Yen Flat as Investors Await FOMC, BOJ This Week
July 25 2016 - 2:01AM
Dow Jones News
By Hiroyuki Kachi
The yen was almost flat against its rival currencies during
Asian trade on Monday, with investors reluctant to move
aggressively ahead of the monetary policy meetings in the U.S. and
Japan later this week.
Around 0450 GMT, the U.S. dollar was a tad higher at Y106.28,
compared with Y106.15 late Friday in New York. The euro was
changing hands at Y116.63, slightly higher than Y116.50 late
Friday.
The greenback briefly touched as high as Y106.74 in mid-morning
trade, suggesting strong appetite among Japanese importers and
other corporate players for dip buying of the dollar for regular
commercial trade settlement.
But the U.S. currency ratcheted down to below Y106.50 by early
afternoon, as weakness in Tokyo stocks prompted selling of the
perceived safety of the yen. The Nikkei Stock Average was up 0.2%
midday, after falling slightly into negative territory after the
lunch break.
Investors are expected to largely sit on the sidelines before
the Federal Open Market Committee on July 26-27 and the Bank of
Japan's policy setting meeting on July 28-29.
"There's no aggressive buying ahead of the events this week. It
seems profit taking was kicking in, as Tokyo stocks weakened," said
Yuzo Sakai, manager of FX business promotion at Tokyo Forex &
Ueda Harlow.
"We would see similar moves again tomorrow," Mr. Sakai said.
"But many investors seem to have been hesitant to sell (the safety
of) the yen," given recent uncertainties such as a shooting in
Germany last week, said Mr. Sakai.
J.P. Morgan said in a morning note that the dollar will likely
follow a pattern of "buy the rumor, sell the news," against the
yen.
The bank, which expects a further cut in rates and increased
asset purchases by the BOJ this week, noted that when the BOJ
decided to stand pat in March and June, the dollar fell 0.8% and
1.7%, respectively against the yen, following the BOJ policy
decision. Most traders had expected the central bank to stand pat
on both those occasions.
The bank says that the monetary action alone may not be enough
to pull down the yen, particularly as Japan's trade surplus is
staring to widen. Moreover, a mere conventional easing won't
deliver any kind of positive surprise, it said.
According to data released Monday by the finance ministry,
Japan's trade balance for June came in at a surplus of Y692.8
billion, bigger than a Y494.8 billion surplus that economists
polled by The Wall Street Journal and the Nikkei had expected.
Investors shrugged off the Group of 20 finance ministers and
central bankers meeting over the weekend which redoubled their
commitments to use all available policy tools to boost economic
growth.
The G-20 also reiterated its commitment to avoid using exchange
rates to gain a competitive advantage and to consult closely on
exchange-rate policy.
In other currency trade pairs, the euro was unchanged at $1.0974
from $1.0976 late Friday.
The WSJ Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar against a basket
of major currencies, was up 0.03% at 88.10.
Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates At 00:50 EST / 0450 GMT
Latest Previous %Chg Daily Daily %Chg
Dollar Rates Close High Low 12/31
USD/JPY Japan 106.27-28 106.12-13 +0.15 106.72 106.12 -11.65
EUR/USD Euro 1.0973-76 1.0978-81 -0.05 1.0980 1.0953 +1.05
GBP/USD U.K. 1.3125-27 1.3105-07 +0.15 1.3141 1.3106 -10.93
USD/CHF Switzerland 0.9873-77 0.9869-73 +0.04 0.9896 0.9871 -1.45
USD/CAD Canada 1.3144-49 1.3126-31 +0.14 1.3153 1.3123 -5.00
AUD/USD Australia 0.7468-72 0.7462-66 +0.08 0.7482 0.7459 +2.51
NZD/USD New Zealand 0.6973-79 0.6996-7002 -0.33 0.7011 0.6959 +2.09
Euro Rate
EUR/JPY Japan 116.61-65 116.48-52 +0.11 116.96 116.50 -10.83
Source: Tullett Prebon
Write to Hiroyuki Kachi at Hiroyuki.Kachi@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 25, 2016 01:46 ET (05:46 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.