Talisman Energy 2014 Guidance
Expected liquids growth of 14-19% in two core regions
Approximately $2 billion in additional asset sales planned
within 12-18 months
Target 5% cash flow growth
CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwired - Feb 12, 2014) - Talisman Energy
Inc. (Talisman) (TSX:TLM) (NYSE:TLM) has announced its capital
spending program and expected operating results for 2014. All
values in this press release are in US$ unless otherwise
stated.
2013 was a foundational year for Talisman. The company reset its
strategy and made significant progress against its four key
priorities. It increased North American liquids production by 30%,
and reduced and reset its cost structure, cutting capital by 20%
and underlying net G&A by 20% compared to 2012 (on a run-rate
basis). The company improved operating performance, reduced
drilling and completion costs and cycle times in North America,
produced first oil at HST/HSD offshore Vietnam ahead of schedule
and under budget, and lowered its commodity price risk through its
ongoing hedging program. Asset sales agreed in 2013 and in Q1
2014(1) total over $2.2 billion. By continuing to pursue its four
key priorities, the company will build on this momentum.
"In 2014, we expect more improvements in performance, with
continued growth in high-margin liquids production generating
increased cash flow," said Hal Kvisle, President and CEO. "While
our overall production base will be lower as a result of non-core
asset sales, production from ongoing operations in our two core
regions, the Americas and Asia-Pacific, is expected to grow 4-7%
with liquids volumes increasing 14-19%. In addition, we will begin
a second phase of non-core asset sales, and aim to dispose of a
further $2 billion of assets that demand substantial capital
investment to generate long-dated cash flows.
"Our objective is to create sustainable value for our
shareholders, and we will continue to position the company to
achieve this by generating near-term steady cash flow from our best
assets in our two core regions. Our goal as we move into 2014 and
beyond is to deliver annual cash flow per share growth and maintain
a strong balance sheet."
(1) On February 7, 2014, Talisman agreed the sale of its Monkman
asset in Western Canada, representing production of approximately
75 mmcf/d.
2014 Guidance
Summary
Capital program focused on near-term, high-margin volumes
- 2014 capital expenditure is expected to be approximately $3.2
billion, unchanged from 2013 and down around 20% from 2012.
- Over 70% of expected 2014 capital spending will be invested in
the Americas and Asia-Pacific.
Liquids production growth of 14-19% from two core regions
- The two core regions (the Americas and Asia-Pacific) are
expected to deliver a 14-19% increase in liquids volumes in 2014
(from 97,000 bbls/d in 2013 to 111,000-115,000 bbls/d in 2014). The
majority of growth will come from North America and Colombia.
- In 2013, production was 373,000 boe/d. Dispositions agreed in
2013 and Q1 2014 reduce this by approximately 28,000 boe/d,
resulting in production from ongoing operations of 345,000
boe/d.
- In 2014, production from ongoing operations is expected to grow
from 345,000 boe/d to a range of approximately 350,000 boe/d to
365,000 boe/d, reflecting growth of between 2-6% on an annual
basis.
- Talisman's two core regions are expected to contribute over 90%
of the company's production in 2014.
Increase cash margin per barrel by approximately 6-11%
- Talisman expects to increase cash margins per barrel by
approximately 6-11% with 2014 cash flow expected at around $2.3
billion - a 5% increase over 2013.
- Having delivered a 20% reduction in underlying net G&A in
2013 (on a run-rate basis), the company is targeting a further 10%
reduction in 2014.
- Cash flow assumptions are based on $100/bbl Brent oil, $90/bbl
WTI and $4.00/mmbtu NYMEX natural gas prices, underpinned by
Talisman's 2014 hedging programs.
Unlock additional value and continue to focus the portfolio on
two core regions
- In addition to non-core asset sales agreed in 2013 and in Q1
2014, expected to total over $2.2 billion, Talisman will continue
to simplify and streamline its portfolio with the expected sale of
approximately $2 billion of additional assets (primarily
long-dated, non-core capital intensive) over the next 12-18
months.
- Disposition proceeds will primarily be used to maintain a
strong and flexible balance sheet.
2014 Total production from ongoing operations and capital
guidance
Region |
|
2013 Production from ongoing operations1 (mboe/d) |
|
2014 Production from ongoing operations (mboe/d) |
|
2014 Capital Guidance (US$ million) |
Americas |
North America |
|
158 |
|
162 to 168 |
|
1,250 |
Colombia |
|
17 |
|
21 to 22 |
|
300 |
Americas Total |
|
175 |
|
183 to 190 |
|
1,550 |
|
Asia-Pacific |
Southeast Asia |
|
126 |
|
129 to 132 |
|
750 |
Algeria |
|
11 |
|
12 |
|
0 |
Asia-Pacific Total |
|
137 |
|
141 to 144 |
|
750 |
Total Core Regions |
|
312 |
|
324 to 334 |
|
2,300 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-core Total2 |
|
33 |
|
26 to 31 |
|
900 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
345 |
|
350 to 365 |
|
3,200 |
1 |
Includes adjustments for dispositions agreed in 2013 and in Q1
2014, comprising Montney (approximately 66 mmcf/d), Southeast
Sumatra (approximately 3,000 boe/d), onshore Northwest Java
(approximately 1,000 boe/d) and Monkman (approximately 75
mmcf/d). |
2 |
Includes North Sea and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. |
2014 Plan - Four priorities to drive value creation
Live within our means
Talisman has a large, attractive portfolio of investment
opportunities. The company continues to focus its capital on
high-margin, near-term opportunities, while those with large
capital requirements and long-dated returns have been identified as
candidates for sale or farm-down.
Through disciplined capital allocation and cost control in the
two core regions - and additional expected dispositions of capital
intensive assets - Talisman remains committed to creating a
business that generates sustainable cash flow growth and strong
shareholder returns. Achieving $2 billion of planned asset sales
over the next 12-18 months will enable Talisman to maintain a
strong balance sheet in the near term.
Focused capital program
In 2013, Talisman focused on its two core areas: the Americas
(comprising North America and Colombia) and Asia-Pacific
(comprising Southeast Asia and Algeria). In North America, the
company is competitively positioned in a number of shale gas and
liquids plays and has a core of profitable conventional properties.
In Asia-Pacific, the company's core assets are characterized by
long production life, low costs and high netbacks.
Between 2011 to 2014, Talisman has reduced investment in low
netback North American natural gas programs by 70% and increased
investment in higher margin liquids projects in North America and
Colombia. As a result, liquids volumes in the Americas are expected
to grow from 31,000 bbls/d in 2011 to a range of 58,000 bbls/d to
61,000 bbls/d in 2014.
In 2013, capital spending was $3.2 billion - down $800 million
from 2012. In 2014, the company plans to hold spending flat at
approximately $3.2 billion. Approximately $2.3 billion (around 70%)
will be invested in the two core regions.
Improve operational performance and cash margins
Talisman continues to improve operational performance and cash
margins, particularly in its North American shale operations where
it has reduced drilling and completions costs and cycle times.
Through its focus on operational excellence, the company brought
the HST/HSD oilfield development offshore Vietnam onstream ahead of
schedule and under budget. As a result of the ongoing shift to
higher margin production and increased efficiencies, cash margin
per boe is expected to increase by approximately 6-11% in 2014.
By the end of 2013, excluding one-off costs, Talisman had
reduced its underlying net G&A by 20% ($100 million on a
run-rate basis) compared to 2012 and intends to reduce it by a
further 10% in 2014.
Unlock net asset value within the portfolio
In March 2013, Talisman set a 12-18 month target to realize $2-3
billion of value through the sale of non-core assets that were
generating little or no short-term cash flow. The company achieved
this target within 12 months and asset sales agreed in 2013 and in
Q1 2014 will total over $2.2 billion.
Talisman plans to dispose of approximately $2 billion of
additional assets (primarily long-dated, capital intensive) over
the next 12-18 months. The majority of the proceeds will be
directed towards maintaining a strong and flexible balance
sheet.
2014 Operational
Headlines
Americas - high-margin
liquids growth
North America
In North America, the portfolio provides a stable platform for
cost efficient production and cash flow growth. 2014 capital
expenditure in North America is forecast to be approximately $1.3
billion, in line with 2013. Spending increases in the Marcellus and
the Duvernay will be partially offset by lower spending in the
Eagle Ford as the infrastructure build out is largely complete.
The company anticipates 25-30% liquids growth and relatively
flat gas production, resulting in overall growth from ongoing
operations of approximately 3-6%. Planned operational activities in
2014 include:
- In the Eagle Ford, the company aims to grow high margin liquids
production by over 30%, from 18,000 bbls/d to approximately
24,000-26,000 bbls/d, while reducing capital spending by roughly
20%. Together with its partner, Talisman plans to drill and
complete 80 wells (gross) in 2014.
- In the Marcellus, Talisman will invest to retain its strategic
land position and build on its production optimization activities
to hold production at around 440 mmcf/d. Talisman will run one rig
in Susquehanna County to retain key lands, with a second rig to be
added mid-year to drill wells in Bradford County.
- In Greater Edson, capital spending is expected to increase as
the company continues to appraise the Wilrich Formation through a
nine-well drilling program. Through the deep cut facility in Wild
River, the company expects to increase liquids production by around
4,000 bbls/d.
- In the Duvernay, Talisman intends to drill six wells in 2014,
as the company continues to appraise its extensive land position.
Talisman will drill its first multi-well pad in the southern part
of the play and will begin a process to secure a strategic
partner.
- At Chauvin, Talisman expects to drill and complete
approximately 30 wells to hold production in this heavy oil play
flat at 10,000-11,000 bbls/d.
Colombia
Talisman's business in Colombia provides exposure to near-term
high value oil growth.
- The company aims to develop near-term cash producing assets and
expects to deliver over 30% incremental oil production growth, with
overall production increasing from 17,000 boe/d to 21,000-22,000
boe/d.
- All 10 wells in the Akacias Field in Block CPO-9 will be put on
long-term test while awaiting environmental permits for full field
development.
- In Block CPE-6, Talisman will continue to appraise the existing
discovery and explore the license through ongoing activity with its
partner.
- The Equion infill drilling program is expected to continue
through 2014 and 2015, with the facilities expansion complete in
2015.
Asia-Pacific -
long-life assets with high net backs
Talisman's Asia-Pacific business contributes approximately 40%
of the company's total production, with the majority linked to oil
pricing, providing strong netbacks. Planned operational activities
in 2014 include:
Southeast Asia
- In Malaysia, Talisman plans to drill infill and exploration
wells at PM-3 CAA and Kinabalu, and up to four exploration wells at
Sabah.
- In Indonesia, the company will continue infill drilling at
Corridor and expects to sanction Phase 2 development activities at
Jambi Merang.
- In Vietnam, two exploration wells and a 3D seismic program are
planned in the Nam Con Son Basin. The company will also deliver a
full year of production from HST/HSD.
- Talisman will continue to progress its gas aggregation strategy
across its Papua New Guinea land position. Three exploration wells
and a 2D seismic campaign are planned.
Kurdistan Region of Iraq
- Testing to date has indicated significant potential and, in
2014, Talisman plans to further explore the Kurdamir and Topkhana
Blocks.
- The company expects to spud the Kurdamir-4 horizontal well and
conduct an extended well test at Kurdamir-2 to prove the continuity
of the oil formation. In the Topkhana Block, Talisman will complete
drilling and conduct an extended test of the Topkhana-2 well.
- Talisman will continue to explore options to dilute its
ownership in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
The North Sea
Talisman continues to explore options to exit or dilute its
exposure to the North Sea, while aiming to stabilize production and
identify operational and cost efficiencies. In the UK, the joint
venture will spend capital to secure base production and improve
reliability, as well as the ongoing redevelopment of the Montrose
Area.
2014 Liquids production guidance from ongoing operations
Region |
|
2013 Liquids production from ongoing operations (mboe/d)1 |
|
2014 Liquids production from ongoing operations (mboe/d) |
North America |
|
35 |
|
44 to 46 |
Colombia |
|
10 |
|
14 to 15 |
Americas Total |
|
45 |
|
58 to 61 |
Southeast Asia |
|
41 |
|
41 to 42 |
Algeria |
|
11 |
|
12 |
Asia-Pacific Total |
|
52 |
|
53 to 55 |
Total Core Regions |
|
97 |
|
111 to 115 |
|
|
|
|
|
Non-core Total2 |
|
32 |
|
22 to 26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
129 |
|
133 to 141 |
1 |
Includes adjustments for dispositions agreed in 2013 comprising
Montney (approximately 200 bbls/d), Southeast Sumatra
(approximately 3,000 bbls/d) and onshore Northwest Java
(approximately 600 bbls/d). |
2 |
Includes North Sea and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. |
2014 Gas production guidance from ongoing operations
Region |
|
2013 Gas production from ongoing operations (mmcf/d)1 |
|
2014 Gas production from ongoing operations (mmcf/d) |
North America |
|
738 |
|
708 to 732 |
Colombia |
|
43 |
|
42 |
Americas Total |
|
781 |
|
750 to 774 |
Southeast Asia |
|
509 |
|
528 to 540 |
Algeria |
|
|
|
|
Asia-Pacific Total |
|
509 |
|
528 to 540 |
Total Core Regions |
|
1,290 |
|
1,278 to 1,314 |
|
|
|
|
|
Non-core Total2 |
|
9 |
|
24 to 30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
1,299 |
|
1,302 to 1,344 |
1 |
Includes adjustments for dispositions agreed in 2013 and Q1 2014,
comprising Montney (approximately 66 mmcf/d), Southeast Sumatra
(approximately 3 mmcf/d) and onshore Northwest Java (approximately
3 mmcf/d) and Monkman (approximately 75 mmcf/d). |
2 |
Includes North Sea and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. |
Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains information that constitutes
"forward-looking information" or "forward-looking statements"
(collectively "forward-looking information") within the meaning of
applicable securities legislation. This forward-looking information
includes, among others, statements regarding: business strategy,
priorities and plans; expected increase in liquids production;
expected cash flow, company-wide and regionally; expected cash
margin per barrel; anticipated asset sales, targeted value and
timing of such sales or farm-downs, and expected use of proceeds;
expected capital expenditure and focus of spending; expected
production, company-wide, regionally and by asset, and timing of
such production; targeted G&A reductions; planed drilling and
rigs in North America; planned testing, exploration and infill
drilling, and completion of facilities expansion in Colombia;
planned infill and exploration drilling, development activities and
seismic program in Southeast Asia; planned progress on gas
aggregation strategy in PNG; planned exploration and testing in the
Kurdistan Region of Iraq; and other expectations, beliefs, plans,
goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about
possible future events, conditions, results of operations or
performance. The company priorities and goals disclosed in this
news release are objectives only and their achievement cannot be
guaranteed.
The factors or assumptions on which the forward-looking
information is based include: assumptions inherent in current
guidance; projected capital investment levels; the flexibility of
capital spending plans and the associated sources of funding; the
successful and timely implementation of capital projects; the
continuation of tax, royalty and regulatory regimes; ability to
obtain regulatory and partner approval; commodity price and cost
assumptions; and other risks and uncertainties described in the
filings made by the Company with securities regulatory authorities.
The Company believes the material factors, expectations and
assumptions reflected in the forward-looking information are
reasonable but no assurance can be given that these factors,
expectations and assumptions will prove to be correct.
Forward-looking information for periods past 2014 assumes
escalating commodity prices. Closing of any transactions will be
subject to receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals and
completion of definitive agreements.
Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking
information. Forward-looking information is based on current
expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of
risks which could cause actual results to vary and in some
instances to differ materially from those anticipated by Talisman
and described in the forward-looking information contained in this
news release. The material risk factors include, but are not
limited to: the risks of the oil and gas industry, such as
operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing crude
oil and natural gas; risks and uncertainties involving geology of
oil and gas deposits; risks associated with project management,
project delays and/or cost overruns; uncertainty related to
securing sufficient egress and access to markets; the uncertainty
of reserves and resources estimates, reserves life and underlying
reservoir risk; the uncertainty of estimates and projections
relating to production, costs and expenses, including
decommissioning liabilities; risks related to strategic and capital
allocation decisions, including potential delays or changes in
plans with respect to exploration or development projects or
capital expenditures; fluctuations in oil and gas prices, foreign
currency exchange rates, interest rates and tax or royalty rates;
the outcome and effects of any future acquisitions and
dispositions; health, safety, security and environmental risks,
including risks related to the possibility of major accidents;
environmental regulatory and compliance risks, including with
respect to greenhouse gases and hydraulic fracturing; uncertainties
as to the availability and cost of credit and other financing and
changes in capital markets; risks in conducting foreign operations
(for example, civil, political and fiscal instability and
corruption); risks related to the attraction, retention and
development of personnel; changes in general economic and business
conditions; the possibility that government policies, regulations
or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or
withheld; and results of the Company's risk mitigation strategies,
including insurance and any hedging activities.
The foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Additional
information on these and other factors which could affect the
Company's operations or financial results or strategy are included
in Talisman's most recent Annual Information Form. In addition,
information is available in the Company's other reports on file
with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and the United
States Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking
information is based on the estimates and opinions of the Company's
management at the time the information is presented. The Company
assumes no obligation to update forward-looking information should
circumstances or management's estimates or opinions change, except
as required by law.
Throughout this news release, Talisman uses the term "unlocking
value" to describe the realization of the value of an asset within
Talisman's portfolio that, prior to its full or partial
disposition, was not valued at its full market value, as reflected
in Talisman's share price and enterprise value. By monetizing the
asset through a disposition or joint-venture, the company is able
to attribute a market value to the asset that can quantifiably be
reflected in Talisman's share price and enterprise value.
Oil and Gas Information
Unless otherwise stated, production volumes are stated on a
Company interest basis prior to the deduction of royalties and
similar payments. In the US, net production volumes are reported
after the deduction of these amounts. US readers may refer to the
table headed "Continuity of Net Proved Reserves" in Talisman's most
recent Annual Information Form for a statement of Talisman's net
production volumes and reserves. The use of the word "gross" in
this news release means a 100% interest prior to the deduction of
royalties and similar payments.
In this news release, all references to "core" and "non-core"
assets, properties, areas and regions align with the company's
current public disclosure regarding its assets and properties.
Throughout this news release, barrels of oil equivalent (boe)
are calculated at a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet
(mcf) of natural gas for one barrel of oil (bbl). Boes may be
misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion
ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy equivalence conversion
method primarily applicable at the burner tip and do not represent
a value equivalency at the well head.
Talisman also discloses netbacks in this news release. Netbacks
per boe are calculated by deducting from the sales price associated
royalties, operating and transportation costs.
Financial Information
Dollar amounts are presented in US dollars, except where
otherwise indicated. The financial information is presented in
accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).
IFRS may differ from generally accepted accounting principles in
the US.
Forecasted Cash Flow: This news release also contains
discussions of anticipated cash flow on an aggregate and per share
basis. The material assumptions used in determining estimates of
cash flow are: the anticipated production volumes; estimates of
realized sales prices, which are in turn driven by benchmark
prices, quality differentials and the impact of exchange rates;
estimated royalty rates; estimated operating expenses; estimated
transportation expenses; estimated general and administrative
expenses; estimated interest expense, including the level of
capitalized interest; and the anticipated amount of cash income tax
and petroleum revenue tax. The amount of taxes and cash payments
made upon surrender of existing stock options is inherently
difficult to predict.
Anticipated production volumes are, in turn, based on the
midpoint of the estimated production range and do not reflect the
impact of any potential asset dispositions or acquisitions. The
completion of any contemplated asset acquisitions or dispositions
is contingent on various factors including favourable market
conditions, the ability of the Company to negotiate acceptable
terms of sale and receipt of any required approvals for such
acquisitions or dispositions.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures: Included in this news
release are references to financial measures used in the oil and
gas industry such as cash flow and capital expenditure. These terms
are not defined by IFRS. Consequently, these are referred to as
non-GAAP measures. Talisman's reported results of such measures may
not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other
companies.
Cash Flow represents net income before exploration costs,
DD&A, impairment, deferred taxes and other non-cash expenses.
Cash flow is used by the Company to assess operating results
between years and between peer companies using different accounting
policies. Cash flow should not be considered an alternative to, or
more meaningful than, cash provided by operating, investing and
financing activities or net income as determined in accordance with
IFRS as an indicator of the Company's performance or liquidity.
Capital expenditure (or "capex" or "cash capital spending") is
calculated by adjusting the capital expenditure per the financial
statements for exploration costs that were expensed as
incurred.
Talisman Energy Inc. is a global upstream oil and gas company,
headquartered in Canada. Talisman has two core operating areas: the
Americas (North America and Colombia) and Asia-Pacific. Talisman is
committed to conducting business safely, in a socially and
environmentally responsible manner, and is included in the Dow
Jones Sustainability (North America) Index. Talisman is listed on
the Toronto and New York stock exchanges under the symbol TLM.
Please visit our website at www.talisman-energy.com.
Talisman Energy Inc. - Media and General InquiriesBrent
AndersonManager, External
Relations403-237-1912tlm@talisman-energy.comTalisman Energy Inc. -
Shareholder and Investor InquiriesLyle McLeodVice-President,
Investor
Relations403-767-5732tlm@talisman-energy.comwww.talisman-energy.com