Investors Brace for Puerto Rico's Debt-Restructuring Plan
August 28 2015 - 8:00PM
Dow Jones News
Investors will be watching Puerto Rico this weekend for details
of a restructuring plan for its $72 billion debt load, as
government officials face a Sunday deadline to deliver a draft of
the plan to the governor.
The deadline kicks off what could be a busy week for the
struggling island commonwealth, which defaulted on bonds from one
of its public agencies earlier this month. Under previous
agreements, the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, bondholders
and other creditors are facing a Tuesday cutoff to shake hands on a
restructuring program for the electric utility.
It isn't clear whether the government will release a draft
version of its broader restructuring plan on Sunday, and analysts
caution that any draft will likely be subject to heavy revisions.
Daniel Hanson, an analyst at Height Securities, estimated in a
recent research note that it could be up to two weeks before the
full plan is officially released.
Earlier this week, Puerto Rican newspapers reported on some
details of the proposed plan. The reports implied that Puerto Rico
is "still intending to deeply haircut bondholders of many (or most)
Puerto Rican bonds," meaning investors could face significant
losses, Mr. Hanson wrote in his note.
"People are now looking for this report to give more color,"
said Bill Black, who helps oversee the $7.2 billion Invesco High
Yield Municipal Fund.
Some Puerto Rico bonds have risen in price in recent days,
reflecting optimism that investors will soon get a better idea of
how the restructuring plan might look. A big chunk of Puerto Rico
general-obligation bonds traded at 72.75 cents on Friday, up from
70.5 cents a week earlier, according to the Electronic Municipal
Market Access website.
Puerto Rico, whose bonds are widely held by U.S. mutual funds,
has been struggling with a lackluster economy and high unemployment
for years. In June, Gov. Alejandro Garcia Padilla called the
island's debts unpayable and directed a so-called working group of
government officials to develop a draft restructuring plan and
present it to him by Sunday.
The deadline comes after Puerto Rico this week further delayed a
$750 million bond sale for its water and sewer authority. The sale
has been scheduled for the past two weeks, but underwriters haven't
been able to attract enough orders from investors to sell all the
bonds, according to people with knowledge of the deal.
Officials have said they don't anticipate water and sewer bonds
taking a hit as part of the restructuring plan, assuming the
authority can sell bonds and its financial projections are met.
Some investors, however, say the island commonwealth has been
sending mixed messages. For example, Puerto Rico recently asked the
U.S. Supreme Court to review a decision voiding a law allowing
certain government agencies, including the water and sewer
authority, to restructure their debts.
"You have one hand out telling people you can't pay your bills,
and you have another hand out hoping to collect money, saying you
can pay your bills," said Hugh McGuirk, head of municipal bonds at
T. Rowe Price, which oversees about $22 billion in municipal debt.
"The market is asking, which is it?"
The sewer authority planned to use the bulk of the proceeds for
improvements to the water and sewer system. But it also planned to
use the cash to pay off a $90 million credit line from Banco
Popular de Puerto Rico, which comes due on Monday. The authority
pledged the "bulk of its cash reserves" as collateral for the loan,
according to Fitch Ratings, which gave the planned sewer bonds a
junk rating.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 28, 2015 19:45 ET (23:45 GMT)
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