ADP Private Payrolls Rise a More-than-Expected 172,000 in June -- 2nd Update
July 07 2016 - 10:19AM
Dow Jones News
By Lisa Beilfuss
Private payrolls in June rose at the best clip in three months,
suggesting many U.S. firms continue to create jobs at a healthy
pace and alleviating some concerns over May's marked slowdown.
Private firms across the U.S. added 172,000 workers to their
ranks last month, according to payroll processor Automatic Data
Processing Inc. and forecasting firm Moody's Analytics. Economists
surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected an increase of
151,000.
May's gain, initially reported at 173,000, was revised down
slightly to 168,000.
"Job growth revived last month from its spring slump," said Mark
Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics. The employment market
remains healthy outside of the struggling energy and manufacturing
sectors, "and Brexit won't help," but small- and mid-sized
companies are hiring at a solid pace, he said.
U.S. job growth has slowed in recent months, with the
government's May employment report showing considerably weaker
growth in payrolls than had been expected and previous months'
gains revised down, the Federal Reserve said in its June meeting
minutes released Wednesday. While a strike at Verizon
Communications Inc. dragged down May's payroll figure, weakness was
broad-based with construction companies, manufacturers and miners
together cutting 36,000 jobs, temporary head counts dropping by
21,000 and service providers significantly slowing hiring.
ADP's May report didn't similarly reflect significantly softer
hiring, partly because of its methodology. The report is based on
data collected from ADP clients in addition to lagged government
figures -- it doesn't aim to replicate the nonfarm payrolls survey
-- and it didn't include the Verizon strike or adjust for it. Some
other job market indicators, such as the number of Americans filing
for unemployment benefits and those quitting their jobs, have
continued to suggest a healthy labor market. Separately Thursday
morning, the Labor Department said jobless claims dropped last
week.
Service providers and small businesses continued to drive the
June payroll gains, according to ADP, offsetting intensifying job
losses across the manufacturing sector.
Service-sector firms, home to most U.S. jobs and reflective of
domestic demand, grew payrolls by 208,000 last month, up 35,000
from May. Meanwhile, factory head counts fell 21,000 -- marking the
fifth straight month of declining jobs in the sector and the
biggest monthly decline since early 2010. While manufacturing
conditions have stabilized in recent months, headwinds remain and
factory owners remain reluctant to hire. Construction jobs,
meanwhile, fell in June for the first time in 5 1/2 years.
America's smallest companies -- those with fewer than 50
employees -- picked up their pace of hiring last month to 95,000
workers, up from 84,000 in May and far outpacing payroll gains at
bigger businesses that continue to grapple with weaker
international demand, uncertainty over the Brexit fallout and a
strong U.S. dollar that hurts exports.
The June ADP report comes a day before the Bureau of Labor
Statistic's employment situation report. Economists polled by The
Wall Street Journal expect nonfarm payrolls to have risen 165,000
last month, up from 38,000 in May. The unemployment rate is
expected to tick up to 4.8% from 4.7%, where it unexpectedly fell
because of sharp labor market shrinkage.
Many economists say the better-than-expected ADP result doesn't
affect their nonfarm payroll forecasts for tomorrow's report,
pointing to frequent divergence between the two numbers. "We've
seen recent ADP overshoots of 148,000 in May, 26,000 in April and
33,000 in March, after undershoots of as much as 122,000 in four of
the prior five months," said Michael Englund, chief economist at
Action Economics.
Write to Lisa Beilfuss at lisa.beilfuss@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 07, 2016 10:04 ET (14:04 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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