U.S. Grains, Soybeans Rise Weather Concerns, Crop Outlooks
October 06 2015 - 12:24PM
Dow Jones News
By Jesse Newman
CHICAGO--U.S. grain and soybean futures advanced Tuesday, buoyed
by adverse world weather and investor short-covering ahead of a
major government report.
Wheat prices gained, boosted in part by reports of unfavorable
weather in rival grain-producing regions like the former Soviet
Union and Australia, which could dent crop yields, limiting world
supplies. Cold, dry conditions persist in the former Soviet Union,
where growers are planting winter crops, while dryness and heat are
threatening wheat crops in Australia, where harvest has just
begun.
Prices for the grain also rose after the U.S. Department of
Agriculture in a weekly report on Monday said U.S. winter-wheat was
49% planted as of Sunday, behind the 54% at this point in 2014, and
the 51% average for the previous five years. Wheat futures drew
further strength from a Sept. 30 report showing U.S. stockpile and
production estimates below analysts' expectations, analysts
said.
"People are still waking up to data from last week showing the
2015 crop is substantially less than we thought," said Bill Nelson,
a senior economist with agricultural-research firm Doane Advisory
Services in St. Louis. Mr. Nelson added that "every three to four
years there's a pretty harsh setback in production" in the Black
Sea Region. This year's wheat crops are "not off to a very good
start," he said.
Wheat futures for December delivery rose 8 cents, or 1.6%, to
$5.23 1/2 a bushel at the Chicago Board of Trade.
Meanwhile, corn and soybean prices climbed, buoyed by investor
short-covering ahead of a closely watched crop report due out
Friday in which the government may cut estimates for harvested
acres this fall, possibly reducing the size of the nation's crops.
Some traders who held short positions in corn and soy futures, or
had bet on price declines, exited those wagers by buying futures
Tuesday, which in turn helped push markets higher, analysts
said.
Corn prices also drew support from higher wheat prices, as well
as data from the government showing U.S. growers so far have
harvested about 27% of the nation's corn crop, behind the 32%
average from 2010 to 2014.
CBOT December corn added 3 1/4 cents, or 0.8%, to $3.96 3/4 a
bushel.
Soybean prices rose, also bolstered by an improving demand
outlook for the U.S. crop, a lower U.S. dollar and higher global
stock markets.
"In the short run, I'm encouraged by the export data," said Mr.
Nelson, adding that "we'll be ramping up shipments and shipping as
fast as we ever can over the next couple months."
Still, better-than-expected yields capped gains in the market,
analysts said. Improving crop condition ratings and the quick pace
of the U.S. harvest also weighed on the market.
CBOT November soybeans advanced 7 1/4 cents, or 0.8%, to $8.91
1/2 a bushel.
Write to Jesse Newman at jesse.newman@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 06, 2015 12:09 ET (16:09 GMT)
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