Accident Exchange Interim Management Statement

Date : 03/17/2008 @ 3:04AM
Source : UK Regulatory (RNS and others)
Stock : Accident Exchange (ACE)
Quote : 30.0  -2.75 (-8.40%) @ 11:35AM
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Accident Exchange Interim Management Statement

RNS Number:2084Q
Accident Exchange Group PLC
17 March 2008


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                              17 March 2008

                          Accident Exchange Group Plc
                                        
                          INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT

The Board of Accident Exchange Group Plc ("Accident Exchange" or the "Group") is
today releasing its Interim Management Statement for the trading period to 14 
March 2008.

The Group's priorities for the current financial year, as announced in July 
2007, were:

*  to defeat the Enforceability Challenge (see previous announcements) and
   to implement a robust day-to-day litigation process to drive improved cash
   flows; and

*  to consolidate the Group's position in the vertical market of
   automotive sector credit hire referrals, to improve the volume and
   profitability of existing accounts, thereby restoring the ratio of sales
   and profitability per employee and to deliver reduced fleet ownership costs.

Having defeated the Enforceability Challenge and, having also established a 
strong solicitor panel to actively manage those claims which insurers fail to 
settle within the 90 days allowed within the General Terms of Agreement ("GTA"),
the first of these priorities is now progressing well. It is only since the 
issue of £50.0 million 5.5% Convertible Loan Notes on 8 January 2008 that the 
Group has had the flexibility to allow management to refocus its energy on 
normal business activities.  The Board feels that progress has been made in a 
number of areas and is continuing to focus on the opportunity of improving 
profitability ratios in the retail automotive credit hire referral sector where 
the Group has a market-leading position.

Trading

Since November 2006 the Group has focused on three principal referral channels 
for credit hire: automotive dealers, contract hire and leasing companies and 
insurers.  More recently, the automotive manufacturer distribution channel has 
been added and is now being targeted actively.

Approximately 94% of annual revenues currently originate from credit hire and 
accident management solution referrals from the longstanding contractual 
relationships the Group has established with its retail automotive referral 
partners.  Commission rates for this sector have been stable since we last 
reported although there is evidence of some upward pressure on commission rates 
from competitors. This commission challenge is usually counter-balanced by the 
strength and quality of our service levels, proven over time, and the 
acknowledgement of the synergistic and differentiated value we bring to 
commercial relationships.

The remaining Group credit hire revenues are generated primarily from our 
contractual relationships with 17 contract hire or leasing companies and 15 
automotive brokers where we continue to add rental volume

Because of the Enforceability Challenge faced by the Group in 2007 limited 
progress was made in expanding the distribution relationships with insurers 
beyond the two relationships that originated in 2007.  That said, the volume 
and mix of credit hire claims generated by one of those referral sources has 
grown to such a level as to have altered the overall ratio of rental 
transactions between mainstream and prestige fleet rentals by 3% since the 
referral arrangement commenced.  Whilst this will reflect through to reduced 
margins in the short term, the incremental volume is profitable and progress in 
realigning the fleet (referred to below) will help offset this margin reduction 
in the future.

Overall, Q3 rental day activity grew by 11.9% over Q2.

Fleet and Fleet Utilisation

Stronger control has being exercised over the rental fleet in Q3 and Q4 which 
has reduced in size to 4,952 today from 5,116 at 31 January 2008 and 4,999 
vehicles at 31 October 2007.

There has been a continuous effort to align the rental fleet to provide a better
match against expected rental demand. Since November 2007, improved planning has
allowed greater visibility of the fleet mix and alignment of fleet 
acquisitions and disposals with the vehicle profile required by the referral 
base.  Good progress has also been made with overall rental fleet utilisation 
improving from 52% to 63% between 1 November 2007 and 14 March 2008.  
Improvement is evident in 6 of our 7 key fleet segments and, in particular, in 
prestige saloon - our largest segment.

In November 2007 the Group developed and launched a Business-to-Business 
internet based vehicle re-marketing programme (www.aecarauction.com) with the 
aim of improving the flexibility around the disposal of the rental fleet, 
reducing the cost associated with vehicle disposals and maximising the proceeds 
from those disposals.  Whilst the conventional physical auction process remains 
the main disposal channel by volume, the electronic auction web site has 
become an increasingly important part of the disposal strategy. The Group now 
has 638 dealers registered to bid on the site; 405 vehicles with a disposal 
value of more than £7.3 million have been sold through this channel in the last 
three months. The quality of the site has been recognised by the Institute of 
Transport Management which has presented the Group with the award for Innovation
in Vehicle Remarketing 2008.

Cash collection

Daily cash receipts from insurers have improved materially since defeating the 
Enforceability Challenge in October 2007 and average daily cash receipts of 
£476,000 through Q3 have risen to an average of £588,000 per day to date in Q4. 
Claims continue to be agreed within the Company's usual provision for settlement
discounts.

Progressing claim files that remain unpaid after the 90 days allowed under the 
GTA through solicitor led action has been a crucial operational and financial 
target for the business since September 2006, although progress was held back 
until the resolution of the Enforceability Challenge in October 2007.

The Board believes that the improvement in the management of files allocated to 
solicitors, the focus on reducing processing delays and the large volumes of 
files now being propelled towards a trial date are all factors at the heart of 
the recent increase in average daily cash receipts. The Group intends to 
continue this strategy whilst still encouraging an ongoing dialogue with 
insurers during the first 90 days from the claim being submitted for payment.

The Group considers both the threat of litigation and the use of civil 
litigation to be a normal part of the settlement process where insurers have 
failed to settle claims within (or soon after) the time allowed by the GTA.  It 
is important to note that because the aggregate value of the majority of claims 
pursued on behalf of clients are above the minimum level at which solicitor 
costs can be recovered as part of the litigation process, insurers risk 
significantly increased costs of settling a claim if they choose not to settle 
it within the 90 day period provided for within the GTA.

To improve interaction with the solicitor panel, the Group has now completed its
development of "Egress", an electronic platform which links the Group's software
platform to the respective software systems for each of its panel solicitors. 
This allows rapid electronic data interchange and the real time management and 
reporting of solicitor activity.

Good progress has been made in processing claims to and through solicitor led 
recovery processes.

Of 6,121 cases that have now been progressed to conclusion through solicitor led
action, the data indicates that insurers are reluctant to see the majority of 
cases proceed to trial; 75% of these cases were settled before a date for a 
hearing was even set:

*  42% were settled after the third party insurer had been notified
   that a solicitor had accepted instructions to act for our client,
   but prior to the issue of proceedings against the negligent driver;

*  27% were settled after proceedings were issued but before the
   third party filed a defence; and 

*  6% were settled after the third party filed a defence but before notification
   of a court hearing date.

The ABI hire rate is the initial discounted rate available to insurers if the 
claim is settled by them within 30 days.  Claims concluded within the litigation
process in the period from 1 November 2007 to 14 March 2008 have done so at 
rates which were either agreed with the parties or awarded by the Courts at an 
average of 134% of the ABI rate plus an award for costs against the third party 
insurer.

The Group currently has 9,263 cases with solicitors with a total claim value of 
£53.7 million (31 October 2007: 8,778 cases totalling £47.9 million).

Proceedings have been issued in 58.9% of these current cases accounting for a 
total claim value of £30.3 million (31 October 2007: 41.5% with a claim value of
£18.4 million). The significance of the number of cases where proceedings have 
been issued is that those cases are subject to a defined timeline and a series 
of procedural triggers against which the case will be managed by the Court to 
conclusion.  The further a file progresses through the process of litigation, 
the higher the risk of increased settlement costs faced by insurers and the 
nearer we get to a court hearing date, the absolute long stop date for receipt 
of cash.

This delivery of operational efficiency in the management of claims outside the 
90 day GTA process is at the heart of the Groups expectations for improved cash 
flows.

Net debt

Fleet related finance leases have increased slightly from £88.1 million at 31 
October 2007 to £92.8 million at 31 January 2008.  Headroom against working 
capital facilities has improved from £8.7 million at 31 October 2007 to £43.5 
million at 31 January 2008.  Incorporating Convertible Loan Note debt of £50.0 
million, total net debt has grown in the same period from £125.3 million to 
£140.1 million.

DCML

DCML continues to perform in line with expectations.

Outlook

The Board retains a strong focus on the task of continuing to improve margins, 
restoring revenue growth following the difficult trading conditions for the 
Group in 2007 and on continuing to improve cash flows.  In the short time since 
the issue of the Convertible Loan Notes in January 2008, good progress has been 
made on a number of fronts and the Board is optimistic that the performance 
indicators will continue to improve.  January 2008 was a key milestone for the 
Group, releasing management to dedicate its energy to normal business activities
following the uncertainty surrounding the business in 2007.  The Board expects 
the benefits of the release of that management energy to flow through in the 
future.

The Board will issue a 'pre close' trading update for the year ending 30 April 
2008 in early May.

ENDS


CONTACTS:

Accident Exchange Group Plc
Steve Evans, Chief Executive                                       08700-116 719
Martin Andrews, Group Finance Director                             08700-053 649

Numis Securities Ltd                                               020-7260-1000
Chris Wilkinson, Corporate Broking

Bankside
Steve Liebmann or Simon Bloomfield                                 020-7367-8888



About Accident Exchange

Based in Coleshill, West Midlands, Accident Exchange delivers accident 
management and other solutions to automotive and insurance related sectors.  
Fully listed, the stock code is LSE: ACE. For further information on Accident 
Exchange, please visit the company's website: www.accidentexchange.com.




                      This information is provided by RNS
            The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END
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