WPP Expects Brexit Gains -- WSJ
August 25 2016 - 3:03AM
Dow Jones News
By Nick Kostov
WPP PLC, the world's largest marketing company by revenue, said
it is set to benefit from a Brexit-weakened British currency for at
least the next year-and-a-half.
While the U.K.'s economic trajectory following the country's
decision to exit from the European Union remains uncertain, the
fall in the pound has provided a boost for companies that make a
high proportion of their revenues in foreign currencies. WPP told
analysts it expects a 13% to 15% rise in revenues from foreign
exchange effects in the second half of the year, adding the firm
would continue to benefit in 2017.
Because WPP makes 85% of its sales in foreign currencies, it
benefits when sales in foreign currencies are converted into a
weaker pound. The pound is down 12% against the dollar since June
23, the day before the vote's results were announced. Conversely,
the weakening pound hurts U.S. and eurozone corporate competitors
who do business in the U.K. WPP shares rose Wednesday more than 5%
in London.
WPP shares have risen 18% this year, compared with a 12% rise at
competitor Omnicom Group Inc. and a 10% rise at Publicis Groupe SA.
"Currencies are definitely a big factor in that," said Kepler
analyst Conor O'Shea. "It gets you a higher revenue number and
makes it easier to hit analyst forecasts."
In its first-half results, which were reported Wednesday, WPP
pointed to "a post-Brexit-vote recovery." Trading strengthened in
the U.K. in July compared with the April, May and June, a period
when business slowed ahead of the referendum vote.
"One swallow doesn't make summer but we are pleased with it,"
WPP Chief Executive Martin Sorrell said in an interview.
A powerful force behind the pound's decline is the Bank of
England program, unveiled earlier this month, of cutting its
benchmark interest rate to the lowest in its 322-year history and
reviving a financial crisis-era bond-buying program. The BoE's move
has been driving down the pound by persuading investors the country
will have ultralow interest rates for some time to come.
Despite the strong results, "caution" remains the watchword for
Mr. Sorrell as advertisers remain focused on cutting costs in a
difficult economic and geopolitical environment.
Mr. Sorrell nevertheless said Brexit remained among the
half-dozen worrisome trends facing the firm, including the
eurozone's low growth and difficulties in emerging economies such
as China, Brazil and Russia.
The U.K.'s exit from the EU could lead to a drop in gross
domestic product in Europe and possibly globally, Mr. Sorrell said.
He also warned that Brexit could create further economic and
political uncertainty in the U.K. around Scottish independence and
lead to other countries leaving the EU.
Mr. Sorrell, who had previously warned about the impact of
Britain leaving the EU, said he wanted negotiations to determine
the terms of Brexit to start as soon as possible. "Uncertainty is
the death knell to growth and people willing to take an educated
risk," he said.
Given the uncertainties, WPP said it expects sales and
profitability to grow at a similar rate to last year due to tight
cost controls.
The company said its comparable net sales, a closely watched
measure in the advertising industry that strips out acquisitions,
disposals and currency effects, rose 4.3%, beating analyst
expectations and its peers.
First-half net profit fell 57% to GBP245.8 million as the
company booked GBP122 million of write-downs, mainly on the
U.S.-based measurement firm comScore it invested in last year which
hasn't released its financial results due to an internal
investigation by their audit committee. "We're very disappointed
and somewhat amazed that the audit committee has gone on for so
long," Mr. Sorrell said.
For 2016, WPP expects comparable net sales to grow more than 3%
and its operating margin to again increase 0.3 percentage point on
a constant currency basis. The company said that comparable net
sales rose 1.9% in July.
The owner of agencies such as Ogilvy & Mather said it
continues to look for acquisitions to bolster its expertise in
areas such as digital and new media. The company has set aside an
annual acquisition budget of around GBP300 million to GBP400
million, a sum in line with previous years.
Write to Nick Kostov at Nick.Kostov@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 25, 2016 02:48 ET (06:48 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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