Ryanair Raises Earnings Forecast on Better Fares
September 09 2015 - 4:30AM
Dow Jones News
LONDON—Ryanair Holdings PLC has raised its fiscal-year profit
target by as much as 26%, as Europe's biggest budget airline said
it would carry more passengers and sell tickets at better prices
than expected.
The airline said on Wednesday it should report net profit of
around €1.18 billion euros ($1.3 billion) to €1.23 billion for the
year to end-March. That represents a big improvement on a previous
forecast of profit nearer the top end of a projected range of €940
million to €970 million.
Ryanair, Europe's largest low-fare airline by passenger numbers,
said fares in the three months to end-December are now likely to be
flat compared with the same period the previous year. The airline
had previously expected a decline of as much as 8%.
The company said it expects to carry 104 million passengers, one
million more than in its earlier forecast. It began the year with
an estimate of 100 million passengers.
The Dublin-based carrier's upbeat outlook follows a series of
bullish forecasts and evidence of strong traffic growth among its
European rivals such as easyJet PLC, Norwegian Air Shuttle, and
Wizz Air PLC. EasyJet, Europe's No. 2 discount carrier, last week
raised its fiscal-year profit figure to end-September to a range of
£ 675 million ($1.04 billion) to £ 700 million, from £ 620 million
to £ 660 million.
The budget airlines have seen planes filled near capacity with
load factors—a measure of seats sold—in the key summer period
exceeding 90%.
"We have been surprised by the strength of close-in bookings and
fares this summer during which we delivered record 95% load factors
in both July and August while fares grew by over 2%, when we had
expected them to be flat," Ryanair Chief Executive Michael O'Leary
said.
Ryanair investors also are poised to a potential further gain as
the budget airline decides what to do with around €400 million it
received for the sale of its 29.8% stake in Aer Lingus Group to
British Airways-parent International Consolidated Airlines Group
SA.
Ryanair Chief Financial Officer Neil Sorahan said the airline
would decide ahead of its annual shareholder meeting on Sept. 24
what to do with the money. The carrier has a history of paying
special dividends and buying back its own stock.
The bullish outlook is further vindication of Ryanair's recent
shift in strategy. In the past two years, Ryanair has moved its
operations to more primary airports and sought to win business
travelers, helping it boost returns.
The airline also has benefited further from low fuel prices amid
a sustained slump in crude oil. Though much of its fuel costs are
locked in through hedges, or financial instruments used to secure
future prices and gain certainty over costs, it has benefited on
the unhedged portion of its fuel consumption.
Ryanair, which tends to provide conservative guidance, warned
there was still uncertainty to its outlook, with only about 30% of
tickets sold for its fiscal third quarter ending in December and no
visibility for the rest of the financial year.
The airline said it expects "downward pressure" on fares and
yields in the winter as it expands in major European Union markets
such as Germany while rivals are likely to use low fuel prices to
discount more heavily.
Ticket prices in the January through March period are now
expected to contract 2% to 4%, Mr. Sorahan said.
The airline has benefited from a number of nonoperational
factors, such as bad weather in Northern Europe and a strong
British currency, Mr. O'Leary said.
Ryanair also said it has recovered all of the funds from
fraudulent electronic transfer to a Chinese bank earlier in the
year. Less than $5 million was at stake, the airline said, adding
it had taken measures to prevent a repeat of such a transfer.
Write to Robert Wall at robert.wall@wsj.com
Subscribe to WSJ: http://online.wsj.com?mod=djnwires
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 09, 2015 04:15 ET (08:15 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Ryanair (NASDAQ:RYAAY)
Historical Stock Chart
From Mar 2024 to Apr 2024
Ryanair (NASDAQ:RYAAY)
Historical Stock Chart
From Apr 2023 to Apr 2024