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RNS Number : 0476O

Anglo Pacific Group PLC

02 November 2016

News Release

November 2, 2016

Anglo Pacific Group PLC

Q3 2016 Trading Update

Anglo Pacific Group PLC ("Anglo Pacific", the "Company" or the "Group") (LSE: APF, TSX: APY), the London and Toronto listed royalty company, issues the following trading update for the period July 1, 2016 to November 1, 2016. Unless otherwise stated, all unaudited financial information is for the quarter ended September 30, 2016.

Q3 2016 Highlights

 
 --   Royalty related income of GBP4.7m in Q3 2016 (Q3 
       2015: GBP1.9m), an increase of 147% 
 --   Royalty related income of GBP9.0m for the nine 
       months ended September 30, 2016 (nine months ended 
       September 30, 2015: GBP5.7m; and FY2015: GBP8.7m), 
       an increase of 58% 
 --   Cash and cash equivalents of GBP4.0m as at September 
       30, 2016 (December 31, 2015: GBP5.7m) and net 
       debt of GBP8.2m as at September 30, 2016 (December 
       31, 2015: GBP1.8m), both prior to receipt of Q3 
       2016 royalty income 
 

Outlook

 
 --   Significant increases in both coking and thermal 
       coal prices since the half year, with spot prices 
       up 229% and 110% year to date respectively, which 
       should benefit royalty income in Q4 2016 
 --   Royalty income for 2016 expected to be considerably 
       higher than previous expectations 
 --   Net debt currently stands at GBP4.2m following 
       receipt of the Q3 2016 royalty income 
 --   Currency hedging measures implemented to protect 
       a significant portion of forecast next six months' 
       Australian dollar income at spot rates of approximately 
       GBP:AUD 1.60, following the continued weakness 
       of sterling post the outcome of the EU referendum 
 --   Full dividend cover now expected for 2016 ahead 
       of previous guidance, and acceleration in the 
       timeframe when the Group can consider gradually 
       increasing its dividend 
 

Julian Treger, Chief Executive Officer of the Company, commented:

"We are delighted by the Group's progress this year, underlined by the significant increase in royalty income which is already ahead of 2015 as a whole. Encouragingly, we believe that more good news is still to come in Q4 2016, when increased coal prices and mining in our royalty areas should benefit the Company still further.

"With the outlook for robust coal prices set to continue through H1 2017, we look forward to the corresponding benefit to our dividend cover. We remain very excited about the Group's prospects, as Anglo Pacific continues to be one of the only listed royalty companies that provides such high levels of exposure to coking coal price increases."

Trading update additional information

 
 --   Increase in income for the first nine months of 
       2015 has been driven largely by increases in volume 
       in the Group's royalty land at Kestrel and the 
       weakness of the sterling (sterling is approximately 
       20% lower against the Australian dollar compared 
       to the level at the beginning of the year), with 
       the full benefit of recent coal price increases 
       expected to come through in the final quarter 
       of the year 
 --   Although Rio Tinto has not published the price 
       at which they have contracted coking coal sales 
       for Q4 2016, both Peabody and Glencore have settled 
       contracts at US$200/t. This marks a 117% increase 
       on the Q3 2016 contract price of $92/t. Should 
       Rio Tinto achieve this price, when combined with 
       the majority of production at Kestrel expected 
       to be within Anglo Pacific's land in Q4 2016, 
       Anglo Pacific can reasonably expect a much higher 
       amount of royalty income in Q4 2016 compared to 
       expectations at the half year. The company will 
       make an announcement to the market in due course 
       once the coking coal price has been set for Q4 
       2016. 
 --   Although the coking coal price increase has been 
       most pronounced, the price of thermal coal is 
       also up sharply as is the price of intermediate 
       quality PCI coal. The royalty the Group acquired 
       in March 2015 over the Narrabri mine should thus 
       also show considerable growth in Q4 2016 
 

For further information:

 
 Anglo Pacific Group PLC                       +44 (0) 20 3435 7400 
 Julian Treger - Chief Executive 
  Officer 
  Kevin Flynn - Chief Financial 
  Officer and Company Secretary 
 Website:                                 www.anglopacificgroup.com 
 
 BMO Capital Markets Limited                   +44 (0) 20 7664 8020 
 Jeffrey Couch / Neil Haycock / 
  Tom Rider 
 
 Macquarie Capital (Europe) Limited            +44 (0) 20 3037 2000 
 Raj Khatri / Nicholas Harland / Ariel 
  Tepperman 
 
 Peel Hunt LLP                                 +44 (0) 20 7418 8900 
 Matthew Armitt / Ross Allister 
 
 Bell Pottinger                                +44 (0) 20 3772 2500 
 Nick Lambert / Lorna Cobbett 
 
 

Notes to Editors

About Anglo Pacific

Anglo Pacific Group PLC is a global natural resources royalty company. The Company's strategy is to develop a leading international diversified royalty company with a portfolio centred on base metals and bulk materials, focusing on accelerating income growth through acquiring royalties on projects that are currently cash flow generating or are expected to be within the next 24 months. It is a continuing policy of the Company to pay a substantial portion of these royalties to shareholders as dividends.

Cautionary statement on forward-looking statements and related information

Certain information contained in this announcement, including any information as to future financial or operating performance and other statements that express management's expectation or estimates of future performance, constitute "forward looking statements". The words "expects", "anticipates", "plans", "believes", "estimates", "seeks", "intends", "targets", "projects", "forecasts", or negative versions thereof and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by management, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies. Further, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated, estimated or intended in the forward-looking statements. Furthermore, this announcement contains information and statements that are based on certain estimates and forecasts that have been provided to the Group by Kestrel Coal Pty Ltd ("KCPL"), the accuracy of which KCPL does not warrant and on which readers may not rely. The material assumptions and risks relevant to the forward-looking statements in this announcement include, but are not limited to: stability of the global economy; stability of local government and legislative background; continuing of ongoing operations at the properties underlying the Group's portfolio of royalties in a manner consistent with past practice; accuracy of public statements and disclosures (including feasibility studies and estimates of reserve, resource, production, grades, mine life, and cash cost) made by the owners and operators of such underlying properties; accuracy of the information provided to the Group by the owners and operators of such underlying properties; no material adverse change in the price of the commodities produced from the properties underlying the Group's portfolio of royalties and investments; no material adverse change in foreign exchange exposure; no adverse development in respect of any property in which the Group holds a royalty or other interest, including but not limited to unusual or unexpected geological formations and natural disasters; successful completion of new development projects; planned expansions or additional projects being within the timelines anticipated and at anticipated production levels; and maintenance of mining title. If any such risks actually occur, they could materially adversely affect the Group's business, financial condition or results of operations. For additional information with respect to such risks and uncertainties, please refer to the "Principal Risks and Uncertainties" section of our most recent Annual Report and to the "Risk Factors" section of our most recent Annual Information Form available on www.sedar.com and the Group's website www.anglopacificgroup.com. Readers are cautioned to consider these and other factors, uncertainties and potential events carefully and not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are made as of the date of this announcement only and the Group undertakes no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, after the date on which the statements are made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

Third party information

As a royalty holder, the Group often has limited, if any, access to non-public scientific and technical information in respect of the properties underlying its portfolio of royalties, or such information is subject to confidentiality provisions. As such, in preparing this announcement, the Group has largely relied upon the public disclosures of the owners and operators of the properties underlying its portfolio of royalties, as available at the date of this announcement.

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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