Oil Prices Higher; Overhang Fear Will Cap Gains
November 30 2015 - 10:53PM
Dow Jones News
By Jenny W. Hsu
Crude future prices rose in early Asia trade Tuesday, but
worries of a persistent global glut will likely keep gains
limited.
Concerns of a swelling global surplus overshadowed weak
manufacturing data from China, whose slowing oil demand has kept
prices low in recent months.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures
for delivery in January traded at $41.94 a barrel at 0240 GMT, up
$0.29 in the Globex electronic session. January Brent crude on
London's ICE Futures exchange rose $0.17 to $44.78 a barrel.
The Chinese government said Tuesday the country's official
manufacturing purchasing manager index fell to 49.6 in November
from 49.8 in the previous month, the lowest reading since August
2012 and the fourth consecutive month below the benchmark level of
50.
A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in activity, while a
figure below that level indicates a contraction.
"However, with all the major events and data expected this week,
China's weak PMI is bit of a footnote for now," said Stuart Ive, a
private client manager at OM Financial, who said a potential silver
lining to the soft manufacturing activity is that it might
encourage the Chinese government to inject more stimulus measures
to boost the economy.
Traders are mostly focused on the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries meeting this Friday at Vienna where issues such
as production quota, crumbling prices and Iran's resumption of oil
supply to the market will take center stage.
While analysts don't expect OPEC leaders to cut output to
salvage prices, the current tactic of pumping out oil at a high
pace to defend market share regardless of prices has agitated the
smaller and less cash-rich members, who are urging for measures to
ease the supply glut.
"The expectation for OPEC to either keep its production quota
unchanged at 30 million barrels a day, or a tail-end risk for it to
increase its quota higher, left oil prices in the doldrums," said
OCBC.
Prices have fallen by nearly half since summer last year because
of excess supply In November, Nymex prices for January delivery
lost $4.94 a per barrel, or 10.60%, to $41.65. Brent prices dropped
10% in the same month.
"The cartel is reluctant [to trim production] because its major
competitor Russia is also unwilling to back down from this market
share war," said a marine fuel trader based in Singapore.
Market participants will also be watching the U.S. crude
inventories and production data this week. A survey conducted by
pricing agency Platts estimates a draw of 1.2 million barrels in
the crude stockpiles last week while refinery utilization likely
rose 0.9% to 92.9%.
The official data will be released on Wednesday by the U.S.
Energy Department.
Nymex reformulated gasoline blendstock for January--the
benchmark gasoline contract--rose 165 points to $1.3234 a gallon,
while January diesel traded at $1.3685, 143 points higher.
ICE gasoil for December changed hands at $408.00 a metric ton,
down $11.50 from Monday's settlement.
Write to Jenny W. Hsu at jenny.hsu@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 30, 2015 22:38 ET (03:38 GMT)
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