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Tullow Oil Share Chat :

dealy 11:03:17 27/03/2015
i reckon the hedge funds will want to secure a weak Close by the 31st (or by today if the last friday of the month is the Benchmark date) so that they can book a big paper Profit on their Shorts. down 10% in 24 hours on oil positive News. Lonmin has done exactly the same Thing so shorted by the same Player probably.
azalea 14:38:06 26/03/2015
Given that the continued rise in U.S. oil stocks will be further aggravated by lower consumption as Spring approaches and a notable rise in Russian oil exports; I believe the the flare up in Yemen is unlikely to cause a sustainable rise in oil prices.
dealy 16:29:48 21/03/2015
warren has a tendency recently to sell at the bottom. good example was tesco. instead of doubling down he dumped. 12 months from now and oil is back at 80. annual replenishment requirement alone is 7 m barrels per day. the way the industry is going with cut backs there will be a 3m deficit next year.
cumnor 21:16:11 20/03/2015
Safe for 5 yrs re banks etc. Take your chance on POO recovering in interim. Imo in 2 years it will be $100+ once the Arabs have taught the world a lesson. They will cut back eventually. They are not fools and will give oil away for only so long but producers will now listen when they tell them cut back. Recovering economies with dramatic production cuts will see Tlw a good long term buy imo.
rochdae 12:10:21 20/03/2015
Spirito, No, it was the size of the debt that was/is my concern given a squeeze on revenue with a weak oil price. Tlw is still a big company, and its share price decline has nothing to do with posts on this board. If the price of oil doesn't recover, I can see further downside that's all. Roch
Spirito 08:50:06 20/03/2015
I feel very sorry for those who lost their nerve when this plunged below 300p. I don't think mass scaremongering on these boards helps some the clearly inexperienced investors on here (me included). Nothing wrong with pointing out a downside risk, but often sensationalism seems to be the order of the day.
rochdae 08:20:42 20/03/2015
The problem is the debt. Obtaining more debt is not a solution I'm afraid. The interest payments reduce profit. It's this reduction in profit that is hitting TLW not fear of a breaching banking arrangements. As long as the oil price is weak TLW will tread water at best imo... A move back to 80-100 a barrel is what the share price needs and this is the gamble you are taking.
oilretire 07:31:44 20/03/2015
This ain't no Afren ;-) agreed an amendment to the financial covenant on the RBL and corporate facility to address the risk of any potential covenant breach during a period of oil price volatility and investment in production and development assets in West Africa
SG1972 19:58:08 17/03/2015
Roch I believe in this management team, I believe in the assets, further more when this was £16 a share they had the same debt, yes price of oil had fallen, but that has been priced in. I will ride the storm :-)
asusasus 12:24:29 17/03/2015
Is my theory correct? I believe there are over 2% of Tullows shares out on loan for shorters. So am I right in thinking that they drive down the SP but then run out of shares and therefore have to buy back (otherwise known as a short squeeze), rinse and repeat?
careful 04:08:38 17/03/2015
usa oil production almost back to where it was in the 1960-1980 period that is about 9000 barrels per day. trouble is that it is loss making at todays prices. they have always produced a decent amount until it fell away in recent times. they use 20,000 barrels per day (and rising)
careful 21:43:41 16/03/2015
444 m barrels is just 3 weeks supply. 20 m barrels per day usa alone. 92 m barrels a day, world wide. the yanks have not been driving as much because of the weather. this problem will soon go away. do not let these innumerate types panic you. i have more than 3 weeks supply of cornflakes.. it soon goes. keep calm, the world is still addicted to oil.

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