BOND REPORT: 10-year Treasury Yield Falls To One-year Low
February 08 2016 - 4:26PM
Dow Jones News
By Anora Mahmudova, MarketWatch
Investors flock to bond markets as stocks, oil slide
Treasury prices rallied for a third consecutive session, pushing
yields to a 12-month low on Monday, as investors bid up safe assets
such as bonds and gold as stocks skidded yet again.
Some analysts pointed to widening credit default spreads for
banks as the trigger for Monday's moves.
"Market concern is increasingly shifting from crude prices to
credit default swap spreads on major banks, thanks to a big
widening of Deutsche (A2/BBB+) last week. With bank CDS spreads
wider this morning, equities are broadly weaker and Treasuries
stronger," wrote Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist at Janney
Montgomery Scott in emailed notes.
European equities were down more than 2% while the Dow
industrials fell more than 300 points
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-futures-drop-200-points-setting-wall-street-up-for-an-ugly-start-2016-02-08)shortly
after the open.
Read:Why a selloff in European banks is ominous
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-selloff-in-european-banks-is-ominous-2016-02-07)
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note -- the Treasury market's
benchmark -- fell 11 basis points to 1.736%, the largest one-day
decline since July 6, 2015. Treasury yields have dropped more than
50 basis points since the start of the year to the lowest level
since Feb 2, 2015.
Some analysts noted that the pressure on Treasury yields is not
only coming from domestic concerns about the economy and monetary
policy but also from action in global bond markets.
"EM weakness, global commodity malaise, and more and more yields
falling into negative territory [are] forcing portfolio managers to
reach for yield. All of this benefits the US Treasury market and
depending whether the Fed stands firm on its willingness to tighten
or not, the curve flattens or steepens," wrote Dan Brierley, head
of US Treasury trading at Jefferies LLC.
The yield on the 30-year bond , known as the long bond, fell
12.3 basis points to 2.559% from 2.682% on Friday.
The yield on the two-year note closed 6.4 basis points lower at
0.662%, its lowest level since October. Monday's decline was the
largest one-day drop since Oct. 14, 2015
In Europe, the benchmark 10-year German yield fell 8.3 basis
points to 0.216% from 0.299% on Friday, and is at its lowest level
since April 28. Meanwhile, Japan's 10-year bond is yielding at
0.032%.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 08, 2016 16:11 ET (21:11 GMT)
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