Dollar Bobs as Markets Look Beyond Brexit Vote
June 29 2016 - 12:10AM
Dow Jones News
The U.S. dollar bobbed against most currencies in early Asian
trade on Wednesday, as the market focused on what might happen next
after the global shake-up set off by Britain's vote to leave the
European Union.
The pound, euro, and the Australian dollar were little changed
from their London closing levels. Asian currencies were marginally
stronger against the greenback.
The U.S. dollar retreated Tuesday after its big run-up following
last week's Brexit referendum. It remained under pressure as
skepticism began to take root over the pre-Brexit consensus view
that the U.S. Federal Reserve would raise interest rates at least
once this year. The Fed last raised its key benchmark interest rate
in December.
On Tuesday, the CME Federal Funds futures indicated traders were
pricing in a 17% chance of a U.S. interest rate cut by September
instead. By early Wednesday, traders were pricing in just a 7%
chance of such a cut.
The market is looking to the Fed as a beacon through the Brexit
fog. The possibility of a U.S. rate cut may be slim, but it is
emerging as a theme among traders.
Global central banks appear to be testing their options to
prevent a bigger fallout from the Brexit vote.
Japan's Finance Ministry has given the green light to the Bank
of Japan to intervene in foreign exchange markets should the yen
strengthen substantially more. On Tuesday, South Korea's government
announced a $17 billion stimulus package to support the economy.
Earlier this week, central banks in China, India, and Singapore
were believed by market observers to have been in the market to
support their currencies.
Jerome Powell, a U.S. Fed governor, said Tuesday that the Brexit
vote has added new uncertainties to the global outlook. His were
the first remarks from a Fed official since the U.K. referendum,
but didn't reveal much about the timing or direction of the central
bank's next move, as Mr. Powell said it was far too early to
determine Brexit's effect on the U.S. economy.
With the change in market sentiment, the U.S.'s S&P 500
rallied 1.8% Tuesday, lifting Asian equity markets. The price of
gold was a little higher, but well off its post-Brexit peak. The
yields on safe-haven Japanese government bonds appear to be
stabilizing after hitting record lows recently.
The risk-on theme may not last however, as much uncertainty
still lingers over the negotiations for Britain's actual exit from
the European Union.
The pound was trading at $1.3320, the yen was at ¥ 102.45 to the
dollar, and China's yuan was at 6.6525.
Write to Ewen Chew at ewen.chew@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 28, 2016 23:55 ET (03:55 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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