Mike Paulenoff
Mike Paulenoff's columns :
06/27/2008S&P 500 Approaching Critical Test of March Low
06/12/2008Oil Rising, Clean Energy Reversing?
06/03/2008Higher Oil Bullish for Clean Energy? Not Necessarily!
05/18/2008S&P in Developing Bullish Pattern, While Oil Still Refuses to Rest
05/09/2008Near-term Top in the Euro/Dollar, Bottom in S&P 500?
04/16/2008Gold Highs, Dollar Lows Not for Long
03/25/2008Technical Set-ups Promising
03/17/2008Forward Thinking for the Markets
03/05/2008Commodities Sell Off, Though Natural Gas Bucks Trend
02/22/2008Could Gold Mimic Platinum's Move?
02/18/2008Countertrend Rally Has Higher to Climb
02/05/2008Short-term Upside in S&P 500 & NDX >>
01/15/2008Buyers Will Prevail
01/08/2008No Bottom Yet...According to Intermediate Charts
12/19/2007Small Caps Should Continue to Trail Blue Chips... While Q's Have Short-term Upside
12/10/2007Long-Term Bull Trend Still Intact
11/13/2007Shorting Overbought Commodities
10/29/2007Roaring Into the Top
10/15/2007Equities Topping but Oil has Further to Gush
10/04/2007Preparing for a Peak

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Mike Paulenoff – MPTrader
Mike Paulenoff is a 25-year veteran technical strategist with experience at firms including Smith Barney, Harris Upham, and Drexel, Burnham, Lambert. He has been widely quoted and published in CBSMarketWatch, Barron's and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, among many publications. He is currently author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his trades and technical analysis of ETFs that track metals, energy commodities, equity indices, international stocks, and other markets.

Short-term Upside in S&P 500 & NDX

02/05/2008
This week we're looking at some short-term patterns for trading this volatile market, starting with the hourly chart on the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (SPY), as of just before Friday's close.

The last four Friday's were down, but this one -- after the FOMC cut and some pretty strong stair-step action off of the 1/22 low at 125.36 -- exhibited a bid all day, and should break the back of the negative end-of-week psychology. At this juncture, the SPY is poised to continue higher towards a confrontation with key resistance at 142.00-143.00.

Moving over to the Nasdaq, increasingly the pattern that the Q's (QQQQ) have carved out off of the 11/23 low at 41.62 has the look of a countertrend "swing" move that points to a target in the vicinity of 47.60-.90 in the upcoming trading hours. At this juncture only a decline that violates key support at 44.95 will neutralize my current outlook.

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of his technical analysis on equity markets, futures, metals, currencies and Treasuries.

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