Mike Paulenoff
Mike Paulenoff's columns :
04/16/2008Gold Highs, Dollar Lows Not for Long
03/25/2008Technical Set-ups Promising
03/17/2008Forward Thinking for the Markets
03/05/2008Commodities Sell Off, Though Natural Gas Bucks Trend
02/22/2008Could Gold Mimic Platinum's Move?
02/18/2008Countertrend Rally Has Higher to Climb
02/05/2008Short-term Upside in S&P 500 & NDX
01/15/2008Buyers Will Prevail
01/08/2008No Bottom Yet...According to Intermediate Charts
12/19/2007Small Caps Should Continue to Trail Blue Chips... While Q's Have Short-term Upside
12/10/2007Long-Term Bull Trend Still Intact >>
11/13/2007Shorting Overbought Commodities
10/29/2007Roaring Into the Top
10/15/2007Equities Topping but Oil has Further to Gush
10/04/2007Preparing for a Peak
09/05/2007Gold Glittering
07/31/2007Yield On 10-year Note Going Lower
07/23/2007More Selling Pressure Ahead Next Week

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Mike Paulenoff – MPTrader
Mike Paulenoff is a 25-year veteran technical strategist with experience at firms including Smith Barney, Harris Upham, and Drexel, Burnham, Lambert. He has been widely quoted and published in CBSMarketWatch, Barron's and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, among many publications. He is currently author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his trades and technical analysis of ETFs that track metals, energy commodities, equity indices, international stocks, and other markets.

Long-Term Bull Trend Still Intact

12/10/2007

This is a very interesting and important chart right about now. Let's take a closer look…and what we see is that this week's action (so far) represents a key upside reversal, which, if the S&P 500 sustains above 1456.70, will indicate a significant change in market direction (UP).

The fact that the recent decline plunged towards the August low (1370.60) but managed to hold at an equally important support coordinate along the 2003-07 support line suggests strongly to me that the longer-term dominant uptrend remains very much intact.

Having said that, however, I must also remind myself and caution you that this advance must climb to new highs above 1576.09 to keep the bull trend intact. A powerful rally that fails to hurdle 1576.09 will imbue the weekly chart structure with a very toppy look indeed.

For now, though, a powerful upside reversal is in progress that appears to have inaugurated the next upleg in the 2002-present bull leg.

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of his technical analysis on equity markets, futures, metals, currencies and Treasuries.

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