Mike Paulenoff
Mike Paulenoff's columns :
07/14/2008Climb in Yields Could Benefit Equities, though Flight to Commodities
06/27/2008S&P 500 Approaching Critical Test of March Low
06/12/2008Oil Rising, Clean Energy Reversing?
06/03/2008Higher Oil Bullish for Clean Energy? Not Necessarily!
05/18/2008S&P in Developing Bullish Pattern, While Oil Still Refuses to Rest
05/09/2008Near-term Top in the Euro/Dollar, Bottom in S&P 500?
04/16/2008Gold Highs, Dollar Lows Not for Long
03/25/2008Technical Set-ups Promising >>
03/17/2008Forward Thinking for the Markets
03/05/2008Commodities Sell Off, Though Natural Gas Bucks Trend
02/22/2008Could Gold Mimic Platinum's Move?
02/18/2008Countertrend Rally Has Higher to Climb
02/05/2008Short-term Upside in S&P 500 & NDX
01/15/2008Buyers Will Prevail
01/08/2008No Bottom Yet...According to Intermediate Charts
12/19/2007Small Caps Should Continue to Trail Blue Chips... While Q's Have Short-term Upside
12/10/2007Long-Term Bull Trend Still Intact
11/13/2007Shorting Overbought Commodities

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Mike Paulenoff – MPTrader
Mike Paulenoff is a 25-year veteran technical strategist with experience at firms including Smith Barney, Harris Upham, and Drexel, Burnham, Lambert. He has been widely quoted and published in CBSMarketWatch, Barron's and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, among many publications. He is currently author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his trades and technical analysis of ETFs that track metals, energy commodities, equity indices, international stocks, and other markets.

Technical Set-ups Promising

03/25/2008

The Q's emerged from a three-week base formation today, breaking above key near-term resistance at 43.40/50, and then following through to attack the next important resistance plateau at 44.50/70. My overall pattern and oscillator work indicate that the Q's are poised to climb t 46.00 in the upcoming hours/days, and at that point we will find out if the price structure has established lows for the year.

For now, the technical set-up looks very promising.

While equities are buoyant, gold certainly has lost its glimmer. This is what I told our subscribers on Thursday, which remains essentially unchanged:

Ironically, the Fed's latest rate cut of 75 pbs turned out to be the death knell for the GLD, which has gapped down Wednesday and Thursday and plunged from 100.44 to just under 90.00 so far.

Let's notice that prices are heading next for a confrontation with the support line of the major channel that originated in August 2007, and which cuts across the price axis in the vicinity of 88.50.

I will be expecting the major support line to contain the current onslaught, at least for a little while anyway.

Mike Paulenoff is author of MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies, Treasuries, and specific industries and international regions.

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