Hedge-Fund Managers Aim For More Bold Calls At Sohn Conference
May 26 2010 - 2:44PM
Dow Jones News
Hedge-fund managers return Wednesday to their unofficial stadium
of bold calls.
The 15th annual Ira Sohn Investment Research Conference is the
same event where David Einhorn famously said in 2008 that he was
bearish on Lehman Bros., and Bill Ackman in 2007 said MBIA Inc.
(MBI) and Ambac Financial Group Inc. (ABK) would be hurt by the
subprime mortgage crisis. Lehman collapsed less than four months
later, and shares of MBIA and Ambac fell sharply during the
financial crisis.
Both Ackman and Einhorn are back this year, and they are among
the many who have made money off the investments they touted in
2009.
The unusual conference--at which 12 hedge fund managers present
their favorite investment ideas in concise 15-minute
presentations--was founded 15 years ago in honor of Ira Sohn, a
Wall Street analyst who died of cancer at 29. The conference raises
funds for pediatric illnesses. It is followed keenly by investors
looking for new perspectives from top hedge fund names.
At last year's conference, which raised about $4 million for
pediatric cancers, Ackman argued that the stock of mall owner
General Growth Properties Inc. (GGP) was a good play despite the
company being in bankruptcy. Much has happened with the investment
since then, and Pershing Square is part of a group providing the
financing for General Growth's bankruptcy exit. According to a
person familiar with the investment, Pershing Square has made well
over $1 billion in General Growth.
Einhorn, in a spirited presentation called "The Curse of the
Triple A," asked the 1,200-plus attendees why anyone would be
bullish about Moody's Corp. (MCO), considering the ratings agency
gave AAA ratings to so many companies and assets that suffered
severely during the financial crisis. He said he was shorting the
stock. Since then, big holder Warren Buffett, via Berkshire
Hathaway Inc. (BRKA), has sold sizable chunks of his Moody's
shares, and the stock has dropped more than 25% from the closing
price the day before Einhorn's presentation.
Among the other good calls at last year's conference, Steve
Mandel of Lone Pine Capital spent his 15 minutes saying he was
bullish on Strayer Education Inc. (STRA), and that stock is up more
than 25% since the day before his presentation. Filings show Lone
Pine has taken a bit off the Strayer bet, but the investment has
made Lone Pine tens of millions of dollars, even by conservative
estimates.
Not all of last year's speakers can claim such prescience.
Short-seller James Chanos of Kynikos Associates, who spoke directly
after Mandel, and joked that he hoped he had left the building, was
bearish on education stocks like Strayer, but singled out the stock
of a home-oxygen company, Lincare Holdings Inc. (LNCR), as one he
was shorting. Lincare's stock has doubled in the past year, during
which the stock market has risen more than 20%.
Most investors speaking at the conference made good calls.
Joseph Healey of HealthCor Management recommended Valeant
Pharmaceuticals International (VRX) and Hologic Inc. (HOLX).
Valeant's stock has doubled since then, and Hologic's is up more
than 20%.
Mark Kingdon of Kingdon Capital touted the stock of Bank of
America Corp. (BAC), which has risen in the past year. Kingdon,
however, sold most of its Bank of America shares in the quarter
after the presentation, according to filings.
This year, joining Ackman and Einhorn is David Tepper of
Appaloosa Management, who earned $4 billion in 2009 according to
Alpha Magazine, which the magazine called a record for hedge fund
managers.
James Dinan of York Capital Management, Seth Klarman of Baupost
Group, Steve Eisman of FrontPoint Partners and Larry Robbins of
Glenview Capital Management are also scheduled to speak this year,
as are Daniel Arbess of Perella Weinberg, Jonathon Jacobson of
Highfield Capital Management, former auto industry restructuring
guru Steve Rattner, and real estate magnate Sam Zell.
-By Joseph Checkler; Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2152;
joseph.checkler@dowjones.com
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