldn't be immediately reached for
comment.
MAM missed in May a $40 million interest payment on a $535
million loan made in 2014 by VTB, which subsequently sold much of
the debt to investors. The government has started restructuring
talks that will likely result in losses for loanholders, Moody's
said.
The MAM default is an indicator that Mozambique will also
default on a $622 million government-guaranteed loan made by Credit
Suisse and VTB in 2013 to a state-owned company called ProIndicus
to fund military purchases, the ratings firm said. Payments on that
loan start falling due in April.
Moody's placed a negative outlook on its new rating, citing the
risk that the MAM restructuring could prompt holders of other
Mozambican debt, including the bonds, to demand immediate repayment
through "cross-acceleration" clauses in their debt documents. The
ratings firm also said Mozambique's creditors might litigate over
failures in disclosure concerning the loans.
If Mozambique can restructure the MAM loan, it would obtain some
debt relief, but the government would still face a cash squeeze
because foreign donors have suspended hundreds of millions of
dollars in direct budgetary aid to the country, Moody's said. The
International Monetary Fund, the U.K and the World Bank, among
others, are unlikely to resume aid in the near-term, the firm said
in a statement.
Write to Matt Wirz at matthieu.wirz@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 08, 2016 19:44 ET (23:44 GMT)
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