After a flubbed stock-market debut in 2012, Bats is set to head
back to the public market this week in one of the most highly
anticipated IPOs so far this year.
There is a lot at stake for both the company and IPOs in
general. The first quarter was the slowest quarter for U.S.
listings since the financial crisis, and a successful Bats debut
could help revive the lethargic IPO market.
For the exchange operator, it is a shot at redemption. Four
years ago Bats was forced to cancel its IPO after it said a
software bug disrupted trading shortly after its stock listed on
its own exchange. It was the farthest the company got with an
IPO.
Bats says it is ready to go this time. Bats is touting itself
more as a technology company than a financial company, according to
investors and analysts who have attended the company's roadshow,
when executives meet with fund managers who may be interested in
buying shares. It is also highlighting its competitive edge in the
growing exchange-traded fund business, those people say. And recent
market volatility could work in Bats's favor.
"IPOs have been starved, and financial IPOs aren't always the
most lucrative relative to other industries, but it seems like the
timing and the story is more correct now for Bats," said Gene
Novak, a research analyst at Nuveen Asset Management who is
considering purchasing the shares.
On Thursday morning, Bats increased the number of shares it
plans to offer in the deal, according to a regulatory filing. Bats
now plans to sell 13.3 million shares at $17 to $19 apiece late
Thursday, according to people familiar with the offering. That
would value the company at $1.63 billion to $1.82 billion,
according to regulatory filings. Previously Bats planned to offer
11.2 million shares, according to regulatory filings.
While few analysts expect Bats on its own to reinvigorate the
IPO market, if other planned IPOs such as American Renal Associates
Holdings and SecureWorks go well, the combined success could be an
encouraging sign for new offerings.
Bats faces challenges. Some potential investors cited upstart
competitor IEX Group Inc., which was featured in Michael Lewis' "
Flash Boys" as a firm trying to shake up traditional exchanges.
Investors considering the IPO are also concerned about the
potential for technology-related disruptions on exchanges, and the
sustainability of Bats's growth and market share, people familiar
with the offering say.
One such potential growth area for Bats is its ETF business.
According to Bats's prospectus, it is the largest exchange operator
of ETFs and other exchange-traded products by market share. From
the start of 2016 through March 23, ETFs accounted for about a
quarter of total stock-market trading volume, up from close to 17%
in the same period of 2014 and roughly a fifth of trading volume in
2015, according to data from Credit Suisse.
"You cannot deny the ETF has become more and more popular among
the investor community," said Lei "Rocky" Wang, a portfolio manager
on the $8.7 billion Thornburg International Value Fund, which
invests in exchanges. "Bats has a competitive advantage in ETFs,
and the investment community will continue to look for new growth
in the ETF product. That's their strength."
While coming off a period of market volatility is typically a
negative for companies going public, it can be beneficial for
stock-trading venues, which earn more money when more shares change
hands. Heightened trading activity in the first three months of the
year—when stocks fell sharply before rebounding—drove the quarterly
average trading volume to its highest since the U.S. credit
downgrade in the third quarter of 2011.
The stock price of rival Nasdaq Inc. hit a record high in March.
Nasdaq has since declined 4.6% through Wednesday's close, but it
remains up nearly 10% so far this year, better than the S&P
500's 1.9% rise.
To be sure, those market conditions can be fleeting.
"One drawback [when investing in exchanges] is that revenues are
very dependent on volumes, which tend to be a function of the
market environment," said Chris Lee, manager of the Fidelity Select
Financial Services Portfolio. "Quarter to quarter [exchanges] can
exhibit seasonality or volatility."
The roadshow highlights Bats's proprietary trading technology
and says the company is ahead of some tech giants in workers'
productivity, investors and analysts who have attended the roadshow
say. Technology is a major driver of Bats's ability to win market
share and charge low transaction fees, executives say, according to
these people.
"If you list or portray yourself as a tech company, you are
implying your multiple should be more stable and your topline
should be more stable," said Mr. Novak.
At the same time, other investors say the barrier to entry for
cost-efficient trading technology is fairly low, and with so many
stock-exchange destinations in the U.S., competition runs high.
Bats is set to start trading on its own Bats BZX Exchange on
Friday morning under the symbol "BATS." Its offering is being led
by Morgan Stanley and Citigroup.
Maureen Farrell contributed to this article.
Write to Corrie Driebusch at corrie.driebusch@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 14, 2016 14:45 ET (18:45 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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