Technology Busiest Sector in Merger Deals This Year
June 13 2016 - 8:21PM
Dow Jones News
By Rolfe Winkler and Anne Steele
The pace of mergers and acquisitions may have eased from last
year's record, but a pair of deals announced since Sunday --
Microsoft Corp.'s $26.2 billion proposed acquisition of LinkedIn
Corp. and Symantec Corp.'s $4.65 billion agreement to buy Blue Coat
Systems Inc. -- show that one corner of the market is alive and
well: technology.
So far this year, there have been about $260 billion of tech
deals announced globally, according to Dealogic data. That is the
second-fastest pace ever for the period, after 2000. Technology is
the busiest sector for M&A this year, as it was in 2015, the
data show. Analysts predict the pace will continue -- and that the
LinkedIn deal could be a catalyst for other such moves by tech
giants like Microsoft.
Compare that with the overall merger market, where volume is
down 18% so far this year to $1.45 trillion. After striking deals
at a record pace last year as they grapple with sluggish economic
growth, companies have turned more cautious as a result of market
volatility and pushback from regulators.
The tech industry has largely been immune to the slowdown,
however, and market declines have made some targets in the industry
more affordable, analysts say. Take Microsoft's deal for LinkedIn.
While the software pioneer is paying a roughly 50% premium to
LinkedIn's closing price on Friday, the $196-a-share price is still
well below LinkedIn's high of more than $250 early last year.
The deal represents a departure from broader M&A trends in
another respect. The recent boom has been characterized by
combinations of big companies in the same line of business seeking
to cut overlapping costs -- tie-ups shareholders have largely
applauded. But by buying the social network, Microsoft is expanding
its horizons. That may help explain why its shareholders reacted
cautiously, driving down the company's stock 2.6% to $50.14 on the
news.
One company whose shares fared better is Twitter Inc. Its stock
rose 3.8% to $14.55 Monday as the LinkedIn deal stoked long-held
investor hopes that another cash-rich tech giant would scoop up the
beleaguered social-media company.
"They have substantial analytics and data that's relevant to a
lot of companies," said James Cakmak, an analyst at equity
researcher Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. Twitter is valued at
just less than 3 times estimates of its next twelve month revenue,
according to Factset. LinkedIn's multiple, on that basis leapt from
4 times to 6 times when the deal was announced.
"That valuation disconnect could create opportunity," Mr. Cakmak
said.
Social-service providers like GoDaddy Inc., Yelp Inc., GrubHub
Inc. and Zillow Group Inc. also have valuations that make them
attractive to potential buyers, he said.
GoDaddy declined to comment. The other companies didn't
immediately respond to a request for comment.
The LinkedIn deal also could give a boost to the venture-capital
and startup communities, possibly signaling the return of deal
making to that corner of the tech industry as large companies seek
to boost revenue growth. Private tech companies have seen a 25% to
50% cut in their value, said UBS Securities analyst Brent Thill, as
investors have in many cases become wary of their ability to turn
revenue growth into profit.
Venture capitalists and the entrepreneurs they back have two
primary ways to cash in on their startup investments: an initial
public offering or acquisition. The IPO market has been moribund
since late last year, meaning M&A is in many cases their best
hope now.
The LinkedIn deal is "extremely positive for Silicon Valley for
several reasons," argues Peter Hsing, managing director of venture
firm Merus Capital and previously an executive on Microsoft's
mergers-and-acquisitions team. "It demonstrates that major tech
players are not hesitant to make very large moves."
Blue Coat may stoke such hopes. The cyberdefense technology
company was just weeks away from an expected debut on the New York
Stock Exchange when its private-equity backers elected to sell the
company to Symantec instead. Possibly encouraging other such
buyers, Symantec shares rose 5.3% to $18.21 Monday on news of the
acquisition.
Others aren't convinced there will be a resurgence in
acquisitions of private venture-backed companies.
Giant tech players are mostly showing an appetite for more
mature companies, said Matt Ocko, co-managing partner of venture
firm Data Collective. He cited Salesforce.com Inc.'s recently
announced acquisition of marketing-software firm Demandware
Inc.
"Anyone jealous of [Microsoft] is likely to try for another
fairly mature public company," Mr. Ocko said.
Write to Rolfe Winkler at rolfe.winkler@wsj.com and Anne Steele
at Anne.Steele@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 13, 2016 20:06 ET (00:06 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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