ITEM 3. KEY INFORMATION
3.A
Selected financial data
The information set forth under the headings:
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Group performance Financial highlights on page 95;
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Selected financial data on page 243; and
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Information for shareholders Exchange rates on page 253
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of the Annual Report 2016 is incorporated herein by reference.
3.B Capitalization and indebtedness
Not applicable
3.C Reasons for the offer and use of proceeds
Not applicable
3.D Risk factors
The principal risks and uncertainties that affect us could have an impact on our business, brand, assets, revenue, profits, liquidity or capital resources. The
principal risks we described last year have evolved, and so has our response to them.
Our Enterprise Risk Management framework gives reasonable (but
cannot give absolute) assurance that weve identified and addressed our biggest risks. However, there may be some risks which are unknown to us today. And there may be some that we consider less significant now but which become more important
later.
Things that happen outside BT present both risks and opportunities, to our business and to others. We focus our efforts on predicting and
mitigating those risks while aiming to take advantage of any opportunities that may emerge.
We recognise the particular uncertainty that political and
geopolitical risks present, both in the UK (like the forthcoming referendum on Britains membership of the EU) and globally. We monitor these through a separate sub-committee of our Group Risk Panel.
Growth in a competitive market
Our markets are
characterised by:
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constant and rapid change;
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strong and new competition;
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falling prices and (in some markets) falling revenues;
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market and product convergence;
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customers moving between providers; and
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regulation to promote competition and cut wholesale prices.
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Potential impact
If we dont grow our revenue profitably and sustainably, our cash flows could be
impacted. This could limit our ability to invest in the business or pay dividends.
Whats changed over the last year?
Last year we did some big things as part of our growth strategy. We:
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won FA Premier League rights for the second time;
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launched our BT Sport Europe channel; and
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deployed more of our fibre broadband network.
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Our competitors are beginning to react. CK Hutchison wants to buy Telefónica Europe plc (O2 UK). Virgin Media is expanding its network. Sky is being more
aggressive in broadband. Vodafone has entered the consumer home phone market. The market is going to get more difficult not only because of the moves of our traditional competitors but also from players in neighbouring markets, as the
dividing lines between industries keep blurring. There are also regulatory risks that could threaten revenue growth particularly Ofcoms Business Connectivity Market Review and Wholesale Must Offer statement on
pay-TV sports channels.
Communications industry regulation
Regulation affects a lot of what we do.
In the UK, after market reviews, Ofcom can make us provide wholesale
services on specified terms. Ofcom reviews the shape and size of that regulation every three years and can include controls on the price we charge for regulated products. It can investigate and enforce any regulatory rules in place and impose fines
on us if we dont comply.
Ofcom also has powers to regulate the terms on which we get supplied with certain services for instance, mobile
call termination and wholesale access to certain pay-TV channels. This can increase our costs and affects the scope of services we can provide to customers. Ofcom can also sort out disputes between us and other communications providers about the
terms on which services are supplied.
Outside the UK, general licensing requirements can make it tough for us to enter markets and compete. Regulation
will also define the terms on which we can buy wholesale services from others.
Potential impact
Regulatory rules can affect our ability to compete effectively and earn revenues. UK regulation has the biggest impact because we have to supply wholesale
access products on regulated terms.
Around £5.7bn of our revenue (£3.3bn of which is to downstream parts of BT) is from supplying wholesale
services to markets where Ofcom has found us to have significant market power. Most of these revenues are from products with regulated prices which we also have to cut each year by a defined, real-term percentage. The regulatory controls usually
last for three years and hold back revenues during that time.
Where other CPs ask Ofcom to sort out disputes with us, theres a risk that Ofcom
may set the prices we supply services at, and/or make us provide specific services. In some circumstances, Ofcom can adjust past prices and make us pay back CPs.
Regulation outside the UK can hit our revenue too. For example, overly-restrictive licensing requirements or ineffective regulation of access to other networks mean we might not be able to compete fairly.
Regulation can also define and control the terms of access to necessary regulated inputs, which raises our costs.
Whats changed over the last
year?
There has been a lot of regulatory activity in different areas. Weve summarised this in the Regulation section on page 41 of
the Annual Report 2016 incorporated herein by reference.
Alongside the standard cycle of market reviews, in March 2015 Ofcom announced an overarching
strategic review of the digital communications market. In February 2016 it set out its initial conclusions. Some of these could impact our operations, revenues and costs if theyre adopted, for example:
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strengthening Openreachs functional separation;
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keeping structural separation on the table;
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reducing regulation where its no longer required; and
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relying on more end-to-end fibre-based competition.
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Pensions
We
have a large funding obligation to our main defined benefit pension scheme in the UK, the BT Pension Scheme (BTPS or Scheme). The BTPS faces similar risks to other defined benefit schemes. Things like future low investment returns, high inflation,
longer life expectancy and regulatory changes may all mean the BTPS becomes more of a financial burden.
Potential impact
Our contributions to the BTPS are next due to be reviewed at the triennial funding valuation as at 30 June 2017. If theres an increase in the pension
deficit, then we could have to increase deficit payments into the Scheme. That might affect our share price and credit rating. If our credit rating fell in future, it would cost us more to borrow money and we might not get such flexible borrowing
terms. Higher deficit payments could mean less money available to invest, pay out as dividends or repay debt as it matures.
Whats changed over
the last year?
The last funding valuation of the BTPS, as at 30 June 2014, provided certainty over what we need to pay until the next triennial
valuation is concluded.
Things like financial market conditions and expected future investment returns at the valuation date affect the funding
position. When considering expected future returns, different factors are reviewed including yields (or returns) on government bonds, which have dropped significantly since 30 June 2014. If a lower future investment return is assumed at the
next valuation our liabilities would likely go up, which may lead to bigger deficit payments.
EE operates the EE Pension Scheme (EEPS) which has a
defined benefit section that was closed to future benefit accrual in 2014. The EEPS represents less than 2% of the groups retirement benefit obligation. The latest funding valuation for the EEPS is being performed as at 31 December 2015.
Security and resilience
Resilient IT systems,
networks and associated infrastructure are essential to our commercial success. There are a lot of different hazards that could significantly interrupt our services.
These include the evolving threat of cyber-attack, as hackers increasingly see Internet Service Providers (ISPs) as attractive targets. Others include component failure, physical attack, copper cable or equipment
theft, fire, explosion, flooding and extreme weather, power failure, overheating or extreme cold, problems encountered during upgrades and major changes, and suppliers failing to meet their obligations.
Potential impact
A malicious cyber-attack or breach of
security could mean our data is lost, corrupted, disclosed or ransomed, or that our services are interrupted. We might have to pay fines, contract penalties and compensation, and have to operate under sanctions or temporary arrangements while we
recover and put things right.
A big interruption to our services, from cyber-attack or otherwise, could mean immediate financial losses from fraud and
theft; contract cancellations; lost revenue from not being able to process orders and invoices; contractual penalties; lost productivity and unplanned costs to restore and improve our security; prosecution and fines. Ultimately individuals
welfare could be put at risk where we werent able to provide services or personal data was misappropriated.
Our revenues, new business and cash
flow could suffer, and restoring our reputation and re-building our market share might take an extended period of time.
Whats changed over the
last year?
Weve invested in scanning and monitoring tools and automated cyber defences. But the rate of major cyber-related incidents needing
a manual response keeps rising. Weve increased the size of our Cyber Defence Operations team accordingly. To probe for vulnerabilities they simulate cyber-attacks. When we learn of potential attack routes, or get intelligence about attacks on
similar organisations, we treat the information proactively and resolve it with the same speed and rigour as a real attack.
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Weve reviewed the resilience and disaster recovery capability of our critical systems, main data centres and our
most important exchanges. This has helped us make judgements on where to invest in better and stronger systems and infrastructure. Were also continuing to develop cross-site recovery for our critical systems where this didnt previously
exist. There are also several major change programmes underway to intensify IT and network controls to meet new levels of risk.
Major contracts
We have a number of complex and high-value national and multinational customer contracts. The revenue and profitability of these contracts are
affected by things like: variation in cost; achieving cost savings anticipated in contract pricing (both in terms of scale and time); delays in delivering or achieving agreed milestones owing to factors either in or out of our control; changes in
customers requirements, their budgets, strategies or businesses; and our suppliers performance. Any of these factors could make a contract less profitable or even loss-making.
The degree of risk varies with the scope and life of the contract and is typically higher in the early stages. Some customer contracts need investment in the early stages, which we then expect to recover over the
life of the contract.
Major contracts often involve implementing new systems and communications networks, transforming legacy networks and developing
new technologies. Delays or missed milestones might have an impact on us recovering these upfront costs. There is substantial performance risk in some of these highly-complex contracts.
Potential impact
If we dont manage and meet our commitments under these contracts or if
customers needs, budgets, strategies or businesses change then our expected future revenue, profitability and cash generation may go down. Unexpectedly high costs associated with delivering particular transformational contracts could
also hit profitability. Earnings may drop. Contracts may even become loss-making through loss of revenue, changes to customers businesses (due to, for example, mergers or acquisitions), business failure or contract termination.
Were still delivering lots of contracts with local authorities through regional fibre deployment programmes including the Broadband Delivery UK programme
(BDUK). As with our other major contracts, if we failed to deliver these contracts successfully it might lead to reduced future revenue, profitability and cash generation.
As well as carrying a higher reputational risk, these contracts present specific risks around deployment, delivery and our ability to recover public funding. We also have an obligation to potentially either
reinvest or repay grant funding depending on lots of different factors including how many customers take up a new service.
Whats
changed over the last year?
Tough market conditions and competitive pressures continue in many global regions, while in some were seeing
bigger growth in volume of business because of our previous investments. The risk landscape changes accordingly, as does our focus of risk support and review.
Of particular note for 2015/16 has been the way the BDUK programme has helped UK broadband fibre implementation mature, cutting the associated delivery risks. But these risks have partly been replaced by new
challenges from the next tranche of smaller contracts (with their associated geographic and technical risks). While our broadband contracts carry a different risk profile to other major corporate contracts, we apply our governance and reporting
processes to make sure we identify risks and mitigation activities and report them to management.
Supply chain
Our supply market is global, and there are often several links in our supply chains. So guaranteeing the integrity and continuity of those links is critical to our
operations and therefore a big risk to our business.
Global markets expose us to global risks, including climate change. We weigh up and respond to any
risks which crop up where geopolitical and market forces could affect our suppliers ability to support us.
A global supply market means better
sourcing opportunities, but brings challenges if suppliers become more geographically and culturally diverse from our customers.
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Our dealings with suppliers from the way we choose them, to the contracts we sign, to how we pay them
follow our trading and ethical policies. For more detail, see Our suppliers on page 39 of the Annual Report 2016 incorporated herein by reference.
Potential impact
If something goes wrong in our supply chain the level of impact can vary. But most of the
time it means higher costs for us, and potential damage to our customer service, investments and ultimately our brand. We could lose a lot of money if a big or important supplier went out of business, especially if that meant us having to change a
technology or system. And if we couldnt find an alternative supplier, it might compromise the commitments we make to our customers. And that might lead to breach of contract, lost revenue or penalties.
If any link in our supply chain falls foul of the law, or fails to meet our ethical expectations, that could damage our reputation possibly leading to legal
action and lost revenue.
Whats changed over the last year?
Weve spent time assessing several emerging geo-political threats and the impact theyd have on our supply chain. They include Greeces position in the Eurozone and the UKs position in the EU.
Theres a continuing trend toward mergers and acquisitions in some of the global markets we source from. It highlights the risk of us depending on
single or monopolistic suppliers particularly those less constrained by regulation and who might charge us more than their domestic customers.
Theres generally an increasing (and welcome) focus on human rights. The Modern Slavery Act 2015 means we must examine the potential risk of both modern
slavery and human trafficking in our supply chain. Another ethical consideration is the risk of conflict minerals being in our supply chain, which would not only go against our ethical standard but could also harm our reputation.
Business integrity and ethics
Were proud of our high
ethical standards. We dont tolerate bribery. We dont tolerate any forms of corruption. We follow a wide range of local and international anti-corruption and bribery laws in particular the UK Bribery Act and US Foreign Corrupt
Practices Act (FCPA). Both these pieces of legislation have extraterritorial reach, so cover our global operations. As we expand globally, were increasingly operating in countries seen as having a higher risk of bribery and corruption. We also
have to make sure we follow trade sanctions and import and export controls.
Potential impact
If BT people, or associated people like suppliers or agents break anti-corruption, bribery or sanctions legislation there could be big penalties, criminal
prosecution and significant brand damage. This could have a major or minor impact on future revenue and cash flow depending on the nature of the breach, the legislation concerned and any penalties. If we were accused of corruption or bribery or
violating sanctions regulations that could lead to reputational damage with investors, regulators and customers.
Whats changed over the last
year?
More and more countries are bringing in anti-corruption and bribery legislation. In the UK, the Serious Fraud Office is now able to bring in
deferred prosecutions agreements for fraud, bribery and other economic crime. In terms of enforcement, there are yet to be any big cases stemming from the UK Bribery Act, but US FCPA generates a lot of enforcement actions.
Processing our customers data
We control and process
huge quantities of customer data around the world. So sticking to data privacy laws is something we take extremely seriously. Every day we process the personal data of millions of customers. Its important that those individuals and businesses
feel they can trust us to do the right thing with their data.
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Being trusted with our customers data goes further than making sure its secure. It means preserving the
integrity of the personal data we process. And only keeping the things we need to provide customers with the services theyve signed up for. It also means being transparent around how we use that data, making sure the way we process personal
data is legal, fair and in line with customers rights and wishes.
As a communications provider we operate under a stringent 24-hour reporting
regime to tell the UK Information Commissioners Office (ICO) if we become aware of a personal data security breach. We must also tell any affected individuals as quickly as possible.
Different parts of the world approach privacy and data protection differently. Individuals fundamental right to privacy is reflected in the fact that today data privacy laws are in force in over 100
countries. More and more we (and other multinationals) have to show that were handling personal data in line with a complex tangle of national data laws and societal ethical expectations.
Potential impact
Failing to stick to data protection and
privacy laws could result in possible regulatory enforcement action, fines, class-action, prison sentences and the regulator telling us to stop processing data.
On top of that, we could see huge reputational damage and big financial losses. Those losses could come from fines and damages if we fail to meet our legal requirements, as well as costs resulting from having to
close customer contracts and the subsequent customer churn. Companies whove had high profile data incidents have seen their share price hit hard, and suffered ongoing costs from their non-compliance.
Whats changed over the last year?
National regulators
are more aggressively protecting their citizens privacy and data protection rights. Theyre especially targeting companies who fail to do due diligence, or who knowingly accept (or ignore) a related risk for too long. This has been
brought into sharp focus by the mushrooming of the data threat environment, with several big organisations suffering incidents.
Theres been a
general trend toward bigger financial penalties and more frequent public shamings for organisations that break global privacy and data protection laws. The UK Information Commissioner now issues more penalties than Ofcom.
Health & safety
Our business and in
particular our vast engineering workforce does a lot of work which is subject to health and safety regulation and enforcement by national authorities.
Potential impact
If we failed to implement and keep up effective health and safety management and governance,
that could have a big impact on our people and our finances. It could lead to people getting injured, work-related sickness and service disruption for customers.
It could also lead to our people and third parties making compensation claims against us, or fines or other sanctions if we didnt stick to health and safety regulation. There could even be criminal
prosecutions against us, our directors and our people all of which would harm our brand and business.
And of course an unhappy or unhealthy
workforce also leads to higher work absence rates and lower performance levels.
Whats changed over the last year?
The range and complexity of risks has gone up as weve offered new services to our customers. Those risks include us doing more construction and electrical
engineering work on our own network, and the fact that we have new contracts which need our people to work to maintain and extend the UKs mobile network. Weve taken a lot of steps to mitigate these risks especially around how our
people work with electricity or high off the ground.
Were building a plan to further embed health and safety into our operations. In the past
year, weve seen major legislative change particularly with the UK introducing Construction, Design and Management Regulations
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which place new responsibilities on organisations around making construction work safer. Weve worked with the UK regulator and others in our sector to respond pragmatically to these
demands. Weve faced increased enforcement action against us this year, and also a few prosecutions initiated for past incidents.
EE
acquisition risks
Our acquisition of EE has introduced additional risks for BT beyond those captured in our principal risks and uncertainties. This
year, given the acquisition has only recently completed, weve set out these risks separately. As the EE risks become more embedded in our Enterprise Risk Management framework, well integrate the reporting of these risks into our review
of our principal risks and uncertainties.
Although a number of the risks EE faces are similar in nature to those potentially impacting BT, there are
also distinct risks that the group now faces that BT has not previously perceived to be significant threats.
This section outlines some of those new
risks and uncertainties, but it is not exhaustive.
Realising acquisition synergies
We are targeting significant synergies from the acquisition, including operating cost savings and capital expenditure savings. Integrating the respective businesses
is also expected to give rise to further benefits. These include fixed-mobile convergence, the ability to serve customers through a single, seamless platform supported by a single IP network, and being able to offer BT products to EE customers and
EE products to BT customers.
The groups success will depend, in part, on the effectiveness of the integration process and the ability to realise
the anticipated benefits and synergies from combining the businesses. Some of the potential challenges in integrating the businesses may not be known at this stage. If these challenges cannot be overcome, for example because of unforeseen
difficulties in implementing fixed-mobile convergence or a lack of customer demand for the offerings, the anticipated benefits of the acquisition will not be fully achieved.
Realisation of synergies will depend partly on the rapid and efficient management and co-ordination of the activities of the groups businesses. We may experience difficulties in integrating EE with our
existing businesses and may not realise, or it might take longer than expected to realise, certain or all of the perceived benefits of the acquisition. Theres also a risk that synergy benefits and growth opportunities from the acquisition may
fail to materialise, or may be materially lower than have been estimated. In addition, the costs of generating these synergies may exceed expectations. Further, we may not achieve the revenue or profitability that justify the original investment,
which could result in material, non-cash write-downs. Failure to deliver the anticipated synergies and business opportunities could have a material adverse effect on our businesses, financial conditions and results of operations, including our
ability to support our pension deficit, service our debt or to pay dividends.
Competition in the mobile market
Competition in the UK mobile telecommunications market is intense. Competition results from, among other things, the existence of established mobile network
operators, market entry of alternative and lower cost carriers (such as mobile virtual network operators), technology developments (such as Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)), and the ability of other providers to bundle mobile phone services with
different products and content (such as broadband and pay-TV). In particular, technologies such as VoIP and so-called over-the-top platforms (such as iMessage, Facetime, Blackberry Messenger, WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger) could reduce
voice and/or text messaging traffic on mobile networks, which could lead to significant price and revenue reductions.
Increased competition has led to
a decline in the prices which EE charges for its mobile services and is expected to lead to further declines in pricing in the future. Competition could also lead to a reduction in the rate at which we add new mobile customers, a decrease in the
size of our mobile market share and a decline in the groups service revenue as customers choose to receive telecommunications services or other competing services from other providers. Also, theres a risk of increased customer churn as a
result of the transition away from the legacy T-Mobile and Orange brands and any potential changes to the branding in future. Churn could also increase as a result of potential Ofcom changes to the mobile switching regime in the UK. An increase in
churn rates could adversely affect profitability because we would experience lower revenue and/or additional selling costs to replace customers or recapture lost revenue.
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Delays in the deployment of new technologies
Our operations will depend partly on the successful deployment of continuously evolving telecommunications technologies, including handsets and network compatibility and components.
EE uses technologies from a number of vendors and incurs significant capital expenditure deploying these technologies. There can be no assurance that common
standards and specifications will be achieved, that there will be interoperability across networks, that technologies will be developed according to anticipated schedules, that theyll perform according to expectations or that they will achieve
commercial acceptance. The introduction of software and other network components may also be delayed. The failure of vendor performance or technology performance to meet our expectations or the failure of a technology to achieve commercial
acceptance could result in additional capital expenditure, or a reduction in profitability.
Technology change and market acceptance
We may not succeed in making customers sufficiently aware of existing and future services or in creating customer acceptance of these services
at the prices we would want to charge. Also, we may not identify trends correctly, or may not be able to bring new services to market as quickly or price-competitively as our competitors.
These risks exist in the mobile telecommunications area (eg mobile data services) and in non-mobile telecommunications areas (eg mobile payment services based on contactless technology) where there is a risk that
differences in the regulatory treatment of different operators, based on their choice of technology, could put us at a competitive disadvantage.
Further, as a result of rapid technological progress and the trend towards technological convergence, new and established information and telecommunications
technologies or products may not only fail to complement one another but in some cases, may even become a substitute for one another. An example of this is the risk that over-the-top services (being those which are provided by a third
party to the end-user device) develop substitutes for our own products and services. Another example is VoIP, a technology that is already established in the business customer market and which has now reached the consumer market. The availability of
mobile handsets with VoIP functionality may adversely affect our pricing structures and market share in our mobile voice telephony business. If we dont appropriately anticipate the demand for new technologies, and adapt our strategies, service
offering and cost structures accordingly, we may be unable to compete effectively, which may have an adverse effect on our business and operations.
Supplier and joint venture failure
EE has a number
of suppliers identified as critical. EE is also party to a complex and critical network-sharing arrangement with Hutchison 3G UK Limited. The failure of this joint operation to fully support our interests and goals, or any material disruption to the
operation of the EE network sharing arrangement, could cause significant harm to our business.
As demand for smartphone and tablet products increases
around the world, there could be shortages in the volume of devices produced as a result of insufficient manufacturing capacity, the lack of availability of internal components such as processors or major supply chain disruptions. This may result in
delays in the supply chain which in turn may have an adverse effect on our business and operations.
Regulation and spectrum
Regulators, including Ofcom, set annual licence fees for spectrum bands used by EE for voice calls, and data services. In future spectrum auctions, the costs of
acquiring spectrum could increase or we may be unsuccessful in our bids. Any significant increases in spectrum pricing which apply to us could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
EE has been found to have significant market power in some areas of wholesale call termination following market reviews and, as is the case for all MNOs, EEs
wholesale mobile termination rates are therefore regulated by Ofcom. The scope and form of the regulation is reviewed every three years.
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EE is also subject to UK and European Union consumer-focused regulation in areas including: the international roaming
services provided by EE; processes for consumer switching and non-geographic numbering call services. This regulation may affect the groups market share, competitive position, future profitability and cash.
As technology and market dynamics develop and as the mobile business of EE is integrated into BT, a wider range of existing regulations will apply to us and a
broader range of new and/or modified regulations may be directed at us.
Network, licence and technology investment
EE (as well as the rest of BT to a lesser extent), has made substantial investments in the acquisition of licences and EE has invested in its mobile networks,
including modernising its 2G network, the upgrade of its 3G network and the continued expansion of its 4G network. We expect to continue to make significant investments in our mobile networks due to increased usage and the need to offer new services
and greater functionality. We may acquire new spectrum licences with licence conditions, which may include network coverage obligations or increased licence fees. Accordingly, the rate of our capital expenditure and costs in future years could
increase and exceed those expected or experienced to date.
There can be no assurance that new services will be introduced according to anticipated
schedules or that the level of demand for new services will justify the cost of setting them up (in particular, the cost of new spectrum licences and network infrastructure, for example, for 4G services and subsequent evolutions). Failure or a delay
in completing networks and launching new services, or increases in the associated costs, could have an adverse effect on our business and operations and could result in significant write downs of the value of network spectrum or other licences or
other network-related investments.
If the current economic climate worsens, we may decide, or be required, to scale back capital expenditure. A lasting
reduction in capital expenditure levels below certain thresholds could affect our ability to invest in mobile telecommunications networks (including additional spectrum), new technology and other BT businesses and so could have an adverse effect on
our future growth and the value of radio spectrum.
Transmission of radio waves from mobile telephones, transmitters and associated equipment
Media reports have suggested that radio frequency emissions from wireless mobile devices and mobile telecommunications sites may cause health
issues, including cancer, and may interfere with some electronic medical devices, including hearing aids and pacemakers. Research and studies are ongoing. According to the World Health Organisations Fact Sheet Number 193, last reviewed in
October 2014, there are no known adverse effects on health from emissions at levels below internationally recognised health and safety standards. However, we cannot provide assurance that research in the future will not establish links between radio
frequency emissions and health risks.
Whether or not research or studies conclude that there is a link between radio frequency emissions and health,
popular concerns about radio frequency emissions may discourage the use of wireless devices, impairing our ability to retain customers and attract new customers, and may result in restrictions on the location and operation of mobile communications
sites and the usage of our wireless technology. These concerns could also lead to litigation against us. Any restrictions on use or litigation could have an adverse effect on our business and operations.