Treasurys Gain Ahead of Thanksgiving Holiday
November 22 2017 - 4:31PM
Dow Jones News
By Akane Otani
U.S. government bonds strengthened Wednesday ahead of the
Thanksgiving holiday.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled at
2.322%, compared with 2.361% Tuesday. Yields fall as bond prices
rise.
Treasurys have mostly drifted higher in recent sessions, with
the yield on the 10-year note notching its fifth decline in seven
trading days Wednesday. The bond market is closed Thursday in
observance of Thanksgiving and closes early on Friday.
Bond yields declined Wednesday after U.S. Commerce Department
data showed orders for long-lasting factory goods declined in
October from the prior month. They then fell further after minutes
from the Federal Reserve's Oct. 31-Nov. 1 meeting showed officials
thought inflation could stay below the central bank's 2% annual
target for longer than expected.
The Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the price index for
personal-consumption expenditures, has lagged behind the central
bank's 2% target for much of the year, puzzling officials who have
expected price pressures to pick up as other areas of the economy,
including the labor market, have strengthened.
The lack of inflationary pressure has been a boon to Treasurys,
which have largely traded in a narrow range in recent months after
coming under selling pressure at the end of 2016.
"The fact that yields have mostly been moving sideways -- that's
a testament to how large global quantitative easing continues to
be," said Anujeet Sareen, a portfolio manager at Brandywine Global.
Even as the Fed has begun to unwind its balance sheet, other
central banks, including the European Central Bank, have continued
to extend their bond-buying programs, which has helped keep bond
yields in other developed markets in check, Mr. Sareen said.
One thing that could jolt the Treasurys market: passage of a tax
bill in Washington. The Senate is expected to possibly vote on a
tax overhaul next week. Some analysts say a tax overhaul could send
bond yields higher by expanding the federal budget deficit, which
would push the government to sell more bonds.
But even that scenario, Mr. Sareen said, may ultimately have a
muted impact on the bond market.
"The market is still a little bit suspicious that something will
get put through," he said, adding that, in his view, the current
bill looks more like "moderate stimulus," not something on the
scale that would send yields dramatically higher.
Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 22, 2017 16:16 ET (21:16 GMT)
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