By James Marson
MOSCOW--When American envoy Kurt Volker meets his Russian
counterpart Monday to try to restore peace in eastern Ukraine, the
man sitting across the table will be no ordinary diplomat.
Vladislav Surkov, Moscow's point person, is a powerful Kremlin
adviser who has played a central role in encouraging, organizing
and managing the pro-Russia separatists fighting against Ukraine's
central government, according to former rebel leaders and Ukrainian
and Western officials.
A top aide to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Mr. Surkov has
been involved with the rebels, who hold sway over territory in
eastern Ukraine, since early 2014, shortly after Russian forces
seized the country's Crimean peninsula, these people say. He is
under U.S. and European sanctions for his role in the annexation of
Crimea.
"Putin is the father" of the separatist movement, said Valentyn
Nalyvaichenko, who headed Ukraine's security agency during the
first 15 months of the insurgency. "Surkov is the babysitter."
Mr. Surkov didn't respond to questions sent via the Kremlin
press office.
Russia says it has influence with the separatists, but denies
controlling them and presents the conflict in Ukraine as a civil
war. It has said repeatedly that it supports the peace accords
signed in Minsk, Belarus, an agreement aimed at reintegrating the
breakaway region into Ukraine, but giving it more local
autonomy.
But many on both sides of the yearslong conflict, as well as
Western observers, say they believe Russia's aims are broader. They
say Moscow really wants to trade peace in Ukraine for assurances
Kiev won't get too close to the West and for an easing of the
international sanctions imposed on Russia for grabbing Crimea and
intervening with its military in the east.
The separatist movement "is a bargaining chip" in a bigger
geopolitical game, said Aleksei Aleksandrov, a former top
separatist official who now lives in Crimea and says he was pushed
out of his leadership role by the Kremlin.
If Moscow doesn't get what it wants, said Mr. Nalyvaichenko, the
former Ukrainian security chief, "they keep it burning," by
supporting a low-intensity conflict that keep's Kiev's pro-Western
government off balance.
U.S. and European officials say they won't bargain away
Ukraine's political options. Russia's military interventions have
united Ukrainian public opinion against Russia, polls show, making
any political concessions to Moscow all but impossible for
Kiev.
When the two envoys meet in Minsk, Mr. Volker is aiming to test
the water as to whether the Kremlin is ready to move beyond the
status quo and seek a resolution of the conflict, a U.S. official
said.
Meanwhile, the Pentagon and the State Department are seeking
approval from the White House for plans to supply Ukraine with
antitank missiles and other weaponry, plans that Russia has
condemned as potentially inflammatory.
Mr. Surkov, 52, is a former public-relations executive who
served in military intelligence in the 1980s, according to people
familiar with his biography. In the 2000s, he served as Mr. Putin's
deputy chief of staff and helped design the Russian leader's
tightly controlled political system.
As protests against pro-Russian Ukrainian President Viktor
Yanukovych turned violent in early 2014, Mr. Surkov shuttled to
Ukraine to meet with Mr. Yanukovych, politicians and businessmen
close to him, as well as political leaders in Crimea, according to
Mr. Nalyvaichenko and another Ukrainian official. Mr. Yanukovych
later fled to Russia and a new government took power.
In March, small protests began in some parts of eastern Ukraine
near the Russian border. The target of their ire: what the
demonstrators saw as the growing embrace of the West by the new
government and fears, fanned by Russian propaganda, that new
authorities were controlled by nationalists bent on destroying
Russian culture in Ukraine.
Mr. Surkov began to reach out to the local activists, according
to one of them, gathering information.
In May 2014, a group of security-service veterans and a
public-relations executive arrived from Moscow to advise the
insurgents, said Mr. Aleksandrov, the former separatist leader.
Some locals perceived their appearance as a takeover by the
Kremlin, coordinated by Mr. Surkov, he said.
"We gave them the keys to the town," Mr. Aleksandrov said. "They
squeezed out the first wave of leaders."
That's when Mr. Surkov started to play a decisive role in how
rebel areas were run, said Mr. Aleksandrov and other former
separatist leaders, molding the leadership and structure to bring
it under Moscow's control.
Mr. Surkov had experience in helping manage the politics of
Russia's periphery. In 2013, he became point man for disputed
territories that Russia carved from the former Soviet republic of
Georgia after a war in 2008.
In August 2014, Mr. Surkov orchestrated the switch in the
so-called Donetsk People's Republic, the largest of the two
separatist areas, from a Moscow public-relations executive to a
local military commander seen as loyal to Moscow, Mr. Alexandrov
said, with the aim of disguising the fact that Moscow was running
the show.
Later that month, Russian forces covertly entered the region to
push back a Ukrainian army advance that threatened the rebellion,
according to Ukrainian and Western officials, citing satellite
imagery, intelligence reports, and captured Russian soldiers.
Russia says its armed forces never entered Ukrainian territory.
The intervention forced Ukraine to the negotiating table for
peace talks.
Mr. Surkov then headed to Donetsk, the separatist stronghold, to
explain the deal to local leaders and check on their work,
according to separatist leaders from the time.
At a meeting with several separatist commanders who wanted to
carry on fighting, Mr. Surkov challenged them, according to a
person present. "What's the alternative" to peace negotiations?,"
Mr. Surkov said, according to Andrei Pinchuk, then the separatists'
security chief. "Go and fight, if you want it so much. We'll see
how long you last."
He also scolded a local official for problems paying pensions
and opening schools for the new academic year, Mr. Pinchuk
said.
Mr. Surkov visited again in February 2015 after a fresh peace
deal was reached in Minsk. In a sign of his influence, he was
called on to adjudicate a dispute between two local military
commanders and visited the front lines of the conflict, according
to Mr. Pinchuk.
The peace agreementslargely froze the front lines, but didn't
stop shooting at some hotspots. Little progress has been made on
political reintegration despite drawn-out discussions brokered by
European officials.
Mr. Surkov held meetings with a top U.S. State Department
official, Victoria Nuland, in 2016 that were aimed at finding a
breakthrough.
Still, he maintained ties with the rebels. In November last year
in Moscow, Mr. Surkov was as a guest at a meeting of a group of
former Russian volunteer fighters, according to a photo and two
separatist leaders who lead the group.
The discussions with Ms. Nuland appeared to make some progress
on a potential handover of control of Ukraine's border to Kiev's
control, according to people familiar with the talks, but halted
when Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election and Ms. Nuland
left her position.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 20, 2017 16:01 ET (20:01 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.