U.K. Inflation Hits Five-Year High
October 17 2017 - 5:23AM
Dow Jones News
By Jason Douglas and Wiktor Szary
LONDON--Consumer prices in the U.K. rose in September at the
fastest annual rate for more than five years, a pickup that will
reinforce expectations that the Bank of England could nudge up
interest rates as soon as next month.
Annual inflation in the U.K. accelerated to 3% in September, the
Office for National Statistics said Tuesday, the fastest pace of
growth in prices for goods and services since early 2012.
Consumer prices have now been rising in excess of the Bank of
England's 2% target for eight straight months. BOE officials have
repeatedly signaled they expect to raise borrowing costs soon to
rein in inflation, despite signs the economy is slowing as
consumers pare back spending and Britain's decision to exit the
European Union weighs on investment.
Most economists expect the BOE to raise its benchmark interest
rate to 0.5% in November, from 0.25% currently. A quarter-point
rise would mark the first time the U.K. central bank has increased
interest rates in a decade. Officials led by Governor Mark Carney
say they expect future increases in borrowing costs to be limited
and gradual.
The BOE's shift in stance comes as major central banks step back
from the easy-money policies they have pursued for years in an
effort to revive economies scarred by the financial crisis that
tipped the world into recession in 2009.
In the U.S., the Federal Reserve has begun shrinking its huge
portfolio of assets and officials are expected to raise short-term
rates again in December. The European Central Bank is expected to
say later this month that it will begin dialing back the pace of
its own asset-buying program.
Inflation in Britain has accelerated following a fall in the
pound after last year's Brexit vote. At the same time, unemployment
has declined to a 40-year low, eating up the labor-market slack
that would normally restrain domestic cost pressures.
In response, the BOE said in September that a majority of
officials expect to raise their benchmark interest rate "within
months." Policy makers also fret the economy will struggle to
expand without stoking inflation as long as uncertainty surrounding
the U.K.'s future ties to the European Union persists. Prime
Minister Theresa May dined Monday with European Commission
President Jean-Claude Juncker in an effort to spur faster progress
in divorce talks between London and Brussels.
The ONS said Tuesday that September's acceleration in inflation
was driven largely by higher food prices than a year earlier.
Transport costs, especially airfares, also pushed up the annual
rate, the agency said.
Write to Jason Douglas at jason.douglas@wsj.com and Wiktor Szary
at wiktor.szary.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 17, 2017 05:08 ET (09:08 GMT)
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